On a family of risk measures based on proportional hazards models and tail probabilities

Abstract In this paper, we explore a class of tail variability measures based on distances among proportional hazards models. Tail versions of some well-known variability measures, such as the Gini mean difference, the Wang right tail deviation and the cumulative residual entropy are, up to a scale factor, in this class. These tail variability measures are combined with tail conditional expectation to generate premium principles that are especially useful to price heavy-tailed risks. We study their properties, including stochastic consistency and bounds, as well as the coherence of the associated premium principles.

[1]  S. Haberman,et al.  Entropy, longevity and the cost of annuities , 2011 .

[2]  A. Di Crescenzo,et al.  A residual inaccuracy measure based on the relevation transform , 2018 .

[3]  Miguel A. Sordo,et al.  Comparing tail variabilities of risks by means of the excess wealth order , 2009 .

[4]  S. M. Sunoj,et al.  Some properties of cumulative Tsallis entropy of order $$\alpha $$α , 2019 .

[5]  M. A. Sordo Characterizations of classes of risk measures by dispersive orders , 2008 .

[6]  Shaun S. Wang,et al.  Insurance pricing and increased limits ratemaking by proportional hazards transforms , 1995 .

[7]  S. Kapodistria,et al.  SOME EXTENSIONS OF THE RESIDUAL LIFETIME AND ITS CONNECTION TO THE CUMULATIVE RESIDUAL ENTROPY , 2011, Probability in the Engineering and Informational Sciences.

[8]  C. Acerbi Spectral measures of risk: A coherent representation of subjective risk aversion , 2002 .

[9]  Stan Uryasev,et al.  Generalized deviations in risk analysis , 2004, Finance Stochastics.

[10]  M. Puri,et al.  Testing hypotheses about the equality of several risk measure values with applications in insurance , 2006 .

[11]  Jorge Navarro,et al.  Generalized cumulative residual entropy and record values , 2013 .

[12]  P. Bickel,et al.  DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS FOR NONPARAMETRIC MODELS IV. SPREAD , 1979 .

[13]  Ruodu Wang,et al.  Gini-Type Measures of Risk and Variability: Gini Shortfall, Capital Allocations, and Heavy-Tailed Risks , 2016 .

[14]  On Some Risk-Adjusted Tail-Based Premium Calculation Principles , 2006 .

[15]  M. Goovaerts,et al.  Decision principles derived from risk measures , 2010 .

[16]  S. Sunoj,et al.  A quantile-based study of cumulative residual Tsallis entropy measures , 2018 .

[17]  Testing variability orderings by using Gini’s mean differences , 2016 .

[18]  M. A. Sordo,et al.  Stochastic ordering properties for systems with dependent identically distributed components , 2013 .

[19]  Jong-Hyeon Jeong Statistical Inference on Residual Life , 2014 .

[20]  Ruodu Wang,et al.  A Theory for Measures of Tail Risk , 2016, Math. Oper. Res..

[21]  Philippe Artzner,et al.  Coherent Measures of Risk , 1999 .

[22]  G. Willmot,et al.  Characterization, Robustness and Aggregation of Signed Choquet Integrals , 2019 .

[23]  Bruce L. Jones,et al.  Risk measures, distortion parameters, and their empirical estimation , 2007 .

[24]  Edward Furman,et al.  Tail Variance Premium with Applications for Elliptical Portfolio of Risks , 2006, ASTIN Bulletin.

[25]  Emiliano A. Valdez Tail Conditional Variance for Elliptically Contoured Distributions , 2004 .

[26]  Majid Asadi,et al.  On the dynamic cumulative residual entropy , 2007 .

[27]  Shlomo Yitzhaki,et al.  Gini’s Mean difference: a superior measure of variability for non-normal distributions , 2003 .

[28]  Harry H. Panjer,et al.  Insurance Risk Models , 1992 .

[29]  Bruce L. Jones,et al.  Empirical Estimation of Risk Measures and Related Quantities , 2003 .

[30]  Miguel A. Sordo,et al.  Stochastic comparisons of interfailure times under a relevation replacement policy , 2017, J. Appl. Probab..

[31]  David J. Edwards,et al.  Mean Residual Life , 2011, International Encyclopedia of Statistical Science.

[32]  Richard E. Barlow,et al.  Statistical Theory of Reliability and Life Testing: Probability Models , 1976 .

[33]  M. Righi,et al.  Shortfall Deviation Risk: An alternative to risk measurement , 2015, 1501.02007.

[34]  Abdolsaeed Toomaj,et al.  On the generalized cumulative residual entropy with applications in actuarial science , 2017, J. Comput. Appl. Math..

[35]  R. Dorfman A Formula for the Gini Coefficient , 1979 .

[36]  Yunmei Chen,et al.  Cumulative residual entropy: a new measure of information , 2004, IEEE Transactions on Information Theory.

[37]  Shaun S. Wang An Actuarial Index of the Right-Tail Risk , 1998 .

[38]  M. A. Sordo,et al.  Stochastic comparisons of distorted variability measures , 2011 .

[39]  Majid Asadi,et al.  Some new results on the cumulative residual entropy , 2010 .

[40]  C. Leser Variations in mortality and life expectation , 1955 .

[41]  P. Embrechts,et al.  Estimates for the probability of ruin with special emphasis on the possibility of large claims , 1982 .

[42]  Lei Yan,et al.  On the dynamic cumulative residual quantile entropy ordering , 2016 .

[43]  Miguel A. Sordo,et al.  A family of premium principles based on mixtures of TVaRs , 2016 .