Machine Learning of Factors Influencing Damping and Frequency of Dominant Inter-area Modes in the WECC Interconnect

The stability of inter-area electromechanical oscillations are critical to power system reliability. Due to the complexities of power systems, relationships between system conditions and oscillation characteristics, such as damping and frequency, tend to be expressed only in generalities. In this study, a list of influential factors on Western Electricity Coordinating Council interconnect modal characteristics are identified and evaluated with advanced machine learning techniques including principal component analysis, analysis of variance, classification and regression trees, and support vector machine approaches. The predictive relationships between the influential factors and modal characteristics could be used in the future to develop alert thresholds earlier than measurement-based mode estimation approaches.

[1]  C. E. Grund,et al.  Comparison of Prony and eigenanalysis for power system control design , 1993 .

[2]  Ning Zhou,et al.  Performance of Three Mode-Meter Block-Processing Algorithms for Automated Dynamic Stability Assessment , 2008, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[3]  R. Stephenson A and V , 1962, The British journal of ophthalmology.

[4]  W.A. Mittelstadt,et al.  Use of the WECC WAMS in Wide-Area Probing Tests for Validation of System Performance and Modeling , 2009, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[5]  J. F. Hauer,et al.  Making Prony analysis more accurate using multiple signals , 1999 .

[6]  C. W. Taylor,et al.  Model validation for the August 10, 1996 WSCC system outage , 1999 .

[7]  B. Yegnanarayana,et al.  Artificial Neural Networks , 2004 .

[8]  W. Marsden I and J , 2012 .

[9]  Peter W. Sauer,et al.  Is strong modal resonance a precursor to power system oscillations , 2001 .

[10]  Innocent Kamwa,et al.  A minimal realization approach to reduced-order modelling and modal analysis for power system response signals , 1993 .

[11]  Zhenyu Huang,et al.  Deriving optimal operational rules for mitigating inter-area oscillations , 2011, 2011 IEEE/PES Power Systems Conference and Exposition.

[12]  Isabelle Guyon,et al.  An Introduction to Variable and Feature Selection , 2003, J. Mach. Learn. Res..

[13]  D.J. Trudnowski,et al.  A Perspective on WAMS Analysis Tools for Tracking of Oscillatory Dynamics , 2007, 2007 IEEE Power Engineering Society General Meeting.

[14]  J. F. Hauer,et al.  Initial results in Prony analysis of power system response signals , 1990 .

[15]  D.J. Trudnowski Estimating Electromechanical Mode Shape From Synchrophasor Measurements , 2008, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[16]  J. R. Koehler,et al.  Modern Applied Statistics with S-Plus. , 1996 .

[17]  I T Joliffe,et al.  Principal component analysis and exploratory factor analysis , 1992, Statistical methods in medical research.

[18]  J. H. Chow,et al.  Computation of power system low-order models from time domain simulations using a Hankel matrix , 1997 .

[19]  Andreas Christmann,et al.  Support vector machines , 2008, Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery Handbook.

[20]  J. Quintero,et al.  Oscillation monitoring system based on wide area synchrophasors in power systems , 2007, 2007 iREP Symposium - Bulk Power System Dynamics and Control - VII. Revitalizing Operational Reliability.

[21]  Ian Dobson,et al.  A formula for damping interarea oscillations with generator redispatch , 2013, 2013 IREP Symposium Bulk Power System Dynamics and Control - IX Optimization, Security and Control of the Emerging Power Grid.

[22]  Leo Breiman,et al.  Classification and Regression Trees , 1984 .