Toward Human Level Machine Intelligence - Is It Achievable? The Need for a Paradigm Shift

Officially, AI was born in 1956. Since then, very impressive progress has been made in many areas - but not in the realm of human level machine intelligence. During much of its early history, AI "was rife "with exaggerated expectations. A headline in an article published in the late forties of last century was headlined, "Electric brain capable of translating foreign languages is being built". Today, more than half a century later, we do have translation software, but nothing that can approach the quality of human translation. Clearly, achievement of human level machine intelligence is a challenge that is hard to meet. A prerequisite to achievement of human level machine intelligence is mechanization of these capabilities and, in particular, mechanization of natural language understanding. To make significant progress toward achievement of human level machine intelligence, a paradigm shift is needed. More specifically, what is needed is an addition to the armamentarium of AI of two methodologies: (a) a nontraditional methodology of computing with words (CW) or more generally, NL-Computation; and (b) a countertraditional methodology "which involves a progression from computing with numbers to computing with words. The centerpiece of these methodologies is the concept of precisiation of meaning. Addition of these methodologies to AI would be an important step toward the achievement of human level machine intelligence and its applications in decision-making, pattern recognition, analysis of evidence, diagnosis, and assessment of causality. Such applications have a position of centrality in our infocentric society.

[1]  R. J. Luke,et al.  Mind and machine , 1952 .

[2]  H. Jeffreys Logical Foundations of Probability , 1952, Nature.

[3]  L. Zadeh Probability measures of Fuzzy events , 1968 .

[4]  Karel Lambert,et al.  Meaning Relations, Possible Objects, and Possible Worlds , 1970 .

[5]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  Outline of a New Approach to the Analysis of Complex Systems and Decision Processes , 1973, IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern..

[6]  Glenn Shafer,et al.  A Mathematical Theory of Evidence , 2020, A Mathematical Theory of Evidence.

[7]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  Fuzzy sets and information granularity , 1996 .

[8]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  A Theory of Approximate Reasoning , 1979 .

[9]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  A COMPUTATIONAL APPROACH TO FUZZY QUANTIFIERS IN NATURAL LANGUAGES , 1983 .

[10]  A. Kaufmann,et al.  Introduction to fuzzy arithmetic : theory and applications , 1986 .

[11]  Henri Prade,et al.  Representation and combination of uncertainty with belief functions and possibility measures , 1988, Comput. Intell..

[12]  Ramanathan V. Guha,et al.  Enabling agents to work together , 1994, CACM.

[13]  Lucien Duckstein,et al.  Fuzzy Rule-Based Modeling with Applications to Geophysical, Biological and Engineering Systems , 1995 .

[14]  Hao Ying,et al.  Essentials of fuzzy modeling and control , 1995 .

[15]  John Yen,et al.  Industrial Applications of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems , 1995 .

[16]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  Test-score semantics for natural languages and meaning representation via PRUF , 1996 .

[17]  John McCarthy,et al.  From Here to Human-Level AI , 1996, KR.

[18]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  On the analysis of large-scale systems , 1996 .

[19]  L. A. Zadeh,et al.  Outline of a computational approach to meaning and knowledge representation based on the concept of a generalized assignment statement , 1996 .

[20]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  Possibility theory and soft data analysis , 1996 .

[21]  Serge Boverie,et al.  Applications of fuzzy logic: towards high machine intelligence quotient systems , 1997 .

[22]  Witold Pedrycz,et al.  An Introduction to Fuzzy Sets , 1998 .

[23]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  Some reflections on soft computing, granular computing and their roles in the conception, design and utilization of information/intelligent systems , 1998, Soft Comput..

[24]  Andrew G. Glen,et al.  APPL , 2001 .

[25]  Bill Hibbard,et al.  Super-intelligent machines , 2012, COMG.

[26]  L. Zadeh Toward a Perception-Based Theory of Probabilistic Reasoning , 2000, Rough Sets and Current Trends in Computing.

[27]  Lotfi A. Zadeh Toward a perception-based theory of probabilistic reasoning with imprecise probabilities , 2003 .

[28]  J. A. Goguen,et al.  The logic of inexact concepts , 1969, Synthese.

[29]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  Precisiated Natural Language (PNL) , 2004, AI Mag..

[30]  Aaron Sloman,et al.  The St. Thomas Common Sense Symposium: Designing Architectures for Human-Level Intelligence , 2004, AI Mag..

[31]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  Generalized theory of uncertainty (GTU) - principal concepts and ideas , 2006, Comput. Stat. Data Anal..

[32]  Vilém Vychodil,et al.  Attribute Implications in a Fuzzy Setting , 2006, ICFCA.

[33]  Arthur P. Dempster,et al.  Upper and Lower Probabilities Induced by a Multivalued Mapping , 1967, Classic Works of the Dempster-Shafer Theory of Belief Functions.

[34]  Lotfi A. Zadeh,et al.  Is there a need for fuzzy logic? , 2008, NAFIPS 2008 - 2008 Annual Meeting of the North American Fuzzy Information Processing Society.