Cardiovascular risk and events in 17 low-, middle-, and high-income countries.

BACKGROUND More than 80% of deaths from cardiovascular disease are estimated to occur in low-income and middle-income countries, but the reasons are unknown. METHODS We enrolled 156,424 persons from 628 urban and rural communities in 17 countries (3 high-income, 10 middle-income, and 4 low-income countries) and assessed their cardiovascular risk using the INTERHEART Risk Score, a validated score for quantifying risk-factor burden without the use of laboratory testing (with higher scores indicating greater risk-factor burden). Participants were followed for incident cardiovascular disease and death for a mean of 4.1 years. RESULTS The mean INTERHEART Risk Score was highest in high-income countries, intermediate in middle-income countries, and lowest in low-income countries (P<0.001). However, the rates of major cardiovascular events (death from cardiovascular causes, myocardial infarction, stroke, or heart failure) were lower in high-income countries than in middle- and low-income countries (3.99 events per 1000 person-years vs. 5.38 and 6.43 events per 1000 person-years, respectively; P<0.001). Case fatality rates were also lowest in high-income countries (6.5%, 15.9%, and 17.3% in high-, middle-, and low-income countries, respectively; P=0.01). Urban communities had a higher risk-factor burden than rural communities but lower rates of cardiovascular events (4.83 vs. 6.25 events per 1000 person-years, P<0.001) and case fatality rates (13.52% vs. 17.25%, P<0.001). The use of preventive medications and revascularization procedures was significantly more common in high-income countries than in middle- or low-income countries (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS Although the risk-factor burden was lowest in low-income countries, the rates of major cardiovascular disease and death were substantially higher in low-income countries than in high-income countries. The high burden of risk factors in high-income countries may have been mitigated by better control of risk factors and more frequent use of proven pharmacologic therapies and revascularization. (Funded by the Population Health Research Institute and others.).

[1]  Jing Liu,et al.  Cardiovascular disease risk factor levels and their relations to CVD rates in China - results of Sino-MONICA project , 2004, European journal of cardiovascular prevention and rehabilitation : official journal of the European Society of Cardiology, Working Groups on Epidemiology & Prevention and Cardiac Rehabilitation and Exercise Physiology.

[2]  S. Yusuf,et al.  Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology (PURE) study: Baseline characteristics of the household sample and comparative analyses with national data in 17 countries. , 2013, American heart journal.

[3]  A. Walker,et al.  Some puzzling situations in the onset, occurrence and future of coronary heart disease in developed and developing populations, particularly such in sub-Saharan Africa , 2004, The journal of the Royal Society for the Promotion of Health.

[4]  Martin McKee,et al.  Prevalence, awareness, treatment, and control of hypertension in rural and urban communities in high-, middle-, and low-income countries. , 2013, JAMA.

[5]  Bernadette A. Thomas,et al.  Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 291 diseases and injuries in 21 regions, 1990–2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010 , 2012, The Lancet.

[6]  H. Rao Use of secondary prevention drugs for cardiovascular disease in the community in high-income, middle-income, and low-income countries (the PURE Study): a prospective epidemiological survey , 2012 .

[7]  Steven Hawken,et al.  Preventive cardiologyAbstractsEffect of potentially modifiable risk factors associated with myocardial infarction in 52 countries (the INTERHEART study): Case-control study , 2004 .

[8]  I. Buchan,et al.  Contributions of treatment and lifestyle to declining CVD mortality: why have CVD mortality rates declined so much since the 1960s? , 2012, Heart.

[9]  F. Paccaud,et al.  The social transition of risk factors for cardiovascular disease in the African region: evidence from three cross-sectional surveys in the Seychelles. , 2013, International journal of cardiology.

[10]  R. Peto,et al.  Verbal autopsy of 80,000 adult deaths in Tamilnadu, South India , 2004, BMC public health.

[11]  R. Peto,et al.  Prospective Study of One Million Deaths in India: Rationale, Design, and Validation Results , 2005, PLoS medicine.

[12]  S. Yusuf,et al.  Estimating modifiable coronary heart disease risk in multiple regions of the world: the INTERHEART Modifiable Risk Score. , 2011, European heart journal.

[13]  Paul Elliott,et al.  Coronary heart disease epidemiology : from aetiology to public health , 1992 .

[14]  H. Tunstall-Pedoe,et al.  Estimation of contribution of changes in coronary care to improving survival, event rates, and coronary heart disease mortality across the WHO MONICA Project populations , 2000, The Lancet.

[15]  Salim Yusuf,et al.  The Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology (PURE) study: examining the impact of societal influences on chronic noncommunicable diseases in low-, middle-, and high-income countries. , 2009, American heart journal.

[16]  Andrew E Moran,et al.  Global and regional burden of first-ever ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke during 1990–2010: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010 , 2013, The Lancet. Global health.

[17]  S. Yusuf,et al.  Risk factors for ischaemic and intracerebral haemorrhagic stroke in 22 countries (the INTERSTROKE study): a case-control study , 2010, The Lancet.