Tools for Thinking—Modelling in Management Science

Preface ix Acknowledgements xi PART I MODELLING IN MANAGEMENT SCIENCE 1 1 Models as convenient worlds 3 2 Management Science - making sense of strategic vision 21 3 Problems, problems ... 43 4 Some principles of modelling 63 PART II INTERPRETIVE MODELLING - SOFT MANAGEMENT SCIENCE 83 5 Soft systems methodology 89 6 Cognitive mapping, SODA and journey-making 109 7 System dynamics 135 8 Decision analysis 157 PART III MATHEMATICAL AND LOGICAL MODELLING 185 9 Optimization modelling - linear programming 187 10 Computer simulation - visual interactive modelling and Monte Carlo simulation 211 11 Heuristic search 241 PART IV MODEL ASSESSMENT AND VALIDATION 263 12 Model assessment and validation 265 Index 285