On Uncertainty in Global Terrestrial Evapotranspiration Estimates from Choice of Input Forcing Datasets

AbstractEvapotranspiration ET is a critical water, energy, and climate variable, and recent work has been published comparing different global products. These comparisons have been difficult to interpret, however, because in most studies the evapotranspiration products were derived from models forced by different input data. Some studies have analyzed the uncertainty in regional evapotranspiration estimates from choice of forcings. Still others have analyzed how multiple models vary with choice of net radiation forcing data. However, no analysis has been conducted to determine the uncertainty in global evapotranspiration estimates attributable to each class of input forcing datasets. Here, one of these models [Priestly–Taylor JPL (PT-JPL)] is run with 19 different combinations of forcing data. These data include three net radiation products (SRB, CERES, and ISCCP), three meteorological datasets [CRU, Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) Aqua, and MERRA], and three vegetation index products [MODIS; Global I...

[1]  R. Dickinson,et al.  A review of global terrestrial evapotranspiration: Observation, modeling, climatology, and climatic variability , 2011 .

[2]  T. D. Mitchell,et al.  An improved method of constructing a database of monthly climate observations and associated high‐resolution grids , 2005 .

[3]  Maosheng Zhao,et al.  Development of a global evapotranspiration algorithm based on MODIS and global meteorology data , 2007 .

[4]  Dennis P. Lettenmaier,et al.  Hydrology: Water from on high , 2006, Nature.

[5]  Edwin W. Pak,et al.  An extended AVHRR 8‐km NDVI dataset compatible with MODIS and SPOT vegetation NDVI data , 2005 .

[6]  Syukuro Manabe,et al.  Simulation of hydrologic changes associated with global warming , 2002 .

[7]  T. McMahon,et al.  Continental Runoff: A quality-controlled global runoff data set , 2006, Nature.

[8]  A. Sahoo,et al.  Multisource estimation of long-term terrestrial water budget for major global river basins , 2012 .

[9]  S. Seneviratne,et al.  A regional perspective on trends in continental evaporation , 2009 .

[10]  G. J. Collatz,et al.  Comparison of Radiative and Physiological Effects of Doubled Atmospheric CO2 on Climate , 1996, Science.

[11]  A. Lacis,et al.  Calculation of radiative fluxes from the surface to top of atmosphere based on ISCCP and other global data sets: Refinements of the radiative transfer model and the input data , 2004 .

[12]  Eric F. Wood,et al.  Quantifying uncertainty in a remote sensing-based estimate of evapotranspiration over continental USA , 2010 .

[13]  C. Tucker,et al.  A Global 9-yr Biophysical Land Surface Dataset from NOAA AVHRR Data , 2000 .

[14]  D. Baldocchi,et al.  Global estimates of the land–atmosphere water flux based on monthly AVHRR and ISLSCP-II data, validated at 16 FLUXNET sites , 2008 .

[15]  Maria Stella Chiacchio,et al.  The WCRP/GEWEX Surface Radiation Budget Project Release 2: An Assessment of Surface Fluxes at 1 Degree Resolution , 2000 .

[16]  Molly E. Brown,et al.  EMD CORRECTION OF ORBITAL DRIFT ARTIFACTS IN SATELLITE DATA STREAM , 2010 .

[17]  T. Peterson,et al.  Evaporation losing its strength , 1995, Nature.

[18]  M. Lawrence The relationship between relative humidity and the dewpoint temperature in moist air - A simple conversion and applications , 2005 .

[19]  S. Seneviratne,et al.  Evaluation of global observations‐based evapotranspiration datasets and IPCC AR4 simulations , 2011 .

[20]  R. Kandel Understanding and Measuring Earth’s Energy Budget: From Fourier, Humboldt, and Tyndall to CERES and Beyond , 2012, Surveys in Geophysics.

[21]  S. Seneviratne,et al.  Global intercomparison of 12 land surface heat flux estimates , 2011 .

[22]  Damien Sulla-Menashe,et al.  MODIS Collection 5 global land cover: Algorithm refinements and characterization of new datasets , 2010 .

[23]  S. Seneviratne,et al.  Systematic land climate and evapotranspiration biases in CMIP5 simulations , 2014, Geophysical research letters.

[24]  Dara Entekhabi,et al.  Analysis of Feedback Mechanisms in Land-Atmosphere Interaction , 1996 .

[25]  Joshua B. Fisher,et al.  Measuring water availability with limited ground data: assessing the feasibility of an entirely remote‐sensing‐based hydrologic budget of the Rufiji Basin, Tanzania, using TRMM, GRACE, MODIS, SRB, and AIRS , 2014 .

[26]  Wilfried Brutsaert,et al.  Indications of increasing land surface evaporation during the second half of the 20th century , 2006 .

[27]  C. Priestley,et al.  On the Assessment of Surface Heat Flux and Evaporation Using Large-Scale Parameters , 1972 .

[28]  S. Seneviratne,et al.  Recent decline in the global land evapotranspiration trend due to limited moisture supply , 2010, Nature.

[29]  P. Jones,et al.  Representing Twentieth-Century Space-Time Climate Variability. Part II: Development of 1901-96 Monthly Grids of Terrestrial Surface Climate , 2000 .

[30]  Maosheng Zhao,et al.  Improvements to a MODIS global terrestrial evapotranspiration algorithm , 2011 .

[31]  Eric F. Wood,et al.  Multi‐model, multi‐sensor estimates of global evapotranspiration: climatology, uncertainties and trends , 2011 .

[32]  W. Cramer,et al.  A global biome model based on plant physiology and dominance, soil properties and climate , 1992 .