Stochastic functional Kolmogorov equations, I: Persistence

This work (Part (I)) together with its companion (Part (II) [45]) develops a new framework for stochastic functional Kolmogorov equations, which are nonlinear stochastic differential equations depending on the current as well as the past states. Because of the complexity of the results, it seems to be instructive to divide our contributions to two parts. In contrast to the existing literature, our effort is to advance the knowledge by allowing delay and past dependence, yielding essential utility to a wide range of applications. A long-standing question of fundamental importance pertaining to biology and ecology is: What are the minimal necessary and sufficient conditions for long-term persistence and extinction (or for long-term coexistence of interacting species) of a population? Regardless of the particular applications encountered, persistence and extinction are properties shared by Kolmogorov systems. While there are many excellent treaties of stochastic-differential-equation-based Kolmogorov equations, the work on stochastic Kolmogorov equations with past dependence is still scarce. Our aim here is to answer the aforementioned basic question. This work, Part (I), is devoted to characterization of persistence, whereas its companion, Part (II) [45], is devoted to extinction. The main techniques used in this paper include the newly developed functional Itô formula and asymptotic coupling and Harris-like theory for infinite dimensional systems specialized to functional equations. General theorems for stochastic functional Kolmogorov equations are developed first. Then a number of applications are examined to obtain new results substantially covering, improving, and extending the existing literature. Furthermore, these conditions reduce to that of Kolmogorov systems when there is no past dependence.

[1]  Claude Lobry,et al.  Lotka–Volterra with randomly fluctuating environments or “how switching between beneficial environments can make survival harder” , 2014, 1412.1107.

[2]  Nicanor Quijano,et al.  Replicator dynamics under perturbations and time delays , 2016, Math. Control. Signals Syst..

[3]  Michel Benaim,et al.  Stochastic Persistence , 2018, 1806.08450.

[4]  Gang George Yin,et al.  Classification of Asymptotic Behavior in a Stochastic SIR Model , 2015, SIAM J. Appl. Dyn. Syst..

[5]  Rama Cont,et al.  Functional Ito calculus and stochastic integral representation of martingales , 2010, 1002.2446.

[6]  P. Taylor,et al.  Evolutionarily Stable Strategies and Game Dynamics , 1978 .

[7]  Shulin Sun,et al.  Asymptotic behavior of a stochastic delayed chemostat model with nonmonotone uptake function , 2018, Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications.

[8]  SHULIN SUN,et al.  ASYMPTOTIC BEHAVIOR OF A STOCHASTIC DELAYED CHEMOSTAT MODEL WITH NUTRIENT STORAGE , 2018, Journal of Biological Systems.

[9]  Jonathan C. Mattingly,et al.  Asymptotic coupling and a general form of Harris’ theorem with applications to stochastic delay equations , 2009, 0902.4495.

[10]  Chuanzhi Bai,et al.  Population dynamical behavior of a two-predator one-prey stochastic model with time delay , 2017 .

[11]  S. Schreiber,et al.  Persistence in fluctuating environments for interacting structured populations , 2013, Journal of Mathematical Biology.

[12]  P. Verhulst Notice sur la loi que la population pursuit dans son accroissement , 1838 .

[13]  Sebastian J. Schreiber,et al.  Protected polymorphisms and evolutionary stability of patch-selection strategies in stochastic environments , 2014, bioRxiv.

[14]  J. Hofbauer,et al.  Time averages, recurrence and transience in the stochastic replicator dynamics , 2009, 0908.4467.

[15]  Jan Alboszta,et al.  Stability of evolutionarily stable strategies in discrete replicator dynamics with time delay. , 2004, Journal of theoretical biology.

[16]  George Yin,et al.  General nonlinear stochastic systems motivated by chemostat models: Complete characterization of long-time behavior, optimal controls, and applications to wastewater treatment , 2017 .

[17]  Jim M Cushing,et al.  Integrodifferential Equations and Delay Models in Population Dynamics , 1977 .

[18]  George Yin,et al.  Stochastic functional Kolmogorov equations II: Extinction , 2021, 2105.05127.

[19]  George Yin,et al.  Long-Term Analysis of a Stochastic SIRS Model with General Incidence Rates , 2020, SIAM J. Appl. Math..

[20]  Eitan Altman,et al.  Evolutionary Games in Wireless Networks , 2010, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part B (Cybernetics).

[21]  Rong Yuan,et al.  The existence of stationary distribution of a stochastic delayed chemostat model , 2019, Appl. Math. Lett..

[22]  Ahmed Alsaedi,et al.  Asymptotic behaviors of a stochastic delayed SIR epidemic model with nonlinear incidence , 2016, Commun. Nonlinear Sci. Numer. Simul..

[23]  Jian Wu Analysis of a Three-Species Stochastic Delay Predator-Prey System with Imprecise Parameters , 2019 .

[24]  Rama Cont,et al.  Change of variable formulas for non-anticipative functionals on path space ✩ , 2010, 1004.1380.

[25]  N. Du,et al.  Permanence and extinction for the stochastic SIR epidemic model , 2018, 1812.03333.

[26]  M. Riedle,et al.  Delay differential equations driven by Lévy processes: Stationarity and Feller properties , 2005 .

[27]  A. Novick,et al.  Description of the chemostat. , 1950, Science.

[28]  S. F. Ellermeyer,et al.  Competition in the Chemostat: Global Asymptotic Behavior of a Model with Delayed Response in Growth , 1994, SIAM J. Appl. Math..

[29]  Xuerong Mao,et al.  Stochastic differential equations and their applications , 1997 .

[30]  Daqing Jiang,et al.  The threshold of a stochastic delayed SIR epidemic model with temporary immunity , 2016 .

[31]  George Yin,et al.  Stability of Stochastic Functional Differential Equations with Regime-Switching: Analysis Using Dupire’s Functional Itô Formula , 2019, Potential Analysis.

[32]  S. Schreiber Persistence for stochastic difference equations: a mini-review , 2011, 1109.5967.

[33]  H. I. Freedman,et al.  Coexistence in a model of competition in the Chemostat incorporating discrete delays , 1989 .

[34]  Jianhai Bao,et al.  Asymptotic Analysis for Functional Stochastic Differential Equations , 2016 .

[35]  Jing Geng,et al.  Stability of a stochastic one-predator-two-prey population model with time delays , 2017, Commun. Nonlinear Sci. Numer. Simul..

[36]  Nicanor Quijano,et al.  A population dynamics approach for the water distribution problem , 2010, Int. J. Control.

[37]  Meng Liu,et al.  Stability in distribution of a three-species stochastic cascade predator-prey system with time delays , 2017 .

[38]  Josef Hofbauer,et al.  Evolutionary Games and Population Dynamics , 1998 .

[39]  Hong Qiu,et al.  A remark on a stochastic predator-prey system with time delays , 2013, Appl. Math. Lett..

[40]  Nguyen Huu Du,et al.  Permanence and extinction of certain stochastic SIR models perturbed by a complex type of noises , 2017, Appl. Math. Lett..

[41]  Meng Liu,et al.  Optimal harvesting of a stochastic delay competitive model , 2017 .

[42]  M. Nowak,et al.  Evolutionary Dynamics of Biological Games , 2004, Science.

[43]  N. Yousfi,et al.  Stability analysis of a stochastic delayed SIR epidemic model with general incidence rate , 2018 .

[44]  M. Benaim,et al.  Random switching between vector fields having a common zero , 2017, The Annals of Applied Probability.

[45]  Sebastian J. Schreiber,et al.  Persistence in fluctuating environments , 2010, Journal of mathematical biology.

[46]  Xuerong Mao,et al.  Stochastic Differential Equations With Markovian Switching , 2006 .

[47]  N. Du,et al.  Conditions for Permanence and Ergodicity of Certain SIR Epidemic Models , 2018, Acta Applicandae Mathematicae.

[48]  Daqing Jiang,et al.  The threshold of a stochastic delayed SIR epidemic model with vaccination , 2016 .

[49]  Andres Pantoja,et al.  Building Temperature Control Based on Population Dynamics , 2014, IEEE Transactions on Control Systems Technology.

[50]  Xuerong Mao,et al.  Stochastic delay Lotka-Volterra model , 2004 .

[51]  Bruno Dupire,et al.  Functional Itô Calculus , 2009 .

[52]  T. D. Tuong,et al.  Longtime behavior of a class of stochastic tumor-immune systems , 2020, Syst. Control. Lett..

[53]  Guoting Chen,et al.  STABILITY OF STOCHASTIC DELAYED SIR MODEL , 2009 .

[54]  Alexandru Hening,et al.  Coexistence and extinction for stochastic Kolmogorov systems , 2017, The Annals of Applied Probability.

[55]  D. M. V. Hesteren Evolutionary Game Theory , 2017 .

[56]  W. O. Kermack,et al.  Contributions to the Mathematical Theory of Epidemics. II. The Problem of Endemicity , 1932 .

[57]  Nguyen Huu Du,et al.  Conditions for permanence and ergodicity of certain stochastic predator–prey models , 2015, Journal of Applied Probability.

[58]  L. Imhof The long-run behavior of the stochastic replicator dynamics , 2005, math/0503529.

[59]  Peter Chesson,et al.  Invasibility and stochastic boundedness in monotonic competition models , 1989 .

[60]  Volker Stix,et al.  Approximating the maximum weight clique using replicator dynamics , 2000, IEEE Trans. Neural Networks Learn. Syst..

[61]  Gail S. K. Wolkowicz,et al.  Global Asymptotic Behavior of a Chemostat Model with Discrete Delays , 1997, SIAM J. Appl. Math..

[62]  W. O. Kermack,et al.  Contributions to the mathematical theory of epidemics—I , 1991, Bulletin of mathematical biology.