Misunderstandings, myths and mantras in aquaculture: Its contribution to world food supplies has been systematically over reported

Abstract This paper re-evaluates the contributions to global food supplies of ‘aquatic animal-source food’ from aquaculture and capture fisheries, and ‘terrestrial animal-source food’ from livestock farming. Four common misunderstandings in the scientific and policy literature are addressed: (1) aquaculture was the fastest growing food production sector over the past three decades, (2) the growth of global aquaculture production is slowing down, (3) aquaculture has surpassed capture fisheries as the main source of fish for human consumption, and (4) production of aquatic animal-source foods has outstripped that of terrestrial animal-source food. These misunderstandings result partly from misuse of statistics: although possessing a relatively high annual growth rate in percentage terms, production of aquatic animal-source food increased from a much lower basal production level than the production of terrestrial animal-source food. Misunderstanding also arose partly from differences in the ways that aquatic and terrestrial animal-source food production are reported in global statistics. These differences systematically biased the reported gross weight of aquatic animal-source food produced globally upwards relative to that of terrestrial animal-source food. Comparing edible portions of aquatic and terrestrial animal-sources foods revealed the following four main points: first, although having a high annual growth rate in percentage terms, growth in the production of edible aquatic food has lagged far behind that of terrestrial meat by volume; second, aquaculture production has continued to increase despite a declining growth rate and is likely to do so in the future to meet the needs of an increasingly populous and affluent world; third, capture fisheries still produce more edible aquatic food than aquaculture, and fourth, global production of beef exceeds that of farmed aquatic meat. Poultry is the largest animal-source food producing sector and is growing faster than aquaculture by volume.

[1]  L. Klerkx,et al.  How is innovation in aquaculture conceptualized and managed? A systematic literature review and reflection framework to inform analysis and action , 2017 .

[2]  C. Béné,et al.  The potential role of small fish species in improving micronutrient deficiencies in developing countries: building evidence , 2011, Public Health Nutrition.

[3]  James Harle,et al.  Can marine fisheries and aquaculture meet fish demand from a growing human population in a changing climate , 2012 .

[4]  D. Soto,et al.  The ecosystem approach to aquaculture 10 years on – a critical review and consideration of its future role in blue growth , 2019 .

[5]  F. Asche,et al.  The development of large scale aquaculture production: A comparison of the supply chains for chicken and salmon , 2016, Aquaculture.

[6]  D. Little,et al.  Contribution of Fisheries and Aquaculture to Food Security and Poverty Reduction: Assessing the Current Evidence , 2016 .

[7]  K. Arrow,et al.  Does aquaculture add resilience to the global food system? , 2014, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[8]  R. Yip,et al.  Programs against micronutrient malnutrition: ending hidden hunger. , 1994, Annual review of public health.

[9]  D. Little,et al.  Aquaculture: global status and trends , 2010, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

[10]  M. Metian,et al.  Fish Matters: Importance of Aquatic Foods in Human Nutrition and Global Food Supply , 2013 .

[11]  James A. Young,et al.  Sustainable intensification of aquaculture value chains between Asia and Europe: A framework for understanding impacts and challenges , 2017, Aquaculture.

[12]  Trygve Gjedrem,et al.  Genetic improvement for the development of efficient global aquaculture: A personal opinion review , 2012 .

[13]  M. Troell,et al.  Meeting the food and nutrition needs of the poor: the role of fish and the opportunities and challenges emerging from the rise of aquaculturea , 2013, Journal of fish biology.

[14]  Quinn Grundy,et al.  ‘Spin’ in published biomedical literature: A methodological systematic review , 2017, PLoS biology.

[15]  B. Belton,et al.  Beyond net deficits: new priorities for an aquacultural geography , 2014 .

[16]  P. Edwards Aquaculture environment interactions: Past, present and likely future trends , 2015 .

[17]  A. Haines Climate change and health: strengthening the evidence base for policy. , 2008, American journal of preventive medicine.

[18]  Christophe Béné,et al.  Feeding 9 billion by 2050 – Putting fish back on the menu , 2015, Food Security.

[19]  K. Boulding General Systems Theory---The Skeleton of Science , 1956 .

[20]  Morten Rye,et al.  The importance of selective breeding in aquaculture to meet future demands for animal protein: A review , 2012 .

[21]  D. Little,et al.  Not just for the wealthy: Rethinking farmed fish consumption in the Global South , 2017 .

[22]  Lester R. Brown,et al.  Full Planet, Empty Plates: The New Geopolitics of Food Scarcity , 2012 .

[23]  Claire A. Runge,et al.  Comparative terrestrial feed and land use of an aquaculture-dominant world , 2018, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[24]  Sena S. De Silva,et al.  Paradigm changes in freshwater aquaculture practices in China: Moving towards achieving environmental integrity and sustainability , 2017, Ambio.

[25]  Malcolm Beveridge,et al.  Blue frontiers: managing the environmental costs of aquaculture , 2011 .

[26]  Albert G. J. Taconand Marc Metian Fishing for Feed or Fishing for Food: Increasing Global Competition for Small Pelagic Forage Fish , 2009, Ambio.

[27]  Jiashou Liu,et al.  Freshwater aquaculture in PR China: trends and prospects , 2015 .

[28]  D. Little,et al.  Greedy or needy? Land use and climate impacts of food in 2050 under different livestock futures , 2017 .

[29]  M. Metian,et al.  Responsible Aquaculture and Trophic Level Implications to Global Fish Supply , 2009 .

[30]  Peter Checkland,et al.  Systems Thinking, Systems Practice , 1981 .

[31]  Armelle Elasri,et al.  OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 , 2018, OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook.

[32]  D. Johnston,et al.  Statistical Tragedy in Africa? Evaluating the Data Base for African Economic Development , 2015 .

[33]  P. Tyedmers,et al.  Global reduction fisheries and their products in the context of sustainable limits , 2017 .

[34]  Cecile Brugere,et al.  Global aquaculture outlook in the next decades: an analysis of national aquaculture production forecasts to 2030 , 2004 .

[35]  M. Martínez‐Porchas,et al.  World Aquaculture: Environmental Impacts and Troubleshooting Alternatives , 2012, TheScientificWorldJournal.

[36]  B. Belton,et al.  Measuring the potential for sustainable intensification of aquaculture in Bangladesh using life cycle assessment , 2018, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[37]  B. Halpern,et al.  Global opportunities for mariculture development to promote human nutrition , 2018, PeerJ.

[38]  D. Soto,et al.  Global aquaculture and its role in sustainable development. , 2009 .

[39]  R. Naylor,et al.  China's aquaculture and the world's wild fisheries , 2015, Science.