The East Asian crime drop?

The ‘crime drop’ refers to the substantial reductions in crime reported in many industrialised countries over at least the past quarter century. Asian countries are underrepresented in the crime drop literature. Little is therefore known about whether the same type and levels of crime reductions have been observed, and if prevailing explanations hold. In this study, we examine trends in burglary and car crime using police recorded crime data from Hong Kong, Japan and Taiwan. We show that Japan and Taiwan experienced crime drops similar to that reported elsewhere but occurring more recently in the early 2000s. Hong Kong appears anomalous, with a major crime decline emerging from the early 1980s. The study concludes that there is sufficient evidence to justify further research and sets out suggestions to that end.

[1]  A. Verma,et al.  Crime Rates in India , 2015 .

[2]  Ronald V. Clarke,et al.  Opportunity makes the thief. Really? And so what? , 2012, Crime Science.

[3]  A. Tseloni,et al.  The international crime drop : new directions in research , 2012 .

[4]  R. Nevin Understanding international crime trends: the legacy of preschool lead exposure. , 2007, Environmental research.

[5]  P. Mayhew The Case of Australia and New Zealand , 2012 .

[6]  Michael R. Gottfredson,et al.  OF CRIMINAL VICTIMIZATION , 1981 .

[7]  Nick Tilley,et al.  Signature dish: Triangulation from data signatures to examine the role of security in falling crime , 2016 .

[8]  Nick Tilley,et al.  Exploring the international decline in crime rates , 2010 .

[9]  Pieter H. Hartel,et al.  Crime science: editorial statement , 2012 .

[10]  D. Hemenway The city that became safe: New York's lessons for urban crime and its control , 2012, Injury Prevention.

[11]  W. V. D. Broek,et al.  Opportunity makes a thief , 2018 .

[12]  Nick Tilley,et al.  Explaining and sustaining the crime drop: Clarifying the role of opportunity-related theories , 2010 .

[13]  A. Tseloni,et al.  Global Overview: International Trends in Victimization and Recorded Crime , 2012 .

[14]  L. Langton,et al.  Household burglary, 1994-2011 , 2013 .

[15]  Steven D. Levitt,et al.  Understanding Why Crime Fell in the 1990s: Four Factors That Explain the Decline and Six That Do Not , 2022 .

[16]  R. Svensson Strategic Offences in the Criminal Career Context , 2002 .

[17]  S. Kriven,et al.  New Car Security and Shifting Vehicle Theft Patterns in Australia , 2007 .

[18]  G. Farrell Attempted Crime and the Crime Drop , 2016 .

[19]  Nick Tilley,et al.  The Crime Drop and the Security Hypothesis , 2011 .

[20]  Claire Nee,et al.  Car Theft: The Offender's Perspective , 1993 .

[21]  David T. Johnson The Homicide Drop in Postwar Japan , 2008 .

[22]  Graham Farrell,et al.  Five tests for a theory of the crime drop , 2013 .

[23]  Nick Tilley,et al.  Why the Crime Drop? , 2014, Crime and Justice.

[24]  Matthew P. J. Ashby,et al.  A comparison of methods for temporal analysis of aoristic crime , 2013 .

[25]  Andrea L. Bertozzi,et al.  Crime topic modeling , 2017, Crime Science.

[26]  M. Killias,et al.  The Crime Drop Discourse — or the Illusion of Uniform Continental Trends: Switzerland as a Contrasting Case , 2012 .

[27]  M. Ouimet Explaining the American and Canadian Crime Drop in the 1990’s , 2004 .

[28]  A. Tseloni,et al.  Domestic burglary drop and the security hypothesis , 2017, Crime Science.

[29]  Nick Tilley,et al.  Target Suitability and the Crime Drop , 2015 .

[30]  A. Frate,et al.  The Crime Drop in ‘Non-Western’ Countries: A Review of Homicide Data , 2012 .