Wage mobility in Europe. A comparative analysis using restricted multinomial logit regression

The paper investigates cross-country differences in wage mobility in Europe using the European Community Household Panel. We examine the impact of specific wage-setting institutions, such as the collective bargaining and the trade union density, the employment protection regulation and the welfare state regime on wage mobility. We apply a log-linear approach that is very much similar to a restricted multinomial logit model and much more flexible than the standard probit approach that is typically applied in the research on wage mobility. It is shown that the macro-economic context and the aforementioned specific institutions explain a substantial part of the cross-country variation that is larger than the part that regime type explains. The findings also confirm the existence of an inverse U-shape pattern of wage mobility, showing a great deal of low-wage and high-wage persistence in all countries.

[1]  F. Hirsch The Social Limits to Growth , 1977 .

[2]  Daron Acemoglu Patterns of Skill Premia , 1999 .

[3]  W. Runciman Relative Deprivation and Social Justice , 1966 .

[4]  A. Cardoso EARNJNGS INEQUALITY IN PORTUGAL: HIGH AND RISING? , 1998 .

[5]  G. Borjas,et al.  Foreign Competition, Market Power, and Wage Inequality , 1995 .

[6]  P. Brickman,et al.  Lottery winners and accident victims: is happiness relative? , 1978, Journal of personality and social psychology.

[7]  G. Esping‐Andersen,et al.  The Three Worlds of Welfare Capitalism , 1990 .

[8]  James A. Geschwender,et al.  Relative deprivation and social justice : a study of attitudes to social inequality in twentieth-century England , 1966 .

[9]  T. Burns,et al.  Relative Deprivation and Social Justice. A Study of Attitudes to Social Inequality in Twentieth-Century England , 1966 .

[10]  A. Markandya The Measurement of Earnings Mobility among Occupational Groups , 1982 .

[11]  Jeroen K. Vermunt,et al.  LEM: A general program for the analysis of categorical data. Users manual , 1997 .

[12]  Jacques Dreze,et al.  Employment in Europe , 1996 .

[13]  H. Blossfeld,et al.  Globalization, Uncertainty and Women’s Careers , 2006 .

[14]  Moshe Buchinsky,et al.  The Reviewof Economicsand Statistics , 1999 .

[15]  J. Duesenberry,et al.  Income, Saving, and the Theory of Consumer Behavior , 1950 .

[16]  Efe A. Ok,et al.  The measurement of income mobility : an introduction to the literature, February, 1996 , 1996 .

[17]  Daron Acemoglu,et al.  Cross-Country Inequality Trends , 2002 .

[18]  Leo A. Goodman,et al.  Statistical methods and graphical displays for analyzing how the association between two qualitative variables differs among countries, among groups, or over time: Part II: Some exploratory techniques, simple models, and simple examples , 2001 .

[19]  Francine D. Blau,et al.  International Differences in Male Wage Inequality: Institutions versus Market Forces , 1994, Journal of Political Economy.

[20]  Walter J. Murphy,et al.  The Employment Outlook , 1947 .

[21]  J. Fritzell The dynamics of income distribution: Economic mobility in Sweden in comparison with the United States , 1990 .

[22]  D. Acemoglu Technical Change, Inequality, and the Labor Market , 2000 .

[23]  Denis Fougère,et al.  La mobilité salariale en France : 1967-1987 , 1998, Revue économique.

[24]  A. Weber,et al.  Wage Mobility in Austria 1986-1996 , 2002 .

[25]  Lorenzo Cappellari Do the 'Working Poor' Stay Poor? An Analysis of Low Pay Transitions in Italy , 2002 .

[26]  Leo A. Goodman,et al.  5. Statistical Methods and Graphical Displays for Analyzing how the Association between Two Qualitative Variables Differs among Countries, among Groups, or over Time: A Modified Regression-Type Approach , 1998 .

[27]  Jay Magidson,et al.  Latent Gold 4.0: A general program for the analysis of categorical data , 2005 .

[28]  E. Lazear Job Security Provisions and Employment , 1990 .

[29]  G. Bertola Job security, employment and wages , 1990 .

[30]  P. Gottschalk,et al.  Cross-National Differences in the Rise in Earnings Inequality: Market and Institutional Factors , 1998, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[31]  Lorenzo Cappellari Low‐wage mobility in the Italian labour market , 2000 .

[32]  A. Markandya The Welfare Measurement of Changes in Economic Mobility , 1984 .

[33]  Richard R Dickens Caught in a Trap? Wage Mobility in Great Britain: 1975–1994 , 2000 .

[34]  Labor Earnings Mobility and Inequality in the United States and Germany During the Growth Years of the 1980s , 1997 .

[35]  R. Easterlin Does Economic Growth Improve the Human Lot? Some Empirical Evidence , 1974 .

[36]  Jeroen K. Vermunt,et al.  Log-Linear Models for Event Histories , 1997 .

[37]  Rolf Aaberge,et al.  Income Inequality and Income Mobility in the Scandinavian Countries Compared to the United States , 2002 .

[38]  P. Gottschalk,et al.  Cross-National Comparisons of Earnings and Income Inequality , 1997 .

[39]  Jeroen K. Vermunt,et al.  'EM: A general program for the analysis of categorical data 1 , 1997 .

[40]  A. Cardoso Wage Mobility: Do Institutions Make a Difference? A Replication Study Comparing Portugal and the UK , 2004, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[41]  C. Lucifora,et al.  EARNINGS MOBILITY: AN INTERNATIONAL COMPARISON OF ITALY AND FRANCE , 1998 .

[42]  A. Markandya Intergenerational exchange mobility and economic welfare , 1982 .