Identification and Estimation of Continuous Time Dynamic Systems With Exogenous Variables Using Panel Data

This paper deals with the identification and maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters of a stochastic differential equation from discrete time sampling. Score function and maximum likelihood equations are derived explicitly. The stochastic differential equation system is extended to allow for random effects and the analysis of panel data. In addition, we investigate the identifiability of the continuous time parameters, in particular the impact of the inclusion of exogenous variables.

[1]  Hermann Singer,et al.  CONTINUOUS-TIME DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS WITH SAMPLED DATA, ERRORS OF MEASUREMENT AND UNOBSERVED COMPONENTS , 1993 .

[2]  A. Bergstrom Continuous Time Econometric Modelling. , 1992 .

[3]  J. Magnus,et al.  Matrix Differential Calculus with Applications in Statistics and Econometrics , 1991 .

[4]  Richard H. Jones,et al.  Serial correlation in unequally spaced longitudinal data , 1990 .

[5]  Hermann Singer,et al.  Parameterschätzung in zeitkontinuierlichen dynamischen Systemen , 1990 .

[6]  A. Bergstrom The History of Continuous-Time Econometric Models , 1988, Econometric Theory.

[7]  Peter Zadrozny,et al.  Gaussian Likelihood of Continuous-Time ARMAX Models When Data Are Stocks and Flows at Different Frequencies , 1988, Econometric Theory.

[8]  Peter V. Tryon,et al.  Continuous time series models for unequally spaced data applied to modeling atomic clocks , 1987 .

[9]  Cheng Hsiao,et al.  Analysis of Panel Data , 1987 .

[10]  A. Bergstrom The Estimation of Parameters in Nonstationary Higher Order Continuous-Time Dynamic Models , 1985, Econometric Theory.

[11]  A. Harvey,et al.  The Estimation of Higher-Order Continuous Time Autoregressive Models , 1985, Econometric Theory.

[12]  B. Øksendal Stochastic Differential Equations , 1985 .

[13]  Richard H. Jones,et al.  Fitting Multivariate Models to Unequally Spaced Data , 1984 .

[14]  Emanuel Parzen Time Series Analysis of Irregularly Observed Data , 1984 .

[15]  A. Bergstrom CONTINUOUS TIME STOCHASTIC MODELS AND ISSUES OF AGGREGATION OVER TIME , 1984 .

[16]  John E. Dennis,et al.  Numerical methods for unconstrained optimization and nonlinear equations , 1983, Prentice Hall series in computational mathematics.

[17]  A. Bergstrom Gaussian Estimation of Structural Parameters in Higher Order Continuous Time Dynamic Models , 1983 .

[18]  T. Sargent,et al.  The Dimensionality of the Aliasing Problem in Models with Rational Spectral Densities , 1983 .

[19]  Oliver D. Anderson Directions in Time Series , 1981 .

[20]  G. Gandolfo,et al.  Qualitative Analysis and Econometric Estimation of Continuous Time Dynamic Models , 1981 .

[21]  P. Robinson,et al.  Continuous model fitting from discrete data , 1980 .

[22]  P. Robinson,et al.  The construction and estimation of continuous time models and discrete approximations in econometrics , 1977 .

[23]  P. Robinson Instrumental Variables Estimation of Differential Equations , 1976 .

[24]  P. Robinson The Estimation of Linear Differential Equations with Constant Coefficients , 1976 .

[25]  A. Bergstrom Statistical inference in continuous time economic models , 1976 .

[26]  P. Phillips The Estimation of Some Continuous Time Models , 1974 .

[27]  J. Sargan Some Discrete Approximations to Continuous Time Stochastic Models , 1974 .

[28]  P. Phillips THE PROBLEM OF IDENTIFICATION IN FINITE PARAMETER CONTINUOUS TIME MODELS , 1973 .

[29]  P. Phillips The Structural Estimation of a Stochastic Differential Equation System , 1972 .

[30]  C. R. Wymer Econometric Estimation of Stochastic Differential Equation Systems , 1972 .

[31]  A. Bergstrom The Construction and Use of Economic Models , 1968 .

[32]  A. Bergstrom Nonrecursive models as discrete approximation to systems of stochastic di?erential equations , 1966 .