Bounded rationality and cognitive development: Upper limits on growth?

Abstract Piaget's characterization of formal operational thought and human judgment psychologists' model of bounded rationality are considered as two conflicting models dealing with the same domain of interest: the nature and limits of mature thought. Piaget's suggestion that the formal operational thinker brings the skills of hypothetico-deductive logic to deal adequately with environmental complexity is in sharp contrast with judgment psychologists' evidence that information-processing limitations and faulty reasoning leave decision makers poorly equipped to deal with their decision environments. While the two approaches have generated conflicting models, a look at the respective data bases demonstrates their complementarity. Considered together, the literatures in formal operations and bounded rationality make a formidable contribution to understanding the capacities and limits of mature cognition.

[1]  Eugene Borgida,et al.  The Differential Impact of Abstract vs. Concrete Information on Decisions , 1977 .

[2]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  Behavioral Decision Theory , 1977 .

[3]  R. Dawes,et al.  Linear models in decision making. , 1974 .

[4]  J. Smedslund THE CONCEPT OF CORRELATION IN ADULTS , 1963 .

[5]  J. Piaget Intellectual Evolution from Adolescence to Adulthood , 1972 .

[6]  Paul Slovic,et al.  Response-induced reversals of preference in gambling: An extended replication in las vegas , 1973 .

[7]  James K. Brewer,et al.  A NOTE ON THE POWER OF STATISTICAL TESTS IN THE JOURNAL OF EDUCATIONAL MEASUREMENT , 1973 .

[8]  Suzanne Martorano A developmental analysis of performance on Piaget's formal operations tasks. , 1977 .

[9]  R. Dawes A case study of graduate admissions: Application of three principles of human decision making. , 1971 .

[10]  P. Slovic,et al.  Reversals of preference between bids and choices in gambling decisions. , 1971 .

[11]  T. Trabasso,et al.  Transitive Inferences and Memory in Young Children , 1971, Nature.

[12]  Gene L. Carv Handbook of adolescence , 1978 .

[13]  L. J. Chapman,et al.  Illusory correlation as an obstacle to the use of valid psychodiagnostic signs. , 1969, Journal of abnormal psychology.

[14]  Rochel Gelman,et al.  Logical Capacity of Very Young Children: Number Invariance Rules. , 1972 .

[15]  F. Danner,et al.  Eliciting Formal Operations. , 1977 .

[16]  A. Tversky,et al.  Subjective Probability: A Judgment of Representativeness , 1972 .

[17]  A. Tversky,et al.  BELIEF IN THE LAW OF SMALL NUMBERS , 1971, Pediatrics.

[18]  D. Keating Precocious Cognitive Development at the Level of Formal Operations. , 1975 .

[19]  L. R. Goldberg Simple models or simple processes? Some research on clinical judgments. , 1968, The American psychologist.

[20]  Robert H. Ennis Children’s Ability to Handle Piaget’s Propositional Logic: A Conceptual Critique , 1975 .

[21]  R. Siegler Three aspects of cognitive development , 1976, Cognitive Psychology.

[22]  P BAKAN,et al.  Response-tendencies in attempts to generate random binary series. , 1960, The American journal of psychology.

[23]  H. Simon,et al.  Models of Man. , 1957 .

[24]  J. Piaget,et al.  The Growth Of Logical Thinking From Childhood To Adolescence: An Essay On The Construction Of Formal Operational Structures , 1958 .

[25]  Paul Slovic,et al.  Dimensional Commensurability and Cue Utilization in Comparative Judgment. , 1974 .

[26]  H. M. Jenkins,et al.  JUDGMENT OF CONTINGENCY BETWEEN RESPONSES AND OUTCOMES. , 1965, Psychological monographs.

[27]  Jacob Cohen,et al.  The statistical power of abnormal-social psychological research: a review. , 1962, Journal of abnormal and social psychology.

[28]  E. Neimark Longitudinal development of formal operations thought. , 1975 .

[29]  Paul E. Meehl,et al.  Clinical Versus Statistical Prediction: A Theoretical Analysis and a Review of the Evidence , 1996 .

[30]  L. J. Chapman,et al.  Genesis of popular but erroneous psychodiagnostic observations. , 1967, Journal of abnormal psychology.

[31]  Hillel J. Einhorn,et al.  Expert measurement and mechanical combination , 1972 .

[32]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  Attribution Theory and Judgment under Uncertainty , 1975 .

[33]  S. Fulero,et al.  From individual to group impressions: Availability heuristics in stereotype formation , 1978 .

[34]  Mark R. Lepper,et al.  Social explanation and social expectation: Effects of real and hypothetical explanations on subjective likelihood. , 1977 .

[35]  E. Langer The illusion of control. , 1975 .

[36]  S JACKSON,et al.  THE GROWTH OF LOGICAL THINKING IN NORMAL AND SUBNORMAL CHILDREN. , 1965, The British journal of educational psychology.

[37]  Daniel Kahneman,et al.  Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability , 1973 .

[38]  A. Blasi,et al.  Adolescence and formal operations. , 1974, Human development.

[39]  K. Lovell,et al.  A follow-up study of Inhelder and Piaget's The Growth of Logical Thinking. , 1961, British journal of psychology.

[40]  J. Piaget,et al.  The Origin of the Idea of Chance in Children , 1975 .

[41]  S. Amano,et al.  Psychology of Reasoning , 1923 .