Assessment of probability distributions for continuous random variables: A comparison of the bisection and fixed value methods

[1]  Ronald L. Iman,et al.  Expert opinion in risk analysis: the NUREG-1150 methodology , 1989 .

[2]  P. Garthwaite Fractile assessments for a linear regression model: an experimental study , 1989 .

[3]  Spyros Makridakis,et al.  Factors affecting judgmental forecasts and confidence intervals , 1989 .

[4]  David L. Ronis,et al.  Probability judgment accuracy: China, Japan, and the United States , 1989 .

[5]  H. Raiffa,et al.  Judgment under uncertainty: A progress report on the training of probability assessors , 1982 .

[6]  D. A. Seaver,et al.  Eliciting subjective probability distributions on continuous variables , 1978 .

[7]  D H Gustafson,et al.  Comparison of five methods for estimating subjective probability distributions. , 1977, Organizational behavior and human performance.

[8]  George R. Chesley Subjective Probability Elicitation: A Comparison of Performance Variables , 1977 .

[9]  R. L. Winkler,et al.  Scoring Rules for Continuous Probability Distributions , 1976 .

[10]  Carl-Axel S. Staël von Holstein,et al.  Exceptional Paper---Probability Encoding in Decision Analysis , 1975 .

[11]  A. Tversky,et al.  Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , 1974, Science.

[12]  George P. Huber,et al.  METHODS FOR QUANTIFYING SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITIES AND MULTI‐ATTRIBUTE UTILITIES*† , 1974 .

[13]  Ralf E. Schaefer,et al.  The assessment of subjective probability distributions: A training experiment☆ , 1973 .

[14]  Carl-Axel S. Staël von Holstein,et al.  Probabilistic forecasting: An experiment related to the stock market , 1972 .

[15]  Carl-Axel S. Staël von Holstein,et al.  Two techniques for assessment of subjective probability distributions — An experimental study☆ , 1971 .