Binomial regression with a misclassified covariate and outcome

Misclassification occurring in either outcome variables or categorical covariates or both is a common issue in medical science. It leads to biased results and distorted disease–exposure relationships. Moreover, it is often of clinical interest to obtain the estimates of sensitivity and specificity of some diagnostic methods even when neither gold standard nor prior knowledge about the parameters exists. We present a novel Bayesian approach in binomial regression when both the outcome variable and one binary covariate are subject to misclassification. Extensive simulation results under various scenarios and a real clinical example are given to illustrate the proposed approach. This approach is motivated and applied to a dataset from the Baylor Alzheimer's Disease and Memory Disorders Center.

[1]  X M Tu,et al.  Bayesian analysis of prevalence with covariates using simulation-based techniques: applications to HIV screening. , 1999, Statistics in medicine.

[2]  S. Hui,et al.  Evaluation of diagnostic tests without gold standards , 1998, Statistical methods in medical research.

[3]  S Greenland,et al.  The effect of misclassification in matched-pair case-control studies. , 1982, American journal of epidemiology.

[4]  C. Holmes,et al.  Infl ammation in Alzheimer ’ s disease : relevance to pathogenesis and therapy , 2022 .

[5]  Andrew W. Roddam,et al.  Measurement Error in Nonlinear Models: a Modern Perspective , 2008 .

[6]  A. Raftery,et al.  Estimating Bayes Factors via Posterior Simulation with the Laplace—Metropolis Estimator , 1997 .

[7]  C. P. Hughes,et al.  A New Clinical Scale for the Staging of Dementia , 1982, British Journal of Psychiatry.

[8]  S. Folstein,et al.  "Mini-mental state". A practical method for grading the cognitive state of patients for the clinician. , 1975, Journal of psychiatric research.

[9]  Pat McInturff,et al.  Modelling risk when binary outcomes are subject to error , 2004, Statistics in medicine.

[10]  David B. Dunson,et al.  Bayesian Data Analysis , 2010 .

[11]  S Greenland,et al.  Variance estimation for epidemiologic effect estimates under misclassification. , 1988, Statistics in medicine.

[12]  P. Garthwaite,et al.  A Bayesian approach to prospective binary outcome studies with misclassification in a binary risk factor , 2005, Statistics in medicine.

[13]  和泉 志津恵 Inference about misclassification probabilities from repeated binary responses , 2000 .

[14]  Joseph L. Gastwirth,et al.  Bayesian Inference for Medical Screening Tests: Approximations Useful for the Analysis of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome , 1991 .

[15]  M. Tan,et al.  Random effects models in latent class analysis for evaluating accuracy of diagnostic tests. , 1996, Biometrics.

[16]  W. Chan,et al.  Changing Patient Characteristics and Survival Experience in an Alzheimer’s Center Patient Cohort , 2005, Dementia and Geriatric Cognitive Disorders.

[17]  J. Morris The Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR) , 1993, Neurology.

[18]  S. Sheps,et al.  The assessment of diagnostic tests. A survey of current medical research. , 1984, JAMA.

[19]  J. Neuhaus,et al.  Binomial Regression with Misclassification , 2003, Biometrics.

[20]  Bradley P. Carlin,et al.  Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit , 2002 .

[21]  Roger Logan,et al.  Estimation and Inference for Logistic Regression with Covariate Misclassification and Measurement Error in Main Study/Validation Study Designs , 2000 .

[22]  P M Vacek,et al.  The effect of conditional dependence on the evaluation of diagnostic tests. , 1985, Biometrics.

[23]  Sid E O'Bryant,et al.  Staging dementia using Clinical Dementia Rating Scale Sum of Boxes scores: a Texas Alzheimer's research consortium study. , 2008, Archives of neurology.

[24]  A S Kosinski,et al.  Evaluating the exposure and disease relationship with adjustment for different types of exposure misclassification: a regression approach. , 1999, Statistics in medicine.

[25]  L. Magder,et al.  Logistic regression when the outcome is measured with uncertainty. , 1997, American journal of epidemiology.

[26]  X. Tu,et al.  Bayesian inference on prevalence using a missing-data approach with simulation-based techniques: applications to HIV screening. , 1996, Statistics in medicine.

[27]  S Richardson,et al.  A Bayesian approach to measurement error problems in epidemiology using conditional independence models. , 1993, American journal of epidemiology.

[28]  B. Craig,et al.  Estimating disease prevalence in the absence of a gold standard , 2002, Statistics in medicine.

[29]  Andrew Thomas,et al.  WinBUGS - A Bayesian modelling framework: Concepts, structure, and extensibility , 2000, Stat. Comput..

[30]  A. Branscum,et al.  Accounting for response misclassification and covariate measurement error improves power and reduces bias in epidemiologic studies. , 2010, Annals of epidemiology.

[31]  J. Neuhaus Bias and efficiency loss due to misclassified responses in binary regression , 1999 .

[32]  S. Greenland,et al.  Correcting for misclassification in two-way tables and matched-pair studies. , 1983, International journal of epidemiology.

[33]  D Spiegelman,et al.  Matrix Methods for Estimating Odds Ratios with Misclassified Exposure Data: Extensions and Comparisons , 1999, Biometrics.

[34]  A. Formann,et al.  Measurement errors in caries diagnosis: some further latent class models. , 1994, Biometrics.

[35]  R. Stone,et al.  A Bayesian Adjustment for Covariate Misclassification with Correlated Binary Outcome Data , 2007 .

[36]  Wenyaw Chan,et al.  Predicting progression of Alzheimer's disease , 2010, Alzheimer's Research & Therapy.

[37]  Adam J Branscum,et al.  Bayesian approach to average power calculations for binary regression models with misclassified outcomes , 2009, Statistics in medicine.

[38]  D. Rindskopf,et al.  The value of latent class analysis in medical diagnosis. , 1986, Statistics in medicine.

[39]  W. Chan,et al.  Persistent treatment with cholinesterase inhibitors and/or memantine slows clinical progression of Alzheimer disease , 2009, Alzheimers Res Ther.

[40]  K. Davis,et al.  A new rating scale for Alzheimer's disease. , 1984, The American journal of psychiatry.

[41]  S Wacholder,et al.  Validation studies using an alloyed gold standard. , 1993, American journal of epidemiology.

[42]  S. Richardson,et al.  Conditional independence models for epidemiological studies with covariate measurement error. , 1993, Statistics in medicine.

[43]  L. Dodd,et al.  On Estimating Diagnostic Accuracy From Studies With Multiple Raters and Partial Gold Standard Evaluation , 2008, Journal of the American Statistical Association.

[44]  Bradley P. Carlin,et al.  Bayesian Methods for Data Analysis , 2008 .

[45]  N. Nagelkerke,et al.  Instrumental variables in the evaluation of diagnostic test procedures when the true disease state is unknown. , 1988, Statistics in medicine.

[46]  R J Marshall,et al.  Validation study methods for estimating exposure proportions and odds ratios with misclassified data. , 1990, Journal of clinical epidemiology.

[47]  J. Robins,et al.  Estimation of Regression Coefficients When Some Regressors are not Always Observed , 1994 .

[48]  B A Barron,et al.  The effects of misclassification on the estimation of relative risk. , 1977, Biometrics.

[49]  M. Folstein,et al.  Clinical diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease , 1984, Neurology.

[50]  H Checkoway,et al.  Bias due to misclassification in the estimation of relative risk. , 1977, American journal of epidemiology.

[51]  Timo Grimmer,et al.  Mapping scores onto stages: mini-mental state examination and clinical dementia rating. , 2006, The American journal of geriatric psychiatry : official journal of the American Association for Geriatric Psychiatry.

[52]  W. Blattner,et al.  A method for predicting individual HIV infection status in the absence of clinical information. , 1988, AIDS research and human retroviruses.

[53]  M. Sabbagh,et al.  Sensitivity to change and prediction of global change for the Alzheimer’s Questionnaire , 2015, Alzheimer's Research & Therapy.