Driving Online and Offline Sales: The Cross-Channel Effects of Traditional, Online Display, and Paid Search Advertising

The current marketing environment is characterized by a surge in multichannel shopping and increasing choice of advertising channels. This situation requires firms to understand how advertising in one channel (e.g., online) influences sales in another channel (e.g., offline). This article studies the presence, magnitude, and carryover of these cross-channel effects for online advertising (display and search) and traditional media. The analysis considers how these advertising expenditures translate directly into sales, as well as indirectly through intermediate search advertising metrics—namely, impressions and click-through rate. For a high-end clothing and apparel retailer, the authors find that cross effects exist and are important and that cross-effect elasticities are almost as high as own-effect elasticities. Online display and, in particular, search advertising is more effective than traditional advertising. This result is primarily due to strong cross effects on the offline channel. Return-on-investment calculations suggest that by ignoring these cross effects, firms substantially miscalculate the effectiveness of online advertising. Notably, the authors find that traditional advertising decreases paid search click-through rates, thus reducing the net cross effect of traditional advertising.

[1]  P. Leeflang,et al.  Does Online Information Drive Offline Revenues? Only for Specific Products and Consumer Segments! , 2011 .

[2]  Aviv Nevo Measuring Market Power in the Ready-to-Eat Cereal Industry , 1998 .

[3]  Anindya Ghose,et al.  An Empirical Analysis of Search Engine Advertising: Sponsored Search in Electronic Markets , 2009, Manag. Sci..

[4]  J. Farley,et al.  How Advertising Affects Sales: Meta-Analysis of Econometric Results , 1984 .

[5]  Joshua D. Angrist,et al.  Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion , 2008 .

[6]  Thorsten Wiesel,et al.  Marketing’s Profit Impact: Quantifying Online and Offline Funnel Progression , 2009 .

[7]  Peter J. Danaher,et al.  The Effect of Competitive Advertising Interference on Sales for Packaged Goods , 2008 .

[8]  Carl F. Mela,et al.  Customer Channel Migration , 2008 .

[9]  Pradeep K. Chintagunta,et al.  The Effect of Banner Advertising on Internet Purchasing , 2006 .

[10]  Jeffrey M. Woodbridge Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data , 2002 .

[11]  Philip Hans Franses,et al.  Quantitative Models in Marketing Research , 2001 .

[12]  Peter J. Danaher,et al.  Comparing the Relative Effectiveness of Advertising Channels: A Case Study of a Multimedia Blitz Campaign , 2013 .

[13]  Prasad A. Naik,et al.  A Hierarchical Marketing Communications Model of Online and Offline Media Synergies , 2009 .

[14]  Sebastian van Baal,et al.  Free riding and customer retention across retailers’ channels , 2005 .

[15]  Koos Huizingh,et al.  The Impact of the Introduction and Use of an Informational Website on Offline Customer Buying Behavior , 2011 .

[16]  Garrett P. Sonnier,et al.  A Dynamic Model of the Effect of Online Communications on Firm Sales , 2011, Mark. Sci..

[17]  S. Neslin,et al.  Multichannel customer management: Understanding the research-shopper phenomenon , 2007 .

[18]  Peter Ebbes,et al.  The Sense and Non-Sense of Holdout Sample Validation in the Presence of Endogeneity , 2010, Mark. Sci..

[19]  Barton A. Weitz,et al.  Crafting Integrated Multichannel Retailing Strategies , 2010 .

[20]  Robert P. Leone Generalizing What Is Known About Temporal Aggregation and Advertising Carryover , 1995 .

[21]  Dinesh K. Gauri,et al.  An Empirical Investigation of the Impact of Gasoline Prices on Grocery Shopping Behavior , 2011 .

[22]  G. Donnan,et al.  Research Priorities , 2014, International journal of stroke : official journal of the International Stroke Society.

[23]  W. Greene,et al.  计量经济分析 = Econometric analysis , 2009 .

[24]  John R. Hauser,et al.  Website Morphing , 2009, Mark. Sci..

[25]  Gerard J. Tellis,et al.  How Well Does Advertising Work? Generalizations from Meta-Analysis of Brand Advertising Elasticities , 2011 .

[26]  Marnik G. Dekimpe,et al.  Price and Advertising Effectiveness over the Business Cycle , 2013 .

[27]  Ying Xie,et al.  Measuring the Lifetime Value of Customers Acquired from Google Search Advertising , 2011, Mark. Sci..

[28]  J. Steenkamp,et al.  The Effect of Business-Cycle Fluctuations on Private-Label Share: What has Marketing Conduct Got to do with it? , 2012 .

[29]  R. Lal,et al.  When and How is the Internet Likely to Decrease Price Competition , 1999 .

[30]  Thorsten Wiesel,et al.  Practice Prize Paper - Marketing's Profit Impact: Quantifying Online and Off-line Funnel Progression , 2011, Mark. Sci..

[31]  Song Yao,et al.  A Dynamic Model of Sponsored Search Advertising , 2010, Mark. Sci..

[32]  R. Parks,et al.  Efficient Estimation of a System of Regression Equations when Disturbances are Both Serially and Contemporaneously Correlated , 1967 .

[33]  K. Pauwels,et al.  Effects of Word-of-Mouth versus Traditional Marketing: Findings from an Internet Social Networking Site , 2009 .

[34]  Randall L. Schultz,et al.  The Measurement of Industry Advertising Effects , 1976 .

[35]  Oliver J. Rutz,et al.  From Generic to Branded: A Model of Spillover in Paid Search Advertising , 2011 .

[36]  G. William Schwert,et al.  Money, income, and sunspots: Measuring economic relationships and the effects of differencing , 1978 .

[37]  Michael Trusov,et al.  Modeling Indirect Effects of Paid Search Advertising: Which Keywords Lead to More Future Visits? , 2011, Mark. Sci..