Polynomial chaos based uncertainty quantification in Hamiltonian and chaotic systems

Polynomial chaos is a powerful technique for propagating uncertainty through ordinary and partial differential equations. Random variables are expanded in terms of orthogonal polynomials and differential equations are derived for the coefficients. Here we study the structure and dynamics of these differential equations when the original system has Hamiltonian structure or displays chaotic dynamics. In particular, we prove that the differential equations for the expansion coefficients in generalized polynomial chaos expansions of Hamiltonian systems retain the Hamiltonian structure relative to the ensemble average Hamiltonian. Additionally, using the forced Duffing oscillator as an example, we demonstrate that when the original dynamical system displays chaotic dynamics, the resulting dynamical system from polynomial chaos also displays chaotic dynamics, limiting its applicability.

[1]  Tuhin Sahai,et al.  Uncertainty quantification in hybrid dynamical systems , 2011, 2012 IEEE 51st IEEE Conference on Decision and Control (CDC).

[2]  E. Lorenz Deterministic nonperiodic flow , 1963 .

[3]  Y. Ueda EXPLOSION OF STRANGE ATTRACTORS EXHIBITED BY DUFFING'S EQUATION , 1979 .

[4]  N. Wiener The Homogeneous Chaos , 1938 .

[5]  G. Karniadakis,et al.  Long-Term Behavior of Polynomial Chaos in Stochastic Flow Simulations , 2006 .

[6]  P. Holmes,et al.  Turbulence, Coherent Structures, Dynamical Systems and Symmetry , 1996 .

[7]  R. Ghanem Probabilistic characterization of transport in heterogeneous media , 1998 .

[8]  D. Xiu,et al.  Modeling uncertainty in flow simulations via generalized polynomial chaos , 2003 .

[9]  Y. Marzouk,et al.  Uncertainty quantification in chemical systems , 2009 .

[10]  Hisanao Ogura,et al.  Orthogonal functionals of the Poisson process , 1972, IEEE Trans. Inf. Theory.

[11]  D. Lathrop Nonlinear Dynamics and Chaos: With Applications to Physics, Biology, Chemistry, and Engineering , 2015 .

[12]  J. Laskar Large-scale chaos in the solar system. , 1994 .

[13]  James P. Crutchfield,et al.  Chaotic States of Anharmonic Systems in Periodic Fields , 1979 .

[14]  George E. Karniadakis,et al.  Beyond Wiener–Askey Expansions: Handling Arbitrary PDFs , 2006, J. Sci. Comput..

[15]  Matthew S. Allen,et al.  Comparison of Uncertainty Propagation / Response Surface Techniques for Two Aeroelastic Systems , 2009 .

[16]  R. Caflisch Monte Carlo and quasi-Monte Carlo methods , 1998, Acta Numerica.

[17]  Trevor Hastie,et al.  The Elements of Statistical Learning , 2001 .

[18]  N. Zabaras,et al.  The effect of multiple sources of uncertainty on the convex hull of material properties of polycrystals , 2009 .

[19]  James A. Bucklew,et al.  Introduction to Rare Event Simulation , 2010 .

[20]  F.B. Sachse,et al.  Sensitivity Analysis of Cardiac Electrophysiological Models Using Polynomial Chaos , 2005, 2005 IEEE Engineering in Medicine and Biology 27th Annual Conference.

[21]  Tuhin Sahai,et al.  Uncertainty as a stabilizer of the head-tail ordered phase in carbon-monoxide monolayers on graphite , 2009 .

[22]  H. Niederreiter Quasi-Monte Carlo methods and pseudo-random numbers , 1978 .

[23]  P. Holmes,et al.  Nonlinear Oscillations, Dynamical Systems, and Bifurcations of Vector Fields , 1983, Applied Mathematical Sciences.