For a list of recent papers see the backpages of this paper. Government Size and Business Cycle Volatility; How Important Are Credit Constraints?

In this paper we analyze how the availability of credit influences the relationship between government size as a proxy for fiscal stabilization policy and the amplitude of business cycle fluctuations in a sample of advanced OECD countries. Interpreting relatively low loan-tovalue ratios as an indication for tight credit constraints, we find that government size exerts a stabilizing effect on output and consumption growth fluctuations only when credit constraints are relatively tight. Our results are robust with respect to different measures of government size and provide support for the hypothesis that credit market frictions play a crucial role in the transmission of fiscal policy.

[1]  J Wagner Exports, Imports and Profitability: First Evidence for Manufacturing Enterprises , 2012, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[2]  Achim Zeileis,et al.  Flexible Rasch Mixture Models with Package psychomix , 2012 .

[3]  Sebastian Schuetz Structured Finance Influence on Financial Market Stability – Evaluation of Current Regulatory Developments , 2010 .

[4]  Achim Zeileis,et al.  A new method for detecting differential item functioning in the Rasch model , 2011 .

[5]  Zohal Hessami The Size and Composition of Government Spending in Europe and its Impact on Well-Being , 2010 .

[6]  J. M. Buchanan The Public Finances , 1965 .

[7]  Matthias Sutter,et al.  The Good, the Bad and the Naive: Do Fair Prices Signal Good Types or Do They Induce Good Behaviour? , 2012, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[8]  G. Schulze,et al.  Endogenous Environmental Policy When Pollution is Transboundary , 2011 .

[9]  C. Pfeifer,et al.  Explaining age and gender differences in employment rates: a labor supply-side perspective , 2013 .

[10]  Peter Skogman Thoursie,et al.  Growth Effects of Government Expenditure and Taxation in Rich Countries: A Comment , 2003 .

[11]  Michael Woodford,et al.  Simple Analytics of the Government Expenditure Multiplier , 2010 .

[12]  J. von-Hagen,et al.  Fiscal Rules and Fiscal Performance in the European Union and Japan , 2006 .

[13]  Achim Zeileis,et al.  Extended Beta Regression in R: Shaken, Stirred, Mixed, and Partitioned , 2012 .

[14]  Jeffrey M. Wooldridge,et al.  Estimating Panel Data Models in the Presence of Endogeneity and Selection , 2010 .

[15]  A. Vogel Enthüllungsrisiko beim Remote Access: Die Schwerpunkteigenschaft der Regressionsgerade , 2011 .

[16]  Roberto Perotti,et al.  Fiscal Policy in Good Times and Bad , 1999 .

[17]  C. Pfeifer The Heterogeneous Economic Consequences of Works Council Relations , 2011, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[18]  Sastry G. Pantula,et al.  Testing for unit roots in autoregressive moving average models: An instrumental variable approach , 1991 .

[19]  J Wagner,et al.  The Quality of the KombiFiD-Sample of Business Services Enterprises: Evidence from a Replication Study , 2012 .

[20]  Y. Mundlak On the Pooling of Time Series and Cross Section Data , 1978 .

[21]  Stefanie Glotzbach Environmental justice in agricultural systems: An evaluation of success factors and barriers by the example of the Philippine farmer network MASIPAG , 2012 .

[22]  Achim Zeileis,et al.  Generalized Measurement Invariance Tests with Application to Factor Analysis , 2011 .

[23]  N. Mankiw The Savers-Spenders Theory of Fiscal Policy , 2000 .

[24]  Gottfried Tappeiner,et al.  Multivariate Stochastic Volatility via Wishart Processes - A Continuation , 2011 .

[25]  T. Wein Microeconomic Consequences of Exemptions from Value Added Taxation – The Case of Deutsche Post , 2011 .

[26]  Lawrence J. Christiano,et al.  When Is the Government Spending Multiplier Large? , 2009, Journal of Political Economy.

[27]  Glenn Dutcher,et al.  How does the social distance between an employee and a manager affect employee competition for a reward , 2011 .

[28]  Javier Andrés,et al.  The Stabilizing Role of Government Size , 2004 .

[29]  Lung-fei Lee Unionism and Wage Rates: A Simultaneous Equations Model with Qualitative and Limited Dependent Variables , 1978 .

[30]  J. Wagner Average wage, qualification of the workforce and export performance in German enterprises: evidence from KombiFiD data , 2012, Journal for Labour Market Research.

[31]  J Wagner From Estimation Results to Stylized Facts Twelve Recommendations for Empirical Research in International Activities of Heterogeneous Firms , 2011 .

[32]  Matthias Sutter,et al.  The Development of Egalitarianism, Altruism, Spite and Parochialism in Childhood and Adolescence , 2011, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[33]  Paul A. Raschky,et al.  A Spatial Econometric Analysis of Compliance with an International Environmental Agreement on Open Access Resources , 2011 .

[34]  J. Galí,et al.  Government size and macroeconomic stability , 1994 .

[35]  Athanasios Tagkalakis The effects of fiscal policy on consumption in recessions and expansions , 2008 .

[36]  Toufic M. El Masri Subadditivity and Contestability in the Postal Sector: Theory and Evidence , 2011 .

[37]  E. Leeper,et al.  Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions and Fiscal Stimulus , 2009 .

[38]  Nathalie Girouard,et al.  Measuring Cyclically-Adjusted Budget Balances for OECD Countries , 2006 .

[39]  Sebastian Schuetz Determinants of Structured Finance Issuance: A Cross-Country Comparison , 2011 .

[40]  V. Wieland,et al.  Keynesian Government Spending Multipliers and Spillovers in the Euro Area , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[41]  D. Dickey,et al.  Testing for unit roots in autoregressive-moving average models of unknown order , 1984 .

[42]  Achim Zeileis,et al.  Why Does It Always Rain on Me? A Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Precipitation in Austria , 2016 .

[43]  Philip E. Strahan,et al.  Bank Integration and State Business Cycles , 2002 .

[44]  H. Uhlig Some Fiscal Calculus , 2010 .

[45]  When is the Government Spending Multiplier Large? , 2010 .

[46]  C. Cottarelli,et al.  Automatic Stabilizers and the Size of Government: Correcting a Common Misunderstanding , 2010, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[47]  Manmohan S. Kumar,et al.  Tied to the Mast? National Fiscal Rules in the European Union , 2008 .

[48]  Mathias Thoenig,et al.  Contrasting Trends in Firm Volatility , 2011 .

[49]  Matthias Sutter,et al.  What Drives Taxi Drivers? A Field Experiment on Fraud in a Market for Credence Goods , 2011, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[50]  Cosimo Pancaro,et al.  Trade Openness Reduces Growth Volatility When Countries are Well Diversified , 2010, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[51]  E. Mendoza,et al.  How Big (Small?) are Fiscal Multipliers? , 2010, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[52]  M. Mohanty,et al.  Government Size and Macroeconomic Stability , 2012 .

[53]  A. Levchenko,et al.  Trade Openness and Volatility , 2006, The Review of Economics and Statistics.

[54]  Jeffrey M. Woodbridge Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data , 2002 .

[55]  Markus Groth,et al.  Towards an agri-environment index for biodiversity conservation payment schemes , 2010 .

[56]  J Wagner,et al.  Self-Selection into Export Markets by Business Services Firms: Evidence from France, Germany and the United Kingdom , 2013, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[57]  A. Haensler,et al.  Risk Preferences Under Heterogeneous Environmental Risk , 2012 .

[58]  A. Sapir,et al.  Government Size and Output Volatility: Should We Forsake Automatic Stabilization? , 2008 .

[59]  Michael Pfaffermayr,et al.  Does Going Green Pay Off? the Effect of an International Environmental Agreement on Tropical Timber Trade Does Going Green Pay off ? the Effect of an International Environmental Agreement on Tropical Timber Trade , 2022 .

[60]  J. Stock,et al.  Instrumental Variables Regression with Weak Instruments , 1994 .

[61]  Achim Zeileis,et al.  evtree: Evolutionary Learning of Globally Optimal Classification and Regression Trees in R , 2014 .

[62]  A. Schabert,et al.  Fiscal Policy in the New Neoclassical Synthesis , 2003 .

[63]  J Wagner New Methods for the Analysis of Links between International Firm Activities and Firm Performance: A Practitioner's Guide , 2015, Microeconometric Studies of Firms' Imports and Exports.

[64]  J Wagner Exports and Firm Characteristics in German Manufacturing Industries , 2010, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[65]  Ilian Mihov,et al.  Government Size and Automatic Stabilizers: International and Intranational Evidence , 1999 .

[66]  A. Fatás,et al.  The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Rules in the Us States , 2004 .

[67]  Ronald Peeters,et al.  Truth , trust , and sanctions : On institutional selection in sender-receiver games ∗ , 2011 .

[68]  IS–LM and the multiplier: A dynamic general equilibrium model , 2007 .

[69]  Matthias Sutter,et al.  Role Selection and Team Performance , 2011, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[70]  D. van Soest,et al.  Complementarity, Impatience, and the Resilience of Natural-Resource - Dependent Economies , 2011 .

[71]  P. Noord The Size and Role of Automatic Fiscal Stabilizers in the 1990s and Beyond , 2000 .

[72]  Andreas Exenberger,et al.  Rain, temperature and agricultural production: The impact of climate change in Sub-Sahara Africa, 1961-2009 , 2011 .

[73]  J Wagner Productivity and International Firm Activities: What Do We Know? , 2011 .

[74]  Florin O. Bilbiie,et al.  What Accounts for the Changes in U.S. Fiscal Policy Transmission? , 2006, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[75]  V. Ramey Can Government Purchases Stimulate the Economy , 2011 .

[76]  Sarah Engler,et al.  Comparative Political Data Set 1, 1960-2009 , 2011 .

[77]  Gianni Riotta This Time Is Different , 2014 .

[78]  J Wagner The Post-entry Performance of Cohorts of Export Starters in German Manufacturing Industries☆ , 2012 .

[79]  Achim Zeileis,et al.  For a list of recent papers see the backpages of this paper. Structural Breaks in Inflation Dynamics within the European Monetary Union , 2022 .

[80]  T. Wein,et al.  Are private banks the better banks? An insight into the principal–agent structure and risk-taking behavior of German banks , 2015 .

[81]  M. Quaas,et al.  Personal norms of sustainability and their impact on management – The case of rangeland management in semi-arid regions , 2011 .

[82]  Bent E. Sørensen,et al.  Deep Financial Integration and Volatility , 2010 .

[83]  M. Pagano,et al.  Saving, Growth, and Liquidity Constraints , 1994 .

[84]  Matthias Sutter,et al.  Sabotage in Tournaments: Evidence from a Natural Experiment , 2012, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[85]  M. Kirchler,et al.  Thar She Bursts: Reducing Confusion Reduces Bubbles , 2012 .

[86]  Magnus Henrekson,et al.  Growth Effects of Government Expenditure and Taxation in Rich Countries , 2001 .

[87]  Bernhard Herz,et al.  Does Globalization Affect Growth ? Evidence from a new Index of Globalization , 2005 .

[88]  A. Shleifer,et al.  Legal Determinants of External Finance , 1997 .

[89]  J Wagner Exports, imports and firm survival: first evidence for manufacturing enterprises in Germany , 2013, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[90]  Libero Monteforte,et al.  The General Equilibrium Effects of Fiscal Policy: Estimates for the Euro Area , 2007 .

[91]  J Wagner,et al.  Robust Estimates of Exporter Productivity Premia in German Business Services Enterprises , 2011 .

[92]  Mark W. Watson,et al.  Understanding Changes in International Business Cycle Dynamics , 2005 .

[93]  Martin Larch,et al.  liquidity: Evidence from the euro zone , 2022 .

[94]  Matthias Sutter,et al.  Testing a Forgotten Aspect of Akerlof's Gift Exchange Hypothesis: Relational Contracts with Individual and Uniform Wages , 2012, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[95]  Jörg Breitung,et al.  Unit Roots and Cointegration in Panels , 2005, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[96]  F. Carmignani,et al.  Macroeconomic risk and the (de)stabilising role of government size , 2011 .

[97]  Kenneth S. Rogoff,et al.  Exchange Arrangements Entering the 21st Century: Which Anchor Will Hold? , 2017 .

[98]  R. King,et al.  Fiscal Policy in General Equilibrium , 1990 .

[99]  J Wagner The Microstructure of the Great Export Collapse in German Manufacturing Industries, 2008/2009 , 2012, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[100]  John P. Weche Gelübcke The performance of foreign affiliates in German manufacturing: evidence from a new database , 2013 .

[101]  Dani Rodrik,et al.  Why do More Open Economies Have Bigger Governments? , 1996, Journal of Political Economy.

[102]  Rupert Sausgruber,et al.  The pivotal mechanism revisited: some evidence on group manipulation , 2013 .

[103]  Inequality Aversion and Voting on Redistribution , 2011 .

[104]  Engelbert Theurl,et al.  Entry and Exit of Physicians in a two-tiered public/private Health Care System , 2011 .

[105]  Florencio López‐de‐Silanes,et al.  Law and Finance , 1996, Journal of Political Economy.

[106]  Thomas Huth,et al.  Monetary policy with an optimal interest structure , 2010 .

[107]  David Lopez-Salido,et al.  Understanding the Effects of Government Spending on Consumption , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[108]  Stefan Baumgärtner,et al.  A Utilitarian Notion of Responsibility for Sustainability , 2014 .

[109]  B. Ćorić The Global Extent of the Great Moderation , 2012 .

[110]  J Wagner The German manufacturing sector is a granular economy , 2012, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[111]  Rupert Sendlhofer,et al.  Fiscal Policy, Trigger Points and Interest Rates: Additional Evidence From the U.S. , 2011 .

[112]  J Wagner,et al.  Exports, foreign direct investments and productivity: are services firms different? , 2014, Microeconometric Studies of Firms' Imports and Exports.

[113]  B. Maux,et al.  Political fragmentation, party ideology and public expenditures , 2011 .

[114]  I. Mihov,et al.  The Case for Restricting Fiscal Policy Discretion , 2002 .

[115]  Francesco Feri,et al.  Psychological Pressure in Competitive Environments: Evidence from A Randomized Natural Experiment: Comment , 2011 .

[116]  J Wagner The Quality of the KombiFiD-Sample of Enterprises from Manufacturing Industries: Evidence from a Replication Study , 2012 .

[117]  Sebastian Strunz Is conceptual vagueness an asset? Resilience research from the perspective of philosophy of science , 2011 .

[118]  Markus Groth,et al.  Die Relevanz von Ökobilanzen für die Umweltgesetzgebung am Beispiel der Verpackungsverordnung , 2010 .

[119]  Heike Wetzel,et al.  Competing in the Higher Education Market: Empirical Evidence for Economies of Scale and Scope in German Higher Education Institutions , 2014 .

[120]  R. Mariner Automatic fiscal stabilizers , 2000 .

[121]  Government Size and Automatic Stabilizers: International and Intranational Evidence , 2001 .

[122]  The Financial Accelerator: Evidence from International Housing Markets , 2005 .

[123]  J. Wagner,et al.  Establishment exits in Germany: the role of size and age , 2012, Small Business Economics.