A Decision Support System for Predicting Student Performance

In recent years data mining has been successfully implemented in the business world. Evaluating students' academic success is becoming increasingly challenging, its use is intended for identification and extraction of new and potentially valuable knowledge from the data. Predicting educational outcome is a practical alternative heterogeneous environment. Performance prediction models can be built by applying data mining techniques to enrolment data. In this paper we present an Naive Bayes algorithm (NB) approach to predict graduating cumulative Grade Point Average based on applicant data collected from the surveys conducted during the summer semester at the University of Tuzla, the Faculty of Economics, academic year 2010-2011, among first year students and the data taken during the enrolment. The Naive Bayes algorithm is used to discover the most suited way to predict student's success.

[1]  Ian H. Witten,et al.  Data mining: practical machine learning tools and techniques, 3rd Edition , 1999 .

[2]  P. Haddawy,et al.  A decision support system for evaluating international student applications , 2007, 2007 37th Annual Frontiers In Education Conference - Global Engineering: Knowledge Without Borders, Opportunities Without Passports.

[3]  Finn V. Jensen,et al.  Bayesian Networks and Decision Graphs , 2001, Statistics for Engineering and Information Science.

[4]  Iida Häkkinen Do university entrance exams predict academic achievement , 2004 .

[5]  Sebastián Ventura,et al.  Educational data mining: A survey from 1995 to 2005 , 2007, Expert Syst. Appl..

[6]  P. Golding,et al.  Predicting Academic Performance , 2006, Proceedings. Frontiers in Education. 36th Annual Conference.

[7]  S. Anupama Kumar EFFICIENCY OF DECISION TREES IN PREDICTING STUDENT'S ACADEMIC PERFORMANCE , 2011 .

[8]  Witold Pedrycz,et al.  Data Mining: A Knowledge Discovery Approach , 2007 .

[9]  Wolfgang Menzel,et al.  A Bayesian Approach to Predict Performance of a Student (BAPPS): A Case with Ethiopian Students , 2005, Artificial Intelligence and Applications.

[10]  C. Van Nelson,et al.  Predicting success of a beginning computer course using logistic regression (abstract only) , 1987, CSC '87.

[11]  Jan M. Zytkow,et al.  Handbook of Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery , 2002 .

[12]  Edin Osmanbegović,et al.  DATA MINING APPROACH FOR PREDICTING STUDENT PERFORMANCE , 2012 .

[13]  Iida Häkkinen Skans Do university entrance exams predict academic achievement , 2004 .

[14]  C.J.H. Mann,et al.  Handbook of Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery , 2004 .

[15]  Ian H. Witten,et al.  Data mining - practical machine learning tools and techniques, Second Edition , 2005, The Morgan Kaufmann series in data management systems.