Background. The separate value of endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS), multidetector computed tomography (CT), and F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) in the optimal sequence in staging esophageal cancer has not been investigated adequately. Methods. The staging records of 216 consecutive operable patients with esophageal cancer were reviewed blindly. Different staging strategies were analyzed, and the likelihood ratio (LR) of each module was calculated conditionally on individual patient characteristics. A logistic regression approach was used to determine the most favorable staging strategy. Results. Initial EUS results were not significantly related to the LRs of initial CT and FDG-PET results. The positive LR (LR?) of EUS-fine-needle aspiration (FNA) was 4, irrespective of CT and FDG-PET outcomes. The LR? of FDG-PET varied from 13 (negative CT) to 6 (positive CT). The LR? of CT ranged from 3–4 (negative FDG-PET) to 2–3 (positive FDG-PET). Age, histology, and tumor length had no significant impact on the LRs of the three diagnostic tests. Conclusions. This study argues in favor of PET/CT rather than EUS as a predictor of curative resectability in esophageal cancer. EUS does not correspond with either CT or FDG-PET. LRs of FDG-PET were substantially different between subgroups of negative and positive CT results and vice versa. Accurate preoperative staging in esophageal cancer is important in the choice of treatment, preventing unnecessary toxic preoperative chemoradiation and/or surgical explorations. Moreover, it is essential to determine optimal treatment and to monitor treatment response after neoadjuvant therapy. Radical surgery with curative intent is only possible if distant metastases (M1) and infiltration of the primary tumor into adjacent vital structures (T4b) are absent. If present, primary (chemo)radiation, brachytherapy or stent placement are more adequate and less invasive alternatives as palliative treatment. Currently, preoperative staging of esophageal cancer includes endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) with or without fine-needle aspiration (FNA) of suspicious lymph nodes, 16–64 multidetector/slice computed tomography (CT), external ultrasound (US) of the cervical region, and bronchoscopic examination, if indicated, in mid/upper DOI 10.1245/s10434-011-1738-8 Ann Surg Oncol (2016) 23:S1021–S1028 The Author(s) 2011. This article is published with open access at Springerlink.com First Received: 8 October 2010; J. Th. M. Plukker, MD, PhD e-mail: j.th.plukker@chir.umcg.nl Published Online: 6 May 2011 thoracic tumors. To detect distant nodal and systemic metastases, whole-body positron emission tomography with F-fluordeoxyglucose (FDG-PET) or PET/CT is widely used. These staging methods are used in different sequences, according to the guidelines employed. Despite these dedicated staging techniques, surgical resection is still abandoned in 10–50% of all cases due to excessive locoregional tumor extent or presence of distant metastases. Assessment of resectability is based on both local and distant criteria. Imaging techniques are more or less complementary, but outcome may also depend on the sequence of the preoperative workup. Furthermore, a recent study showed significant but small differences in perceived patient burden between PET and CT compared with EUS. Therefore, it is important to know the adequate sequences of these different diagnostic methods and when to use PET/CT or only CT (upfront), followed by EUS, and vice versa. Several studies found that FDG-PET combined with EUS-FNA improved preoperative staging of esophageal cancer. Fusion of FDG-PET and CT images also provided an increase in preoperative management from 6 to 25%. The optimal staging strategy, however, remains unclear, and the additional value of combined PET/CT has not been determined adequately yet. Therefore, we used a logistic regression approach to determine the extent to which the individual value of each diagnostic staging technique depends on the order in which the procedure is applied and to determine if this staging method adds useful information to what is already known, either because of individual characteristics or on the basis of preliminary staging results. Three routine diagnostic staging techniques (EUS, CT, and FDG-PET) were tested in terms of curatively intended resectability of esophageal cancer. For this purpose, we compared the likelihood ratios (LRs) in different staging strategies, calculated at the level of the individual patient. PATIENTS AND METHODS
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