Comparative Study of Roadmapping and Sci-fi Prototyping Methods to Develop a Knowledge Management Framework

Roadmapping is a structured, logic-based method to support strategic planning for organizations and governments. However, it is not necessarily effective to produce destructive changes in the era of uncertainty. Specifically, roadmapping is useful for visualizing ideas for better communication among stakeholders but has limitations when creating unconventional knowledge through abduction. Additionally, it lacks the ability to create knowledge considering humanity and well-being to respond to current and future uncertain social situations. Therefore, this study aims to explore the key factors for incorporating the science-fiction (sci-fi) prototyping method into roadmapping, based on the literature review. Roadmapping is a logic-consistent, face-to-face workshop-based method, whereas sci-fi prototyping is a workshop-based method that utilizes fiction in a distributed virtual system. Both methods are used to conceptualize future innovative technologies and policy recommendations. Though they have similar objectives, the resulting future concepts are exactly the opposite. To integrate the two methods effectively, we break them down into modules and consider reconstructing them. After conducting comparative studies based on previous research, we propose a cooperative base of the two methods.