The Sun ’ s Total Irradiance : Cycles , Trends and Related Climate Change Uncertainties since 1976

A composite record of the Sun’s total irradiance compiled from measurements made by five independent space-based radiometers since 1978 exhibits a prominent 11year cycle with similar levels during 1986 and 1996, the two most recent minimum epochs of solar activity. This finding contradicts recent assertions of a 0.04% irradiance increase from the 1986 to 1996 solar minima and suggests that solar radiative output trends contributed little of the 0.2C increase in the global mean surface temperature in the past decade. Nor does our 18-year composite irradiance record support a recent upward irradiance trend inferred from solar cycle length, a parameter used to imply a close linkage in the present century between solar variability and climate

[1]  Andrew A. Lacis,et al.  Sun and dust versus greenhouse gases: an assessment of their relative roles in global climate change , 1990, Nature.

[2]  S. Baliunas,et al.  Inference of Solar Irradiance Variability from Terrestrial Temperature Changes, 1880-1993: An Astrophysical Application of the Sun-Climate Connection , 1996 .

[3]  Judith L. Lean,et al.  Magnetic modulation of solar luminosity by photospheric activity , 1988 .

[4]  Douglas V. Hoyt,et al.  A discussion of plausible solar irradiance variations, 1700-1992 , 1993 .

[5]  Gary A. Chapman,et al.  Variations in total solar irradiance during solar cycle 22 , 1996 .

[6]  G. Reid Solar Forcing of Global Climate Change Since The Mid-17th Century , 1997 .

[7]  Robert Benjamin Lee,et al.  Long-term total solar irradiance variability during sunspot cycle 22 , 1995 .

[8]  R. F. Donnelly The solar UV Mg II core-to-wing ratio from the NOAA9 satellite during the rise of solar cycle 22 , 1988 .

[9]  Patrick Minnis,et al.  Forcings and chaos in interannual to decadal climate change , 1997 .

[10]  P. Brandt,et al.  Modelling solar irradiance variations with an area dependent photometric sunspot index , 1994 .

[11]  Edward W. Cliver,et al.  Solar variability and climate change: Geomagnetic aa index and global surface temperature , 1998 .

[12]  Richard C. Willson,et al.  VIRGO: Experiment for helioseismology and solar irradiance monitoring , 1995 .

[13]  Richard C. Willson,et al.  Total Solar Irradiance Trend During Solar Cycles 21 and 22 , 1997 .

[14]  H. Hudson,et al.  The Sun's luminosity over a complete solar cycle , 1991, Nature.

[15]  S. Solanki,et al.  Solar irradiance since 1874 revisited , 1998 .

[16]  Judith L. Lean,et al.  Total Solar Irradiance Variations: The Construction of a Composite and its Comparison with Models , 1997 .

[17]  Steven Dewitte,et al.  Assessment of degradation of VIRGO radiometers on board SOHO , 1997 .

[18]  Robert Benjamin Lee,et al.  First realisation of the Space Absolute Radiometric Reference (SARR) during the ATLAS 2 flight period , 1995 .

[19]  J. Lean,et al.  Reconstruction of solar irradiance since 1610: Implications for climate change , 1995 .

[20]  Judith L. Lean,et al.  THE SUN'S VARIABLE RADIATION AND ITS RELEVANCE FOR EARTH1 , 1997 .

[21]  Douglas V. Hoyt,et al.  The Nimbus 7 solar total irradiance: A new algorithm for its derivation , 1992 .

[22]  T. Wigley,et al.  Climatic change due to solar irradiance changes , 1990 .

[23]  P. Damon,et al.  Solar Forcing of Global Climate Change , 1994 .

[24]  G. Rottman,et al.  Mg II core-to-wing index: Comparison of SBUV2 and SOLSTICE time series , 1997 .