A real options approach for evaluation and justification of a hospital information system

Nowadays healthcare organizations globally recognize the importance of investing in information technologies to improve the quality of care delivery and reduce costs. The key drivers of healthcare sector such as continuously improving healthcare standards and insurance systems have introduced new requirements for hospitals, which in return provided a solid ground for decision-makers to consider implementing hospital information systems that are customized and improved versions of enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems designed according to the needs of the healthcare sector. The conventional discounted cash flow methods ignore the value of managerial and strategic flexibility inherent in these investments, which is crucial for justification of the investment decision. This study introduces a real options-based methodology which overcomes the limitations of traditional valuation methods and enables decision-makers to value an ERP system investment incorporating multiple options. The option valuation model developed in this study extends the binomial lattice framework to model a hospital information system (HIS) investment opportunity with compound options. The potential application of the proposed model is illustrated through evaluation of a real-world HIS investment.

[1]  E. Ertugrul Karsak,et al.  An integrated decision making approach for ERP system selection , 2009, Expert Syst. Appl..

[2]  Larry Press,et al.  International perspectives: computing at the top of the world , 2000, CACM.

[3]  Young Hoon Kwak,et al.  In search of innovative techniques to evaluate pharmaceutical R&D projects , 2003 .

[4]  E. Ertugrul Karsak,et al.  Valuation of expansion flexibility in flexible manufacturing system investments using sequential exchange options , 2005, Int. J. Syst. Sci..

[5]  L. Trigeorgis Real Options: Managerial Flexibility and Strategy in Resource Allocation , 1996 .

[6]  A. Dixit,et al.  Chapter 19 – The Options Approach to Capital Investment , 1998 .

[7]  Joseph K. Tan E-Health Care Information Systems: An Introduction for Students and Professionals , 2005 .

[8]  Nalin Kulatilaka,et al.  Real Options: Managing Strategic Investment in an Uncertain World , 1998 .

[9]  Ram L. Kumar,et al.  Managing risks in IT projects: an options perspective , 2002, Inf. Manag..

[10]  OngChorng-Shyong,et al.  Active ERP implementation management , 2008 .

[11]  Fiona Fui-Hoon Nah,et al.  Enterprise resource planning solutions and management , 2001 .

[12]  Elizabeth R. Ransom,et al.  The Healthcare Quality Book: Vision, Strategy, and Tools , 2004 .

[13]  Alfred Taudes,et al.  Software Growth Options , 1998, J. Manag. Inf. Syst..

[14]  Johnathan Mun Real Options in Practice , 2009 .

[15]  F. Black,et al.  The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities , 1973, Journal of Political Economy.

[16]  P. Tufano,et al.  A real-world way to manage real options. , 2004, Harvard business review.

[17]  Chorng-Shyong Ong,et al.  Active ERP implementation management: A Real Options perspective , 2008, J. Syst. Softw..

[18]  J. Hull Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives , 1989 .

[19]  Thomas E. Copeland,et al.  How much is flexibility worth , 2005 .

[20]  Brian DosSantos,et al.  Justifying Investments in New Information Technologies , 1991, J. Manag. Inf. Syst..

[21]  T. Davenport Putting the enterprise into the enterprise system. , 1998, Harvard business review.

[22]  William Margrabe The Value of an Option to Exchange One Asset for Another , 1978 .

[23]  Robert J. Kauffman,et al.  A Case for Using Real Options Pricing Analysis to Evaluate Information Technology Project Investments , 1999, Inf. Syst. Res..