Hide-and-Seek in the Market: Placing and Detecting Hidden Orders

This paper investigates why traders hide their orders and how other traders respond to hidden depth. Using a logit model, we provide empirical findings suggesting that traders use hidden orders to manage both exposure risk and picking off risk. Using probit models, we show that hidden depth increases order aggressiveness. Our interpretation of this empirical evidence is threefold. First, hidden depth detection is possible and frequent. Second, when traders detect hidden volume at the best opposite quote, they strategically adjust their order submission to seize the opportunity for depth improvement. Third, traders' response when hidden depth is detected suggests either that they do not associate hidden orders with informed trading or that the risk of trading with an informed trader is widely offset by the opportunity for depth improvement.

[1]  Alessandro Beber,et al.  Order Submission Strategies and Information: Empirical Evidence from the NYSE , 2005 .

[2]  Lawrence Harris,et al.  Order Exposure and Parasitic Traders , 1997 .

[3]  Christophe Bisière,et al.  Timing of Orders, Order Aggressiveness and the Order Book at the Paris Bourse , 2000 .

[4]  Lawrence Harris,et al.  The information content of the limit order book: evidence from NYSE specialist trading decisions ☆ , 2005 .

[5]  L. Harris Does a Large Minimum Price Variation Encourage Order Exposure , 1996 .

[6]  Angelika Esser,et al.  The navigation of an iceberg: The optimal use of hidden orders , 2007 .

[7]  Hong Liu,et al.  So What Orders Do Informed Traders Use? , 2004 .

[8]  S. Sapp,et al.  Order Submission: The Choice between Limit and Market Orders , 2003 .

[9]  Thierry Foucault,et al.  Order flow composition and trading costs in a dynamic limit order market 1 I am grateful to Bruno Bi , 1999 .

[10]  Kenneth A. Kavajecz,et al.  Technical Analysis and Liquidity Provision , 2004 .

[11]  Robert J. Bloomfield,et al.  The 'Make or Take' Decision in an Electronic Market: Evidence on the Evolution of Liquidity , 2002 .

[12]  M. Aitken,et al.  The use of undisclosed limit orders on the Australian Stock Exchange , 2001 .

[13]  David Veredas,et al.  What pieces of limit order book information are informative , 2004 .

[14]  Ashish Tiwari,et al.  Quote Setting and Price Formation in an Order Driven Market , 1999 .

[15]  Lawrence Kryzanowski,et al.  An Exploratory Analysis of the Order Book, and Order Flow and Execution on the Saudi Stock Market , 2000 .

[16]  Brian F. Smith,et al.  The costs and determinants of order aggressiveness , 2000 .

[17]  Angelo Ranaldo,et al.  Order aggressiveness in limit order book markets , 2004 .

[18]  Thierry Foucault,et al.  Market Making with Costly Monitoring: An Analysis of the SOES Controversy , 2003 .

[19]  A. Lo,et al.  Econometric Models of Limit-Order Executions , 1997 .

[20]  Chester Spatt,et al.  An Empirical Analysis of the Limit Order Book and the Order Flow in the Paris Bourse , 1995 .

[21]  Lawrence Harris,et al.  Market vs. Limit Orders: The SuperDOT Evidence on Order Submission Strategy , 1996, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis.

[22]  Sophie Moinas Hidden Limit Orders and Liquidity in Limit Order Markets , 2005 .

[23]  What Pieces of Limit Order Book Information Do are Informative? An Empirical Analysis of a Pure Order-Driven Market , 2003 .

[24]  Christine A. Parlour Price Dynamics in Limit Order Markets , 1998 .

[25]  Roberto Pascual,et al.  On the hidden side of liquidity , 2007 .

[26]  Dan Galai,et al.  Information Effects on the Bid‐Ask Spread , 1983 .

[27]  Can order exposure be mandated , 2004 .

[28]  Charles Cao,et al.  The Informational Content of an Open Limit Order Book , 2004 .

[29]  Kee-Hong Bae,et al.  Traders’ choice between limit and market orders: evidence from NYSE stocks , 2003 .

[30]  E. Theissen,et al.  Knowing Me, Knowing You: Trader Anonymity and Informed Trading in Parallel Markets * , 2001 .