GALAD Score for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Detection in Comparison with Liver Ultrasound and Proposal of GALADUS Score

Background: The GALAD score is a serum biomarker–based model that predicts the probability of having hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic liver disease. We aimed to assess the performance of the GALAD score in comparison with liver ultrasound for detection of HCC. Methods: A single-center cohort of 111 HCC patients and 180 controls with cirrhosis or chronic hepatitis B and a multicenter cohort of 233 early HCC and 412 cirrhosis patients from the Early Detection Research Network (EDRN) phase II HCC Study were analyzed. Results: The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the GALAD score for HCC detection was 0.95 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.93–97], which was higher than the AUC of ultrasound (0.82, P <0.01). At a cutoff of −0.76, the GALAD score had a sensitivity of 91% and a specificity of 85% for HCC detection. The AUC of the GALAD score for early-stage HCC detection remained high at 0.92 (95% CI, 0.88–0.96; cutoff −1.18, sensitivity 92%, specificity 79%). The AUC of the GALAD score for HCC detection was 0.88 (95% CI, 0.85–0.91) in the EDRN cohort. The combination of GALAD and ultrasound (GALADUS score) further improved the performance of the GALAD score in the single-center cohort, achieving an AUC of 0.98 (95% CI, 0.96–0.99; cutoff −0.18, sensitivity 95%, specificity 91%). Conclusions: The performance of the GALAD score was superior to ultrasound for HCC detection. The GALADUS score further enhanced the performance of the GALAD score. Impact: The GALAD score was validated in the United States.

[1]  W. Kim,et al.  Impact of surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma on survival in patients with compensated cirrhosis , 2018, Hepatology.

[2]  P. Schirmacher,et al.  EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines: Management of hepatocellular carcinoma. , 2018, Journal of hepatology.

[3]  M. Kudo,et al.  Asia–Pacific clinical practice guidelines on the management of hepatocellular carcinoma: a 2017 update , 2017, Hepatology International.

[4]  Alan D. Lopez,et al.  Global, Regional, and National Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived With Disability, and Disability-Adjusted Life-years for 32 Cancer Groups, 1990 to 2015: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study , 2017, JAMA oncology.

[5]  Jasmin A. Tiro,et al.  An assessment of benefits and harms of hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance in patients with cirrhosis , 2017, Hepatology.

[6]  G. Gores,et al.  Improved Performance of Serum Alpha-Fetoprotein for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Diagnosis in HCV Cirrhosis with Normal Alanine Transaminase , 2017, Cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers & Prevention.

[7]  J. Marrero,et al.  Predictors of adequate ultrasound quality for hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance in patients with cirrhosis , 2017, Alimentary pharmacology & therapeutics.

[8]  C. Lu,et al.  Alpha-Fetoprotein Measurement Benefits Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance in Patients with Cirrhosis , 2016, The American Journal of Gastroenterology.

[9]  M. Manns,et al.  Role of the GALAD and BALAD-2 Serologic Models in Diagnosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Prediction of Survival in Patients. , 2016, Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association.

[10]  Ahmedin Jemal,et al.  Annual Report to the Nation on the Status of Cancer, 1975‐2012, featuring the increasing incidence of liver cancer , 2016, Cancer.

[11]  M. Rizzetto,et al.  Highly sensitive alpha‐fetoprotein, Lens culinaris agglutinin‐reactive fraction of alpha‐fetoprotein and des‐gamma‐carboxyprothrombin for hepatocellular carcinoma detection , 2016, Hepatology research : the official journal of the Japan Society of Hepatology.

[12]  Y. Takikawa,et al.  Alpha‐fetoprotein: A biomarker for the recruitment of progenitor cells in the liver in patients with acute liver injury or failure , 2015, Hepatology research : the official journal of the Japan Society of Hepatology.

[13]  C. Lu,et al.  Alpha-Fetoprotein Measurement Benefits Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance in Patients with Cirrhosis , 2015, The American Journal of Gastroenterology.

[14]  L. Roberts,et al.  Update on biomarkers of hepatocellular carcinoma. , 2015, Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association.

[15]  Amit G. Singal,et al.  Early Detection, Curative Treatment, and Survival Rates for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance in Patients with Cirrhosis: A Meta-analysis , 2014, PLoS medicine.

[16]  H. Reeves,et al.  The Detection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using a Prospectively Developed and Validated Model Based on Serological Biomarkers , 2013, Cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers & Prevention.

[17]  J. Marrero,et al.  Effectiveness of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance in Patients with Cirrhosis , 2012, Cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers & Prevention.

[18]  T. Therneau,et al.  Factors that affect risk for hepatocellular carcinoma and effects of surveillance. , 2011, Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association.

[19]  Cher Heng Tan,et al.  APASL and AASLD Consensus Guidelines on Imaging Diagnosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Review , 2011, International journal of hepatology.

[20]  J. Bruix,et al.  Management of hepatocellular carcinoma: An update , 2011, Hepatology.

[21]  Lewis R. Roberts,et al.  Hepatocellular carcinoma: a global view , 2010, Nature Reviews Gastroenterology &Hepatology.

[22]  William M. Lee,et al.  Des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin and alpha-fetoprotein as biomarkers for the early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma. , 2010, Gastroenterology.

[23]  J. Marrero,et al.  Alpha-fetoprotein, des-gamma carboxyprothrombin, and lectin-bound alpha-fetoprotein in early hepatocellular carcinoma. , 2009, Gastroenterology.

[24]  S. Sanderson,et al.  The natural history of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: a population-based cohort study. , 2005, Gastroenterology.

[25]  S. Porru,et al.  Alcohol and hepatocellular carcinoma: the effect of lifetime intake and hepatitis virus infections in men and women. , 2002, American journal of epidemiology.

[26]  B. McMahon,et al.  Screening for hepatocellular carcinoma in Alaska natives infected with chronic hepatitis B: A 16‐year population‐based study , 2000, Hepatology.

[27]  E. DeLong,et al.  Comparing the areas under two or more correlated receiver operating characteristic curves: a nonparametric approach. , 1988, Biometrics.

[28]  M. Dumont,et al.  European Association for the Study of the Liver , 1971 .

[29]  H. El‐Serag,et al.  Phase 3 biomarker study for HCC surveillance using AFP, AFP L-3 and DCP. A prospective collection with retrospective blinded evaluation , 2017 .

[30]  M. Sherman,et al.  A randomized controlled trial of US vs US + biomarkers for the diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma: an interim report , 2017 .

[31]  N. Chavez-Tapia,et al.  Clinical practice guidelines: Management of Hepatocellular Carcinoma , 2014 .

[32]  T. Therneau,et al.  Hepatocellular carcinoma in olmsted county, Minnesota, 1976-2008. , 2012, Mayo Clinic proceedings.

[33]  W. Kim,et al.  Surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with cirrhosis. , 2012, Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association.

[34]  T. Therneau,et al.  Cirrhosis is present in most patients with hepatitis B and hepatocellular carcinoma. , 2011, Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association.

[35]  W. Youden,et al.  Index for rating diagnostic tests , 1950, Cancer.