Improving Flood Insurance and Flood Risk Management: Insights from St. Louis, Missouri

This paper examines the history of St. Louis, Missouri in coping with flood risk over the past 15 years, with a focus on flood insurance. Six challenges to the continued management of riverine flood risk are identified and discussed. They are (1) many property owners don’t buy flood insurance, (2) people underestimate flood risk, (3) we need better flood maps, (4) we have a “love affair” with levees, (5) flood risk is increasing over time, and (6) we take deep pride in rebuilding after a disaster. Recommendations for how to improve flood risk management in light of these challenges are offered. Focused attention is given to the possibility of long-term flood insurance contracts tied to long-term loans for risk-mitigating activities in overcoming the six challenges.

[1]  E. S. Overman The Flood Peril and the Federal Flood Insurance Act of 1956 , 1957 .

[2]  Flood Insurance: Can a Feasible Program Be Created? , 1958 .

[3]  J. Krutilla An economic approach to coping with flood damage , 1966 .

[4]  Daniel Kahneman,et al.  Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability , 1973 .

[5]  Dan R. Anderson The National Flood Insurance Program. Problems and Potential , 1974 .

[6]  C. Bel,et al.  The 1973 Flood and Man's Constriction of the Mississippi River , 1975, Science.

[7]  Finn E. Kydland,et al.  Rules Rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans , 1977, Journal of Political Economy.

[8]  Howard Kunreuther,et al.  Economics, psychology and protective behavior , 1978 .

[9]  H. Kunreuther The Changing Societal Consequences of Risks from Natural Hazards , 1979 .

[10]  J. C. Flanagan The American Institutes for Research. , 1984 .

[11]  Colin Camerer,et al.  Decision processes for low probability events: Policy implications , 1989 .

[12]  Gilbert F. White,et al.  The Role of the National Flood Insurance Program in Reducing Losses and Promoting Wise Use of Floodplains , 1994 .

[13]  Peter J. Fensham One Step Forward. , 1995 .

[14]  G. Tobin The levee love affair : a stormy relationship ? , 1995 .

[15]  R. Pielke,et al.  Nine Fallacies of Floods , 1999 .

[16]  Howard Kunreuther,et al.  Paying the price : the status and role of insurance against natural disasters in the United States , 2000 .

[17]  J. Linnerooth‐Bayer Book review: Paying the Price - The Status and Role of Insurance Against Natural Disasters in the United States. H. Kunreuther, R.J. Roth, Sr. (eds) , 2000 .

[18]  Charles A. Perry,et al.  Significant Floods in the United States During the 20th century - USGS Measures a Century of Floods , 2000 .

[19]  Michael Mcfaul,et al.  One Step Forward, Two Steps Back , 2000 .

[20]  Robert E. Criss,et al.  Flood enhancement through flood control , 2001 .

[21]  Wyo Clearinghouse,et al.  NATIONAL FLOOD INSURANCE PROGRAM , 2001 .

[22]  Roger A. Pielke,et al.  Flood Damage in the United States, 1926-2000 A Reanalysis of National Weather Service Estimates , 2002 .

[23]  Hydrologic History of the Lower Missouri River , 2002 .

[24]  D. Moorhead,et al.  Increasing risk of great floods in a changing climate , 2002, Nature.

[25]  FLOOD INSURANCE: Extent of Noncompliance with Purchase Requirements Is Unknown , 2002 .

[26]  The economics of natural hazards. Volume I. , 2004 .

[27]  Nicholas Pinter,et al.  One Step Forward, Two Steps Back on U.S. Floodplains , 2005, Science.

[28]  B. Drazkowski,et al.  Development in the Upper Mississippi Basin: 10 years after the Great Flood of 1993 , 2005 .

[29]  Corinne Calfee,et al.  The National Flood Insurance Program's Mandatory Purchase Requirement: Policies, Processes, and Stakeholders , 2005 .

[30]  Susan L. Cutter,et al.  Are natural hazards and disaster losses in the U.S. increasing , 2005 .

[31]  Managing Future Development Conditions in the National Flood Insurance Program , 2006 .

[32]  Wall Street vs. Main Street: What are the Benefits and Costs of Wal-Mart to Local Communities? , 2006 .

[33]  T. Miller,et al.  Costs and Consequences of Flooding and the Impact of the National Flood Insurance Program , 2006 .

[34]  L. Dixon,et al.  The National Flood Insurance Program’s Market Penetration Rate , 2006 .

[35]  K. Walker After the Deluge , 2007 .

[36]  GAO-09-12 Flood Insurance: FEMA's Rate-Setting Process Warrants Attention , 2008 .

[37]  Long Term Insurance (Lti) for Addressing Catastrophe Risk , 2008 .

[38]  B. Soden,et al.  Atmospheric Warming and the Amplification of Precipitation Extremes , 2008, Science.

[39]  R. Stouffer,et al.  Stationarity Is Dead: Whither Water Management? , 2008, Science.

[40]  Midwest Flooding Disaster: Rethinking Federal Flood Insurance? , 2008 .

[41]  J. García Feijóo [One step forward]. , 2010, Archivos de la Sociedad Espanola de Oftalmologia.

[42]  Joel Waldfogel,et al.  Introduction , 2010, Inf. Econ. Policy.

[43]  C. Kousky,et al.  Come Rain or Shine: Evidence on Flood Insurance Purchases in Florida , 2010 .

[44]  C. Kousky Understanding the Demand for Flood Insurance , 2011 .