Social resolution of conflicts over water resources allocation in a river basin using cooperative game theory approaches: a case study

ABSTRACT In this paper, cooperative game theory (CGT) approaches are used for water allocation in a river basin considering equity benefit shares among stakeholders. An optimization model is initially developed for allocating water to competing users including agricultural, industrial, and environmental users based on both economic objectives. The model is implemented to determine water shares for different likely coalitions among water users. Then, CGT approaches such as Shapely, Nucleolus, and Nash-Harsanyi are used for reallocating net profits to the users as an attempt to encourage them to participate in equitable cooperation. Finally, the results of different game theoretic approaches are evaluated using the stability index and voting methods such as social choice and fallback bargaining. The proposed methodology is applied to the Zayandehrood River basin located in central part of Iran which struggles with water scarcity. The different CGT approaches applied to two predefined real-life scenarios in the basin under study and their performance were evaluated. The results indicate the proper performance of both Nash-Harsanyi and Shapely methods for pessimist and optimistic scenarios, respectively. It is also found that application of the proposed methodology effectively increases the users’ benefits in the study region through optimal water allocation and reallocation of benefits.

[1]  Keith W. Hipel,et al.  Water Resources Allocation: A Cooperative Game Theoretic Approach , 2003 .

[2]  E. Barbier,et al.  Water allocation between states in inter-basin water transfer in India , 2011 .

[3]  E. Ansink,et al.  Climate Change and the Stability of Water Allocation Agreements , 2007 .

[4]  Keith W. Hipel,et al.  Non-Cooperative Stability Definitions for Strategic Analysis of Generic Water Resources Conflicts , 2011 .

[5]  M. Bacharach Two-person Cooperative Games , 1976 .

[6]  J. Tisdell,et al.  Estimating an optimal distribution of water entitlements , 1992 .

[7]  Lizhong Wang,et al.  Basin-wide cooperative water resources allocation , 2008, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[8]  Mohammad Karamouz,et al.  A stochastic conflict resolution model for water quality management in reservoir–river systems , 2007 .

[9]  E. Kohlberg On the Nucleolus of a Characteristic Function Game , 1971 .

[10]  J. Harsanyi A bargaining model for the cooperative n-person game , 1958 .

[11]  P. Straffin,et al.  Game theory and the tennessee valley authority , 1981 .

[12]  S. Brams,et al.  Fallback Bargaining , 2001 .

[13]  Ariel Dinar,et al.  Cooperative Institutions for Sustainable Management of Common Pool Resources , 2011 .

[14]  Reza Kerachian,et al.  Water Resources Allocation Using a Cooperative Game with Fuzzy Payoffs and Fuzzy Coalitions , 2012, Water Resources Management.

[15]  Climis A. Davos,et al.  Cost allocation of multiagency water resource projects: game theoretic approaches and case study , 1995 .

[16]  Mohammad Karamouz,et al.  Probabilistic reservoir operation using Bayesian stochastic model and support vector machine , 2009 .

[17]  Philip Wolfe,et al.  Contributions to the theory of games , 1953 .

[18]  Laura Read,et al.  Voting Under Uncertainty: A Stochastic Framework for Analyzing Group Decision Making Problems , 2014, Water Resources Management.

[19]  Joseph Persky,et al.  Robust voting , 1999 .

[20]  Hans-Peter Weikard,et al.  Sequential sharing rules for river sharing problems , 2010, Soc. Choice Welf..

[21]  Erik Mostert,et al.  Conflict and co‐operation in international freshwater management: A global review , 2003 .

[22]  Kaveh Madani,et al.  Game theory and water resources , 2010 .

[23]  John C. Harsanyi,et al.  A Simplified Bargaining Model for the n-Person Cooperative Game , 1963 .

[24]  Azadeh Ahmadi,et al.  Integrated river basin planning and management: a case study of the Zayandehrud River basin, Iran , 2013 .

[25]  D. Gately Sharing the Gains from Regional Cooperation: A Game Theoretic Application to Planning Investment in Electric Power , 1974 .

[26]  K. Madani,et al.  Bargaining over the Caspian Sea- the Largest Lake on the Earth , 2008 .

[27]  S. Raquel,et al.  Application of game theory for a groundwater conflict in Mexico. , 2007, Journal of environmental management.

[28]  Andrew Whinston,et al.  Cost allocation for a regional wastewater treatment system , 1979 .

[29]  Mohammad Karamouz,et al.  Development of stochastic dynamic Nash game model for reservoir operation. I. The symmetric stochastic model with perfect information , 2007 .

[30]  Najmeh Mahjouri,et al.  A game theoretic approach for interbasin water resources allocation considering the water quality issues , 2010, Environmental monitoring and assessment.

[31]  D. Whittington,et al.  Incentive compatibility and conflict resolution in international river basins: A case study of the Nile Basin , 2006 .

[32]  H. Young,et al.  Cost allocation in water resources development , 1982 .