Study on Statistical Experiment of Markov Chain Prediction Methods

In recent years,the weighted Markov chain prediction method(WMCP),the Markov chain prediction method based on absolute distribution(ADMCP)and probability summation(SPMCP) have been widely used in the various hydrology series.Although the application results of various Markov chain prediction methods in real situations are seemed good,the prediction accuracy of these three kinds of Markov chain prediction methods is different.The three prediction methods are studied by using statistical experiment.The experiment results indicate that the prediction accuracy of the WMCP method is the highest,the ADMCP method is the lowest,and the SPMCP method is in the middle.