Towards the holy grail: Combining system dynamics and discrete-event simulation in healthcare

The idea of combining discrete-event simulation and system dynamics has been a topic of debate in the operations research community for over a decade. Many authors have considered the potential benefits of such an approach from a methodological or practical standpoint. However, despite numerous examples of models with both discrete and continuous parameters in the computer science and engineering literature, nobody in the OR field has yet succeeded in developing a genuinely hybrid approach which truly integrates the philosophical approach and technical merits of both DES and SD in a single model. In this paper we consider some of the reasons for this and describe two practical healthcare examples of combined DES/SD models, which nevertheless fall short of the “holy grail” which has been so widely discussed in the literature over the past decade.

[1]  Stewart Robinson,et al.  Comparing discrete-event simulation and system dynamics: users' perceptions , 2009, J. Oper. Res. Soc..

[2]  Albert T. Jones,et al.  New manufacturing modeling methodology: a hybrid approach to manufacturing enterprise simulation , 2003, WSC '03.

[3]  J. Sterman Business Dynamics , 2000 .

[4]  J R P Townshend,et al.  Analysing the effectiveness of Chlamydia screening , 2000, J. Oper. Res. Soc..

[5]  Michael W. Nicholson,et al.  Rational Analysis for a Problematic World , 1990 .

[6]  Tony Hindle,et al.  Rational Analysis for a Problematic World , 1990 .

[7]  Paul R. Carlile,et al.  A Pragmatic View of Knowledge and Boundaries: Boundary Objects in New Product Development , 2002, Organ. Sci..

[8]  Sally C. Brailsford,et al.  System dynamics: What’s in it for healthcare simulation modelers , 2008, 2008 Winter Simulation Conference.

[9]  David Raffo,et al.  Application of a hybrid process simulation model to a software development project , 2001, J. Syst. Softw..

[10]  N. S. Barnett,et al.  Private communication , 1969 .

[11]  Stewart Robinson,et al.  Discrete-event simulation: from the pioneers to the present, what next? , 2005, J. Oper. Res. Soc..

[12]  Robert G. Dyson,et al.  Strategic Development: Methods and Models , 1998 .

[13]  Steffen Bayer,et al.  The social role of simulation models , 2010 .

[14]  Sally C. Brailsford,et al.  A comparison of discrete event simulation and system dynamics for modelling health care systems , 2001 .

[15]  David C. Lane,et al.  You just don't understand me: modes of failure and success in the discourse between system dynamics and discrete event simulation , 2000 .

[16]  Paul R. Harper,et al.  Improving the cost-effectiveness of Chlamydia screening with targeted screening strategies , 2006, J. Oper. Res. Soc..

[17]  J. Venkateswaran,et al.  Hybrid system dynamic—discrete event simulation-based architecture for hierarchical production planning , 2005 .

[18]  J. Forrester Industrial Dynamics , 1997 .

[19]  John Bowers,et al.  System dynamics in project management: a comparative analysis with traditional methods , 1996 .

[20]  S. Brailsford,et al.  Treating ailing emergency departments with simulation: an integrated perspective , 2003 .

[21]  Tillal Eldabi,et al.  Applicability of hybrid simulation to different modes of governance in UK healthcare , 2008, 2008 Winter Simulation Conference.

[22]  Abhijit Deshmukh,et al.  A hybrid approach to manufacturing enterprise simulation , 2003, Proceedings of the 2003 Winter Simulation Conference, 2003..

[23]  Steffen Bayer,et al.  Business dynamics: Systems thinking and modeling for a complex world , 2004 .

[24]  Drago Matko,et al.  Combined simulation for process control: extension of a general purpose simulation tool , 1999 .

[25]  Colin Eden,et al.  Strategic options development and analysis - SODA , 1989 .