Overdiagnosis across medical disciplines: a scoping review

Objective To provide insight into how and in what clinical fields overdiagnosis is studied and give directions for further applied and methodological research. Design Scoping review. Data sources Medline up to August 2017. Study selection All English studies on humans, in which overdiagnosis was discussed as a dominant theme. Data extraction Studies were assessed on clinical field, study aim (ie, methodological or non-methodological), article type (eg, primary study, review), the type and role of diagnostic test(s) studied and the context in which these studies discussed overdiagnosis. Results From 4896 studies, 1851 were included for analysis. Half of all studies on overdiagnosis were performed in the field of oncology (50%). Other prevalent clinical fields included mental disorders, infectious diseases and cardiovascular diseases accounting for 9%, 8% and 6% of studies, respectively. Overdiagnosis was addressed from a methodological perspective in 20% of studies. Primary studies were the most common article type (58%). The type of diagnostic tests most commonly studied were imaging tests (32%), although these were predominantly seen in oncology and cardiovascular disease (84%). Diagnostic tests were studied in a screening setting in 43% of all studies, but as high as 75% of all oncological studies. The context in which studies addressed overdiagnosis related most frequently to its estimation, accounting for 53%. Methodology on overdiagnosis estimation and definition provided a source for extensive discussion. Other contexts of discussion included definition of disease, overdiagnosis communication, trends in increasing disease prevalence, drivers and consequences of overdiagnosis, incidental findings and genomics. Conclusions Overdiagnosis is discussed across virtually all clinical fields and in different contexts. The variability in characteristics between studies and lack of consensus on overdiagnosis definition indicate the need for a uniform typology to improve coherence and comparability of studies on overdiagnosis.

[1]  P. Pharoah,et al.  What ethical and legal principles should guide the genotyping of children as part of a personalised screening programme for common cancer? , 2013, Journal of Medical Ethics.

[2]  H. Welch,et al.  The role of overdiagnosis and reclassification in the marked increase of esophageal adenocarcinoma incidence. , 2005, Journal of the National Cancer Institute.

[3]  Monique J. Roobol,et al.  Defining the threshold for significant versus insignificant prostate cancer , 2013, Nature Reviews Urology.

[4]  E. Paci,et al.  Overdiagnosis in breast cancer: design and methods of estimation in observational studies. , 2011, Preventive medicine.

[5]  M. Plummer,et al.  The Impact of Diagnostic Changes on the Rise in Thyroid Cancer Incidence: A Population-Based Study in Selected High-Resource Countries. , 2015, Thyroid : official journal of the American Thyroid Association.

[6]  A. Carneiro Screening for coronary artery disease in assymptomatic adults is not recommended, so why is it still done? , 2004, Revista portuguesa de cardiologia : orgao oficial da Sociedade Portuguesa de Cardiologia = Portuguese journal of cardiology : an official journal of the Portuguese Society of Cardiology.

[7]  W. Rogers,et al.  Response to Bjorn Hofmann: Clarifying overdiagnosis without losing conceptual complexity. , 2017, Journal of evaluation in clinical practice.

[8]  T. Tammela,et al.  Screening and prostate cancer mortality: results of the European Randomised Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) at 13 years of follow-up , 2014, The Lancet.

[9]  T. Bousema,et al.  Overuse of artemisinin-combination therapy in Mto wa Mbu (river of mosquitoes), an area misinterpreted as high endemic for malaria , 2008, Malaria Journal.

[10]  S. Barker Too much technology? , 2003, Anesthesia and analgesia.

[11]  Kirsten McCaffery,et al.  Public Opinions about Overdiagnosis: A National Community Survey , 2015, PloS one.

[12]  A. Barratt,et al.  What do you think overdiagnosis means? A qualitative analysis of responses from a national community survey of Australians , 2015, BMJ Open.

[13]  B. Hofmann Conceptual overdiagnosis. A comment on Wendy Rogers and Yishai Mintzker's article "Getting clearer on overdiagnosis". , 2017, Journal of evaluation in clinical practice.

[14]  W. Rogers,et al.  The challenge of overdiagnosis begins with its definition , 2015, BMJ : British Medical Journal.

[15]  Jürgen Margraf,et al.  Is ADHD diagnosed in accord with diagnostic criteria? Overdiagnosis and influence of client gender on diagnosis. , 2012, Journal of consulting and clinical psychology.

[16]  Stefan Störk,et al.  "GOLD or lower limit of normal definition? a comparison with expert-based diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in a prospective cohort-study" , 2012, Respiratory Research.

[17]  H. D. de Koning,et al.  Do women make an informed choice about participating in breast cancer screening? A survey among women invited for a first mammography screening examination. , 2012, Patient education and counseling.

[18]  T. Landberg,et al.  Mammographic screening and mortality from breast cancer: the Malmö mammographic screening trial. , 1988, BMJ.

[19]  L. Irwig,et al.  Women’s views on overdiagnosis in breast cancer screening: a qualitative study , 2013, BMJ.

[20]  C. van Weel,et al.  Current clinical guideline definitions of airflow obstruction and COPD overdiagnosis in primary care , 2008, European Respiratory Journal.

[21]  Peter H Gann,et al.  Overdiagnosis due to prostate-specific antigen screening: lessons from U.S. prostate cancer incidence trends. , 2002, Journal of the National Cancer Institute.

[22]  M. Bonati,et al.  Reducing overdiagnosis and disease mongering in ADHD in Lombardy , 2013, BMJ.

[23]  J. Hugosson,et al.  Opportunistic testing versus organized prostate-specific antigen screening: outcome after 18 years in the Göteborg randomized population-based prostate cancer screening trial. , 2015, European urology.

[24]  H. Welch,et al.  Overdiagnosis in cancer. , 2010, Journal of the National Cancer Institute.

[25]  R. Moynihan,et al.  Mapping the drivers of overdiagnosis to potential solutions , 2017, British Medical Journal.

[26]  C. Carpenter,et al.  Guarding Against Overtesting, Overdiagnosis, and Overtreatment of Older Adults: Thinking Beyond Imaging and Injuries to Weigh Harms and Benefits , 2017, Journal of the American Geriatrics Society.

[27]  M. Zelen,et al.  Overdiagnosis in early detection programs. , 2004, Biostatistics.

[28]  F. Sardanelli,et al.  Relevant incidental findings at abdominal multi-detector contrast-enhanced computed tomography: A collateral screening? , 2015, World journal of radiology.

[29]  L. Vogel Choosing Wisely around the world , 2015, Canadian Medical Association Journal.

[30]  S. Duffy,et al.  Complexities in the estimation of overdiagnosis in breast cancer screening , 2008, British Journal of Cancer.

[31]  W C Black,et al.  Overdiagnosis: An underrecognized cause of confusion and harm in cancer screening. , 2000, Journal of the National Cancer Institute.

[32]  F. Althaus,et al.  Over-diagnosis of malaria by microscopy in the Kilombero Valley, Southern Tanzania: an evaluation of the utility and cost-effectiveness of rapid diagnostic tests , 2013, Malaria Journal.

[33]  H. D. de Koning,et al.  Interpreting Overdiagnosis Estimates in Population-based Mammography Screening , 2011, Epidemiologic reviews.

[34]  C. Gatsonis,et al.  Reduced Lung-Cancer Mortality with Low-Dose Computed Tomographic Screening , 2012 .

[35]  Christina L. Jacovides,et al.  Overdiagnosis of Pulmonary Embolism: Evaluation of a Hypoxia Algorithm Designed to Avoid This Catastrophic Problem , 2012, Clinical orthopaedics and related research.

[36]  J. Bae Overdiagnosis : epidemiologic concepts and estimation , 2015 .

[37]  P. Prorok,et al.  Conceptualizing overdiagnosis in cancer screening. , 2015, Journal of the National Cancer Institute.

[38]  P. Bach Overdiagnosis in lung cancer: different perspectives, definitions, implications , 2008, Thorax.

[39]  J. Cronan,et al.  Dots are not clots: the over-diagnosis and over-treatment of PE , 2010, Emergency Radiology.

[40]  S. Ghaemi,et al.  The mistaken claim of bipolar ‘overdiagnosis’: solving the false positives problem for DSM‐5/ICD‐11 , 2012, Acta psychiatrica Scandinavica.

[41]  M. Day Drug industry is partly to blame for overdiagnosis of bipolar disorder, researchers claim , 2008, BMJ : British Medical Journal.

[42]  Marc Colonna,et al.  Overdiagnosis and overtreatment associated with breast cancer mammography screening: A simulation study with calibration to population-based data. , 2016, Breast.

[43]  Joan B Soriano,et al.  Overdiagnosing subjects with COPD using the 0.7 fixed ratio: correlation with a poor health-related quality of life. , 2011, Chest.

[44]  J. Doust,et al.  Preventing overdiagnosis: how to stop harming the healthy , 2012, BMJ : British Medical Journal.

[45]  Len Lichtenfeld,et al.  Overdiagnosed: Making People Sick in Pursuit of Health , 2011 .

[46]  B. Hofmann Defining and evaluating overdiagnosis , 2016, Journal of Medical Ethics.

[47]  C. Lawton,et al.  Screening and Prostate-Cancer Mortality in a Randomized European Study , 2010 .

[48]  Ruth Etzioni,et al.  Influence of Study Features and Methods on Overdiagnosis Estimates in Breast and Prostate Cancer Screening , 2013, Annals of Internal Medicine.

[49]  I. Ellis,et al.  Screen detected ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS): overdiagnosis or an obligate precursor of invasive disease? , 2001, Journal of medical screening.

[50]  A. P. Alivisatos,et al.  Less is more in medicine. , 2001, Scientific American.

[51]  S. Duffy,et al.  Estimates of over-diagnosis of breast cancer due to population-based mammography screening in South Australia after adjustment for lead time effects , 2015, Journal of medical screening.

[52]  A. Auvinen,et al.  Cost-effectiveness of prostate cancer screening: a simulation study based on ERSPC data. , 2015, Journal of the National Cancer Institute.

[53]  A. Barratt,et al.  A definition and ethical evaluation of overdiagnosis , 2016, Journal of Medical Ethics.

[54]  B. Kramer,et al.  Overdiagnosis in low-dose computed tomography screening for lung cancer. , 2014, JAMA internal medicine.

[55]  W. Rogers,et al.  Getting clearer on overdiagnosis. , 2016, Journal of Evaluation In Clinical Practice.

[56]  Jong-Myon Bae,et al.  Development and application of patient decision aids , 2015, Epidemiology and health.

[57]  B. Thombs,et al.  Is Adult Attention-Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder Being Overdiagnosed? , 2015, Canadian journal of psychiatry. Revue canadienne de psychiatrie.

[58]  G. Bartsch,et al.  Over‐diagnosis and under‐diagnosis of screen‐ vs non‐screen‐detected prostate cancers with in men with prostate‐specific antigen levels of 2.0–10.0 ng/mL , 2008, BJU international.

[59]  M. Eisenberg,et al.  Evaluating the Evidence For and Against the Overdiagnosis of ADHD , 2007, Journal of attention disorders.

[60]  G. Gigerenzer,et al.  Less is more: Overdiagnosis and overtreatment: evaluation of what physicians tell their patients about screening harms. , 2013, JAMA internal medicine.

[61]  J. Gohagan,et al.  Prostate cancer screening in the randomized Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial: mortality results after 13 years of follow-up. , 2012, Journal of the National Cancer Institute.

[62]  L. Boulet,et al.  Overdiagnosis of asthma in obese and nonobese adults , 2008, Canadian Medical Association Journal.

[63]  Angela Mariotto,et al.  Lead time and overdiagnosis in prostate-specific antigen screening: importance of methods and context. , 2009, Journal of the National Cancer Institute.

[64]  P. Glasziou,et al.  Is the problem that everything is a diagnosis? , 2013, Australian family physician.

[65]  L. Irwig,et al.  Use of a decision aid including information on overdetection to support informed choice about breast cancer screening: a randomised controlled trial , 2015, The Lancet.

[66]  Adriana Pérez,et al.  A limited review of over diagnosis methods and long-term effects in breast cancer screening , 2011, Oncology reviews.

[67]  M. García-Closas,et al.  Estimating breast cancer mortality reduction and overdiagnosis due to screening for different strategies in the United Kingdom , 2014, British Journal of Cancer.

[68]  S. Taneja,et al.  Re: Cost-Effectiveness of Prostate Cancer Screening: A Simulation Study Based on ERSPC Data. , 2015, The Journal of urology.

[69]  Bert van der Vegt,et al.  Pathological and Biological Differences Between Screen-Detected and Interval Ductal Carcinoma in situ of the Breast , 2007, Annals of Surgical Oncology.