RELIABILITY OF ELECTRIC POWER GENERATION IN POWER SYSTEMS WITH THERMAL AND WIND POWER PLANTS

The principles of evaluation of the reliability of electric power generation in a power system including thermal and wind power plants are considered in this paper. Besides classical probabilistic models the use of uncertain probabilistic and fuzzy probabilistic models of reliability is recommended. Generation of electric power at wind power plants is treated as a nonstationary stochastic process controllable only to down. The paper presents numerical examples.