Extensions of Stochastic Optimization Results from Problems with Simple to Problems with Complex Failure Probability Functions

We derive an implementable algorithm for solving nonlinear stochastic optimization problems with failure probability constraints using sample average approximations. The paper extends prior results dealing with a failure probability expressed by a single measure to the case of failure probability expressed in terms of multiple performance measures. We also present a new formula for the failure probability gradient. A numerical example addressing the optimal design of a reinforced concrete highway bridge illustrates the algorithm.

[1]  Leonidas Sakalauskas,et al.  Nonlinear stochastic programming by Monte-Carlo estimators , 2002, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[2]  Jason H. Goodfriend,et al.  Discrete Event Systems: Sensitivity Analysis and Stochastic Optimization by the Score Function Method , 1995 .

[3]  Elijah Polak,et al.  Optimization: Algorithms and Consistent Approximations , 1997 .

[4]  Jon A. Wellner,et al.  Weak Convergence and Empirical Processes: With Applications to Statistics , 1996 .

[5]  A. Shapiro Asymptotic Properties of Statistical Estimators in Stochastic Programming , 1989 .

[6]  Stan Uryasev,et al.  Derivatives of probability functions and some applications , 1995, Ann. Oper. Res..

[7]  Armen Der Kiureghian,et al.  Optimal design with probabilistic objective and constraints , 2006 .

[8]  Yorai Wardi,et al.  Convergence Analysis of Stochastic Algorithms , 1996, Math. Oper. Res..

[9]  K. Marti Stochastic Optimization Methods , 2005 .

[10]  Pierre Priouret,et al.  Adaptive Algorithms and Stochastic Approximations , 1990, Applications of Mathematics.

[11]  István Deák,et al.  Three digit accurate multiple normal probabilities , 1980 .

[12]  Peter Kall,et al.  Stochastic Programming , 1995 .

[13]  P. Bjerager Probability Integration by Directional Simulation , 1988 .

[14]  Defeng Sun,et al.  First-Order Algorithms for Generalized Semi-Infinite Min-Max Problems , 1999, Comput. Optim. Appl..

[15]  Yuri M. Ermoliev Stochastic Quasigradient Methods , 2009, Encyclopedia of Optimization.

[16]  Henrik O. Madsen,et al.  Structural Reliability Methods , 1996 .

[17]  M. Talagrand,et al.  Probability in Banach spaces , 1991 .

[18]  Kurt Marti Differentiation formulas for probability functions: The transformation method , 1996, Math. Program..

[19]  Ove Ditlevsen,et al.  Solution of a class of load combination problems by directional simulation , 1986 .