Impact of a Stochastic Kinetic Energy Backscatter Scheme on Warm Season Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecasts
暂无分享,去创建一个
Fanyou Kong | Xuguang Wang | Ming Xue | Judith Berner | Jeffrey D. Duda | M. Xue | Xuguang Wang | J. Berner | F. Kong | J. Duda
[1] Stephen S. Weygandt. Evaluation of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) implementation version of the Rapid Refresh and its skill in providing short-term guidance for aviation hazards , 2011 .
[2] Chris Snyder,et al. Increasing the Skill of Probabilistic Forecasts: Understanding Performance Improvements from Model-Error Representations , 2015 .
[3] P. L. Houtekamer,et al. Toward Random Sampling of Model Error in the Canadian Ensemble Prediction System , 2010 .
[4] John M. Brown. Improvement and testing of WRF physics options for application to Rapid Refresh and High Resolution Rapid Refresh , 2011 .
[5] G. J. Shutts,et al. Convective Forcing Fluctuations in a Cloud-Resolving Model: Relevance to the Stochastic Parameterization Problem , 2007 .
[6] S. J. Weiss,et al. Toward Improved Convection-Allowing Ensembles: Model Physics Sensitivities and Optimizing Probabilistic Guidance with Small Ensemble Membership , 2010 .
[7] Jeffrey L. Anderson,et al. Representing forecast error in a convection-permitting ensemble system , 2014 .
[8] G. Shutts. A kinetic energy backscatter algorithm for use in ensemble prediction systems , 2005 .
[9] Eugenia Kalnay,et al. Ensemble Forecasting at NMC: The Generation of Perturbations , 1993 .
[10] Louis J. Wicker,et al. A Comparison of Multiscale GSI-Based EnKF and 3DVar Data Assimilation Using Radar and Conventional Observations for Midlatitude Convective-Scale Precipitation Forecasts , 2015 .
[11] Chris Snyder,et al. Model Uncertainty in a Mesoscale Ensemble Prediction System: Stochastic versus Multiphysics Representations , 2011 .
[12] S. Julier,et al. Which Is Better, an Ensemble of Positive–Negative Pairs or a Centered Spherical Simplex Ensemble? , 2004 .
[13] Jian Zhang,et al. National mosaic and multi-sensor QPE (NMQ) system description, results, and future plans , 2011 .
[14] D. Stensrud,et al. Comparison of Single-Parameter and Multiparameter Ensembles for Assimilation of Radar Observations Using the Ensemble Kalman Filter , 2012 .
[15] E. Ebert. Ability of a Poor Man's Ensemble to Predict the Probability and Distribution of Precipitation , 2001 .
[16] G. Thompson,et al. Impact of Cloud Microphysics on the Development of Trailing Stratiform Precipitation in a Simulated Squall Line: Comparison of One- and Two-Moment Schemes , 2009 .
[17] T. Palmer,et al. Stochastic parametrization and model uncertainty , 2009 .
[18] S. J. Weiss,et al. Probabilistic Precipitation Forecast Skill as a Function of Ensemble Size and Spatial Scale in a Convection-Allowing Ensemble , 2011 .
[19] Guillem Candille,et al. The Multiensemble Approach: The NAEFS Example , 2009 .
[20] Laure Raynaud,et al. Impact of Stochastic Physics in a Convection-Permitting Ensemble , 2012 .
[21] W. Skamarock. Evaluating Mesoscale NWP Models Using Kinetic Energy Spectra , 2004 .
[22] Song‐You Hong,et al. The WRF Single-Moment 6-Class Microphysics Scheme (WSM6) , 2006 .
[23] Jean-François Caron,et al. Mismatching Perturbations at the Lateral Boundaries in Limited-Area Ensemble Forecasting: A Case Study , 2013 .
[24] Xuguang Wang,et al. Hierarchical Cluster Analysis of a Convection-Allowing Ensemble during the Hazardous Weather Testbed 2009 Spring Experiment. Part I: Development of the Object-Oriented Cluster Analysis Method for Precipitation Fields , 2011 .
[25] K. Droegemeier,et al. Multiresolution Ensemble Forecasts of an Observed Tornadic Thunderstorm System. Part I: Comparsion of Coarse- and Fine-Grid Experiments , 2006 .
[26] Xuguang Wang,et al. Object-Based Evaluation of a Storm-Scale Ensemble during the 2009 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment , 2012 .
[27] Fanyou Kong,et al. Multiresolution Ensemble Forecasts of an Observed Tornadic Thunderstorm System. Part II: Storm-Scale Experiments , 2007 .
[28] Véronique Ducrocq,et al. Cloud-Resolving Ensemble Simulations of Mediterranean Heavy Precipitating Events: Uncertainty on Initial Conditions and Lateral Boundary Conditions , 2011 .
[29] E. Lorenz,et al. The predictability of a flow which possesses many scales of motion , 1969 .
[30] S. J. Weiss,et al. 3 B . 2 PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS ON THE REAL-TIME STORM-SCALE ENSEMBLE FORECASTS PRODUCED AS A PART OF THE NOAA HAZARDOUS WEATHER TESTBED 2007 SPRING EXPERIMENT , 2022 .
[31] J. D. Tarpley,et al. Implementation of Noah land surface model advances in the National Centers for Environmental Prediction operational mesoscale Eta model , 2003 .
[32] N. Roberts,et al. Scale-Selective Verification of Rainfall Accumulations from High-Resolution Forecasts of Convective Events , 2008 .
[33] Martin Leutbecher,et al. A Spectral Stochastic Kinetic Energy Backscatter Scheme and Its Impact on Flow-Dependent Predictability in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System , 2009 .
[34] G. D. Nastrom,et al. A Climatology of Atmospheric Wavenumber Spectra of Wind and Temperature Observed by Commercial Aircraft , 1985 .
[35] J. Dudhia,et al. A New Vertical Diffusion Package with an Explicit Treatment of Entrainment Processes , 2006 .
[36] M. Xue. 3B.1 CAPS REALTIME STORM-SCALE ENSEMBLE AND HIGH-RESOLUTION FORECASTS AS PART OF THE NOAA HAZARDOUS WEATHER TESTBED 2007 SPRING EXPERIMENT , 2007 .
[37] T. Palmer,et al. Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system , 2007 .
[38] Jidong Gao,et al. Multiscale Characteristics and Evolution of Perturbations for Warm Season Convection-Allowing Precipitation Forecasts: Dependence on Background Flow and Method of Perturbation , 2014 .
[39] Warren Tennant,et al. Using a Stochastic Kinetic Energy Backscatter Scheme to Improve MOGREPS Probabilistic Forecast Skill , 2011 .
[40] G. Powers,et al. A Description of the Advanced Research WRF Version 3 , 2008 .
[41] Xuguang Wang,et al. Verification and Calibration of Neighborhood and Object-Based Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts from a Multimodel Convection-Allowing Ensemble , 2012 .
[42] D. Stensrud,et al. Evaluation of a Short-Range Multimodel Ensemble System , 2001 .
[43] Fanyou Kong,et al. Hierarchical Cluster Analysis of a Convection-Allowing Ensemble during the Hazardous Weather Testbed 2009 Spring Experiment. Part II: Ensemble Clustering over the Whole Experiment Period , 2011 .
[44] Marion Mittermaier,et al. Improving short‐range high‐resolution model precipitation forecast skill using time‐lagged ensembles , 2007 .
[45] E. Lorenz. The predictability of a flow which possesses many scales of motion , 1969 .
[46] R. Rotunno,et al. A Generalization of Lorenz’s Model for the Predictability of Flows with Many Scales of Motion , 2008 .
[47] F. Molteni,et al. The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System: Methodology and validation , 1996 .
[48] D. Thomson,et al. Stochastic backscatter in large-eddy simulations of boundary layers , 1992, Journal of Fluid Mechanics.
[49] Andreas Hense,et al. Bayesian Model Verification of NWP Ensemble Forecasts , 2013 .
[50] Chris Snyder,et al. The U.S. Air ForceWeather Agency’s mesoscale ensemble: scientific description and performance results , 2011 .
[51] Jeffrey D. Duda,et al. Using Varied Microphysics to Account for Uncertainty in Warm-Season QPF in a Convection-Allowing Ensemble , 2014 .
[52] F. Kong. A real-time storm-scale ensemble forecast system: 2009 Spring Experiment , 2009 .
[53] Fanyou Kong,et al. Object-Based Evaluation of the Impact of Horizontal Grid Spacing on Convection-Allowing Forecasts , 2013 .
[54] Xuguang Wang,et al. A Comparison of Breeding and Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter Ensemble Forecast Schemes , 2003 .