Radial Basis Function Neural Network with Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithms for Regional Logistics Demand Prediction

Regional logistics prediction is the key step in regional logistics planning and logistics resources rationalization. Since regional economy is the inherent and determinative factor of regional logistics demand, it is feasible to forecast regional logistics demand by investigating economic indicators which can accelerate the harmonious development of regional logistics industry and regional economy. In this paper, the PSO-RBFNN model, a radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) combined with particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm, is studied. The PSO-RBFNN model is trained by indicators data in a region to predict the regional logistics demand. And the corresponding results indicate the model’s applicability and potential advantages.

[1]  Ping Wang,et al.  Mechanical Property Prediction of Strip Model Based on PSO-BP Neural Network , 2008 .

[2]  B. Adrangi,et al.  The demand for US air transport service: a chaos and nonlinearity investigation , 2001 .

[3]  James Kennedy,et al.  Particle swarm optimization , 2002, Proceedings of ICNN'95 - International Conference on Neural Networks.

[4]  Yue Shi,et al.  A modified particle swarm optimizer , 1998, 1998 IEEE International Conference on Evolutionary Computation Proceedings. IEEE World Congress on Computational Intelligence (Cat. No.98TH8360).

[5]  Ding Hai-ying Theory and Model Establishment for Regional Logistics Demand Prediction , 2004 .

[6]  Dong Qian Regional logistics information platform and resource planning , 2002 .

[7]  Tian Zhi-guang,et al.  Application of an combination forecasting modal in logistics demand , 2004 .

[8]  Lai Yi Application of gray forecast model to transport volume in Jinsha River , 2000 .

[9]  Rajesh Piplani,et al.  On the effectiveness of top-down strategy for forecasting autoregressive demands , 2007 .

[10]  John R. English,et al.  Forecasting freight demand using economic indices , 2002 .

[11]  John Moody,et al.  Fast Learning in Networks of Locally-Tuned Processing Units , 1989, Neural Computation.

[12]  Simon Haykin,et al.  Neural Networks and Learning Machines , 2010 .

[13]  A. Ghanbarzadeh,et al.  Application of PSO (particle swarm optimization) and GA (genetic algorithm) techniques on demand est , 2010 .

[14]  Yun Qing-xia Particle swarm optimization algorithms and its applications , 2006 .

[15]  Hani S. Mahmassani,et al.  Forecasting freight transportation demand with the space-time multinomial probit model , 2000 .