Information Disclosure, Cognitive Biases and Payday Borrowing

If people face cognitive limitations or biases that lead to financial mistakes, what are possible ways lawmakers can help? One approach is to remove the option of the bad decision; another approach is to increase financial education such that individuals can reason through choices when they arise. A third, less discussed, approach is to mandate disclosure of information in a form that enables people to overcome limitations or biases at the point of the decision. This third approach is the topic of this paper. We study whether and what information can be disclosed to payday loan borrowers to lower their use of high-cost debt via a field experiment at a national chain of payday lenders. We find that information that helps people think less narrowly (over time) about the cost of payday borrowing, and in particular information that reinforces the adding-up effect over pay cycles of the dollar fees incurred on a payday loan, reduces the take-up of payday loans by about 10 percent in a 4 month-window following exposure to the new information. Overall, our results suggest that consumer information regulations based on a deeper understanding of cognitive biases might be an effective policy tool when it comes to regulating payday borrowing, and possibly other financial and non-financial products.

[1]  David Laibson,et al.  Commentary on “Choice Bracketing” by Read, Loewenstein and Rabin , 1999 .

[2]  J. Tobacman,et al.  Measuring the individual-level effects of access to credit: evidence from payday loans , 2007 .

[3]  F. A. Hayek The American Economic Review , 2007 .

[4]  Jeremy Tobacman,et al.  Do Payday Loans Cause Bankruptcy? , 2009, The Journal of Law and Economics.

[5]  E. Duflo,et al.  How Much Should We Trust Differences-in-Differences Estimates? , 2001 .

[6]  H. Markowitz The Utility of Wealth , 1952, Journal of Political Economy.

[7]  A. Lusardi Saving and the Effectiveness of Financial Education , 2003 .

[8]  R. Buehler,et al.  Exploring the "planning fallacy": Why people underestimate their task completion times. , 1994 .

[9]  Adair Morse,et al.  Payday Lenders: Heroes or Villains? , 2009 .

[10]  Daniel Read,et al.  Choice Bracketing , 1999 .

[11]  Jonathan A. Parker,et al.  The Reaction of Household Consumption to Predictable Changes in Social Security Taxes , 1999 .

[12]  Ethan Cohen-Cole,et al.  Your House or Your Credit Card, Which Would You Choose? Personal Delinquency Tradeoffs and Precautionary Liquidity Motives , 2010 .

[13]  Jonathan Zinman Restricting Consumer Credit Access: Household Survey Evidence on Effects around the Oregon Rate Cap , 2008 .

[14]  E. Duflo,et al.  How Much Should We Trust Differences-in-Differences Estimates? , 2001 .

[15]  R. Rosenberg,et al.  The New Moneylenders: Are the Poor Being Exploited by High Microcredit Interest Rates? , 2009 .

[16]  S. Maxwell,et al.  Bivariate median splits and spurious statistical significance. , 1993 .

[17]  B. Bernheim,et al.  The effects of financial education in the workplace: evidence from a survey of households , 2003 .

[18]  Donald P. Morgan,et al.  Payday Holiday: How Households Fare After Payday Credit Bans , 2008 .

[19]  Stephen J. Hoch,et al.  Time-inconsistent Preferences and Consumer Self-Control , 1991 .

[20]  Brent R. Moulton An Illustration of a Pitfall in Estimating the Effects of Aggregate Variables on Micro Unit , 1990 .

[21]  Christopher K. Hsee,et al.  The Evaluability Hypothesis: An Explanation for Preference Reversals between Joint and Separate Evaluations of Alternatives , 1996 .

[22]  Nicholas S. Souleles The Response of Household Consumption to Income Tax Refunds , 1999 .

[23]  Amitava Chattopadhyay,et al.  Effects of Context and Part-Category Cues on Recall of Competing Brands , 1985 .

[24]  G. McClelland,et al.  Misleading Heuristics and Moderated Multiple Regression Models , 2001 .

[25]  Brian T. Melzer The Real Costs of Credit Access: Evidence from the Payday Lending Market* , 2011 .

[26]  Radhika Puri,et al.  Measuring and Modifying Consumer Impulsiveness: A Cost-Benefit Accessibility Framework , 1996 .

[27]  A. Lusardi,et al.  Debt Literacy, Financial Experiences, and Overindebtedness (NBER Working Paper 14804) , 2009 .

[28]  D. Kahneman,et al.  Timid choices and bold forecasts: a cognitive perspective on risk taking , 1993 .

[29]  O. Mitchell,et al.  Financial Literacy and Retirement Planning: New Evidence from the Rand American Life Panel , 2007 .

[30]  Gerd Gigerenzer,et al.  How to Make Cognitive Illusions Disappear , 2002 .

[31]  René M. Stulz,et al.  Collateral, Risk Management, and the Distribution of Debt Capacity , 2010 .

[32]  Marcello Gallucci,et al.  A conceptual and empirical examination of justifications for dichotomization. , 2009, Psychological methods.

[33]  Education and Saving: The Long-Term Effects of High School Financial Curriculum Mandates , 1997 .

[34]  Marianne Bertrand,et al.  What do High-Interest Borrowers do with Their Tax Rebate? , 2009 .

[35]  Matthew Rabin,et al.  Choice and Procrastination , 2000 .

[36]  O. Mitchell,et al.  Pension design and structure : new lessons from behavioral finance , 2004 .

[37]  John T. Gourville Pennies-a-Day: The Effect of Temporal Reframing on Transaction Evaluation , 1998 .

[38]  Kristopher J Preacher,et al.  On the practice of dichotomization of quantitative variables. , 2002, Psychological methods.

[39]  Edward C. Lawrence,et al.  A Comparative Analysis of Payday Loan Customers , 2008 .

[40]  Shawn Cole,et al.  If You Are So Smart, Why Arent You Rich? The E¤ects of Education, Financial Literacy and Cognitive Ability on Financial Market Participation , 1997 .

[41]  R. Thaler,et al.  Save More Tomorrow™: Using Behavioral Economics to Increase Employee Saving , 2004, Journal of Political Economy.

[42]  Mark Snyder,et al.  "To Carve Nature at Its Joints": On the Existence of Discrete Classes in Personality , 1985 .

[43]  L. Warlop,et al.  The Backdoor to Overconsumption: The Effect of Associating “Low-Fat” Food with Health References , 2007 .

[44]  G. Gigerenzer How to Make Cognitive Illusions Disappear: Beyond “Heuristics and Biases” , 1991 .

[45]  M. Nisan Dimension of time in relation to choice behavior and achievement orientation. , 1972 .

[46]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  Reasons for confidence. , 1980 .

[47]  Sumit Agarwal,et al.  Payday Loans and Credit Cards: New Liquidity and Credit Scoring Puzzles? , 2009 .

[48]  M. Staten,et al.  GREGORY ELLIEHAUSEN, E. CHRISTOPHER LUNDQUIST, AND MICHAEL E. STATEN The Impact of Credit Counseling on Subsequent Borrower Behavior , 2007 .