Sustainability of multimodal intercity transportation using a hybrid system dynamics and agent-based modeling approach

[1]  David S. Lee,et al.  Is there a trend in cirrus cloud cover due to aircraft traffic , 2004 .

[2]  Michael J. Prather,et al.  Uncertainties in climate assessment for the case of aviation NO , 2011, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[3]  Gilbert E. Metcalf,et al.  Market-Based Policy Options to Control U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions , 2009 .

[4]  Güllü Kızıltaş,et al.  Comparative analysis of approximation methods in electromagnetic design , 2008 .

[5]  J. Penner,et al.  Aviation and the Global Atmosphere , 1999 .

[6]  Dimitri N. Mavris,et al.  Assessment of CO2 Emission Metrics for a Commercial Aircraft Certification Requirement , 2010 .

[7]  B. Hobbs,et al.  The use of multi-criteria decision-making methods in the integrated assessment of climate change: implications for IA practitioners , 2003 .

[8]  D. Mavris,et al.  Scenario Exploration for Sustainability of the Multimodal Intercity Transportation System , 2014 .

[9]  D. Shindell,et al.  Spatially refined aerosol direct radiative forcing efficiencies. , 2012, Environmental science & technology.

[10]  J. Forrester.  Industrial Dynamics , 1997 .

[11]  J. Ogren,et al.  Seasonal differences in the vertical profiles of aerosol optical properties over rural Oklahoma , 2011 .

[12]  John Pourdehnad,et al.  System Dynamics and Intelligent Agent-Based Simulation : Where is the Synergy ? , 2022 .

[13]  B. DeAngelo,et al.  Bounding the role of black carbon in the climate system: A scientific assessment , 2013 .

[14]  Luis Mateus Rocha,et al.  TOWARDS SEMIOTIC AGENT-BASED MODELS OF SOCIO-TECHNICAL ORGANIZATIONS , 2000 .

[15]  Stephen P. Ellner,et al.  Embedding System Dynamics in Agent Based Models for Complex Adaptive Systems , 2011, IJCAI.

[16]  Dimitri N. Mavris,et al.  System-wide Fleet Assessment of NASA Environmentally Responsible Aviation (ERA) Technologies and Concepts for Fuel Burn and CO 2 , 2011 .

[17]  Stefano Armenia,et al.  A System Dynamics Energy Model for a Sustainable Transportation System , 2010 .

[18]  Adel W. Sadek,et al.  A novel agent-based transportation model of a university campus with application to quantifying the environmental cost of parking search , 2013 .

[19]  Wayne W. Wakeland,et al.  A comparison of system dynamics and agent-based simulation applied to the study of cellular receptor dynamics , 2004, 37th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, 2004. Proceedings of the.

[20]  Hazhir Rahmandad,et al.  Heterogeneity and Network Structure in the Dynamics of Diffusion: Comparing Agent-Based and Differential Equation Models , 2004, Manag. Sci..

[21]  Jiangping Zhou,et al.  Sustainable transportation in the US: A review of proposals, policies, and programs since 2000 , 2012 .

[22]  Choon Giap Lim.  An integrative assessment of the commercial air transportation system via adaptive agents , 2008 .

[23]  D. Mavris,et al.  A SYSTEM DYNAMICS ANALYSIS OF FLEET TECHNOLOGY AND POLICY OPTIONS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT MITIGATION , 2010 .

[24]  R. Malina,et al.  The impact of the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme on US aviation , 2011 .

[25]  J. Aardenne,et al.  Impact of different emission inventories on simulated tropospheric ozone over China: a regional chemical transport model evaluation , 2004 .

[26]  Dimitri N. Mavris,et al.  An Integrated Decision-making Method to Identify Design Requirements Through Agent-based Simulation for Personal Air Vehicle System , 2002 .

[27]  Catherine Gautier,et al.  SBDART: A Research and Teaching Software Tool for Plane-Parallel Radiative Transfer in the Earth's Atmosphere. , 1998 .

[28]  Dimitri N. Mavris,et al.  Aviation Demand Forecasts through Validation of an Agent- Based Multimodal Transportation Model , 2011 .

[29]  Yoshitsugu Hayashi,et al.  A system dynamics model of CO2 mitigation in China's inter-city passenger transport , 2008 .

[30]  Thomas Spengler,et al.  Integrating Agent-based Simulation and System Dynamics to support product strategy decisions in the automotive industry , 2009, Proceedings of the 2009 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC).

[31]  J. Tainter.  Social complexity and sustainability , 2006 .

[32]  Andreas Größler,et al.  Emergent structures in supply chains - a study integrating agent-based and system dynamics modeling , 2003, 36th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, 2003. Proceedings of the.

[33]  K. Triantis,et al.  A framework for evaluating the dynamic impacts of a congestion pricing policy for a transportation socioeconomic system , 2010 .

[34]  Henk Akkermans,et al.  Emergent supply networks: system dynamics simulation of adaptive supply agents , 2001, Proceedings of the 34th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences.

[35]  D. Meadows,et al.  The Limits to Growth , 2018, Green Planet Blues.

[36]  James M. Lyneis,et al.  System dynamics for market forecasting and structural analysis , 2000 .

[37]  Anjali Awasthi,et al.  Application of fuzzy TOPSIS in evaluating sustainable transportation systems , 2011, Expert Syst. Appl..

[38]  G. Fischer,et al.  Integrated assessment of uncertainties in greenhouse gas emissions and their mitigation: Introduction and overview , 2007 .

[39]  Daniel P. Schrage,et al.  An Agent-Based Framework for Evaluating Future Transportation Architectures , 2003 .

[40]  J. D. Sterman,et al.  The growth of knowledge: testing a theory of scientific revolutions with a formal model , 1985 .

[41]  John-Paul Clarke,et al.  On Formulating a Portfolio of Airspace Infrastructure Investments for NAS Modernization , 2005 .

[42]  Anand Patwardhan,et al.  Assessing integrated assessments , 1996 .

[43]  Hermann Mannstein,et al.  Operational detection of contrails from NOAA-AVHRR-data , 1999 .

[44]  P. Forster,et al.  A case study of the radiative forcing of persistent contrails evolving into contrail‐induced cirrus , 2009 .

[45]  David S. Lee,et al.  Transport impacts on atmosphere and climate: Aviation , 2009, Atmospheric Environment.

[46]  P. Minnis,et al.  Estimating Contrail Climate Effects from Satellite Data , 2011 .

[47]  Frank S. Koppelman.  MULTIDIMENSIONAL MODEL SYSTEM FOR INTERCITY TRAVEL CHOICE BEHAVIOR , 1989 .

[48]  Dale S. Rothman,et al.  growing pains: a conceptual framework for considering integrated assessments , 1997 .

[49]  Keith P. Shine,et al.  Direct radiative effect of aerosols emitted by transport: from road, shipping and aviation , 2010 .

[50]  Timothy W. Simpson,et al.  Metamodels for Computer-based Engineering Design: Survey and recommendations , 2001, Engineering with Computers.

[51]  J. Lelieveld,et al.  Transport impacts on atmosphere and climate: Land transport , 2010 .

[52]  T. BenDor.  The System Dynamics of U.S. Automobile Fuel Economy , 2012 .

[53]  J. Forrester,et al.  The system dynamics national model: Understanding socio-economic behavior and policy alternatives , 1976 .

[54]  G. Dauncey.  The Climate Challenge , 2009 .

[55]  A. Horvath,et al.  Life-cycle assessment of high-speed rail: the case of California , 2010 .

[56]  Andrew M. Carleton,et al.  A Satellite-Based Climatic Description of Jet Aircraft Contrails and Associations with Atmospheric Conditions, 1977–79 , 2000 .

[57]  James J. Dooley,et al.  Stabilization of CO2 in a B2 world: insights on the roles of carbon capture and disposal, hydrogen, and transportation technologies , 2004 .

[58]  Soner Haldenbilen,et al.  Fuel price determination in transportation sector using predicted energy and transport demand , 2006 .

[59]  Jin Chen,et al.  Developing land use scenario dynamics model by the integration of system dynamics model and cellular automata model , 2004, IGARSS 2004. 2004 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium.

[60]  Moshe Ben-Akiva,et al.  Aviation emissions and abatement policies in the United States: a city-pair analysis , 2004 .

[61]  Andreas Größler,et al.  A Software Interface Between System Dynamics and Agent-Based Simulations - Linking Vensim® and RePast® , 2003 .

[62]  Olivier Boucher,et al.  Climate trade-off between black carbon and carbon dioxide emissions , 2008 .

[63]  A. Borshchev,et al.  From System Dynamics and Discrete Event to Practical Agent Based Modeling : Reasons , Techniques , Tools , 2004 .

[64]  Sergey Paltsev,et al.  The Impact of Climate Policy on US Aviation , 2011 .

[65]  H M Drake,et al.  Mission analysis of general aviation in the 1970's. , 1969 .

[66]  C. Bohren,et al.  An introduction to atmospheric radiation , 1981 .

[67]  William J. Collins,et al.  The influence of ozone precursor emissions from four world regions on tropospheric composition and radiative climate forcing , 2012 .

[68]  Jung-Ho Lewe,et al.  An Integrated Decision-Making Framework for Transportation Architectures:Application to Aviation Systems Design , 2005 .

[69]  Dimitri N. Mavris,et al.  Transportation System-of-Systems Simulator for Multimodal Demand and Emissions Forecasts , 2014 .

[70]  Per Hilletofth,et al.  Hybrid simulation models - When, Why, How? , 2010, Expert Syst. Appl..

[71]  Jay Wright Forrester,et al.  Urban Dynamics , 1969 .

[72]  J. Kennedy.  Integrated assessment and environmental policy making In pursuit of usefulness , 2003 .

[73]  Ken R. McNaught,et al.  Design classes for hybrid simulations involving agent-based and system dynamics models , 2012, Simul. Model. Pract. Theory.

[74]  Antonio A. Trani,et al.  Forecasting Model for Air Taxi, Commercial Airline, and Automobile Demand in the United States , 2008 .

[75]  Lin Gao,et al.  Life Cycle Assessment of Environmental and Economic Impacts of Advanced Vehicles , 2012 .

[76]  Christian E. Vincenot,et al.  Theoretical considerations on the combined use of System Dynamics and individual-based modeling in ecology , 2011 .

[77]  Jan K. Brueckner,et al.  Airline Emission Charges: Effects on Airfares, Service Quality, and Aircraft Design , 2009, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[78]  D. F. Young,et al.  Transformation of contrails into cirrus during SUCCESS , 1998 .

[79]  H. Dowlatabadi.  Integrated assessment models of climate change: An incomplete overview , 1995 .

[80]  R. Mitchell,et al.  URBAN TRAFFIC--A FUNCTION OF LAND USE , 1954 .

[81]  B. Strauss,et al.  On the Transition of Contrails into Cirrus Clouds , 2000 .

[82]  Chandra R. Bhat,et al.  A Self Instructing Course in Mode Choice Modeling: Multinomial and Nested Logit Models , 2006 .

[83]  Simon Shepherd,et al.  Introduction to the special issue: system dynamics and transportation , 2010 .

[84]  Nicholas Cumpsty.  Jet Propulsion: A Simple Guide to the Aerodynamic and Thermodynamic Design and Performance of Jet Engines , 1997 .

[85]  Dimitri N. Mavris,et al.  Fleet Assessment of Fuel Burn and NOx Emissions for NASA Environmentally Responsible Aviation (ERA) Technologies and Concepts , 2012 .

[86]  I. Sokolik,et al.  Regional radiative impact of volcanic aerosol from the 2009 eruption of Mt. Redoubt , 2012 .

[87]  Jens Holger Pfaender.  Competitive assessment of aerospace systems using system dynamics , 2006 .

[88]  James J. Galvin,et al.  Air traffic control resource management strategies and the small aircraft transportation system: A system dynamics perspective , 2002 .

[89]  Dirk Helbing,et al.  Simulating dynamical features of escape panic , 2000, Nature.

[90]  Anuja Mahashabde,et al.  Assessing the impact of aviation on climate , 2008 .

[91]  Gintaras V. Reklaitis,et al.  A multi-paradigm modeling framework for energy systems simulation and analysis , 2011, Comput. Chem. Eng..

[92]  Lori Bird,et al.  Carbon Taxes. A Review of Experience and Policy Design Considerations , 2011 .

[93]  Steven E. Phelan,et al.  - 1-Using Integrated Top-down and Bottom-up Dynamic Modeling for Triangulation and Interdisciplinary Theory Integration The Case of Long-term Firm Performance and Survival , 2004 .

[94]  Hu Peng,et al.  System Dynamics Model of Urban Transportation System and Its Application , 2008 .

[95]  Cleotilde Gonzalez,et al.  Human Perceptions of Climate Change , 2008 .

[96]  K. Trenberth,et al.  Earth's Global Energy Budget , 2009 .

[97]  W. Nordhaus.  The 'DICE' Model: Background and Structure of a Dynamic Integrated Climate-Economy Model of the Economics of Global Warming , 1992 .

[98]  Jarret M. Lafleur,et al.  Probabilistic AHP and TOPSIS for multi-attribute decision-making under uncertainty , 2011, 2011 Aerospace Conference.

[99]  F. Cairo,et al.  Aerosol variability and atmospheric transport in the Himalayan region from CALIOP 2007–2010 observations , 2013 .

[100]  A Haines,et al.  Global climate change: the potential effects on health , 1997, BMJ.

[101]  Peter Milling,et al.  Agents First! Using Agent-based Simulation to Identify and Quantify Macro Structures , 2008 .

[102]  Frederick Wieland.  Parallel simulation for aviation applications , 1998, 1998 Winter Simulation Conference. Proceedings (Cat. No.98CH36274).

[103]  R. Agarwal.  Environmentally Responsible Air and Ground Transportation , 2011 .

[104]  Paul N. Edwards,et al.  Global comprehensive models in politics and policymaking , 1996 .

[105]  A. Denny Ellerman,et al.  Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change Bringing Transportation into a Cap-and-Trade Regime , 2006 .

[106]  Donald J. Wuebbles,et al.  Climate metrics and aviation : analysis of current understanding and uncertainties , 2008 .

[107]  Bryan Lee.  Highlights of the Clean Air Act Amendments off 1990 , 1991 .

[108]  US jet contrail frequency changes: influences of jet aircraft flight activity and atmospheric conditions , 2007 .

[109]  William P. Niedringhaus.  The Jet:Wise Model of National Air Space System Evolution , 2004, Simul..

[110]  Sonia Yeh,et al.  Transportation Module of Global Change Assessment Model (GCAM): Model Documentation , 2013 .

[111]  Chandra Venkataraman,et al.  Atmospheric optical and radiative effects of anthropogenic aerosol constituents from India , 2000 .

[112]  David M Levinson,et al.  Modeling the Growth of Transportation Networks: A Comprehensive Review , 2007 .

[113]  M. Chin,et al.  A review of measurement-based assessments of the aerosol direct radiative effect and forcing , 2005 .

[114]  Ian G. Enting,et al.  Carbon dioxide and climate impulse response functions for the computation of greenhouse gas metrics:a multi-model analysis , 2012 .

[115]  Ching-Lai Hwang,et al.  Multiple Attribute Decision Making — An Overview , 1992 .

[116]  Konstantinos G. Zografos,et al.  A generic system dynamics based tool for airport terminal performance analysis , 2009 .

[117]  Sonia Yeh,et al.  Modal choice in a TIMES model , 2012 .

[118]  Paul A. Fishwick,et al.  A multimodeling basis for across-trophic-level ecosystem modeling: the Florida Everglades example , 1998 .

[119]  T. Berntsen,et al.  Climate forcing from the transport sectors , 2008, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[120]  Emma Norling,et al.  Contrasting a System Dynamics Model and an Agent-Based Model of Food Web Evolution , 2006, MABS.

[121]  David S. Lee,et al.  Transport impacts on atmosphere and climate: Metrics , 2010 .

[122]  G. D'Avino,et al.  Reducing ambiguity and uncertainty during new product development: a system dynamics based approach , 2005, A Unifying Discipline for Melting the Boundaries Technology Management:.

[123]  Ilan Kroo,et al.  Metric for Comparing Lifetime average Climate Impact of Aircraft , 2011 .

[124]  Nicholas Z. Muller,et al.  Climate, Health, Agricultural and Economic Impacts of Tighter Vehicle-Emission Standards , 2011 .

[125]  Linda Steg,et al.  SUSTAINABLE TRANSPORTATION AND QUALITY OF LIFE. , 2005 .

[126]  Jørgen Randers,et al.  Forecasting turning points in shipping freight rates: lessons from 30 years of practical effort , 2007 .

[127]  Kara M. Kockelman,et al.  The Light-Duty-Vehicle Fleet’s Evolution: Anticipating PHEV Adoption and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Across the U.S. Fleet , 2011 .

[128]  Craig Nickol.  Environmentally Responsible Aviation (Era) Project: Assessing Progress Toward Simultaneous Reductions in Noise, Fuel Burn and Nox , 2013 .

[129]  Andreas Wald,et al.  Much Ado about Nothing? – An analysis of economic impacts and ecologic effects of the EU-emission trading scheme in the aviation industry , 2011 .

[130]  H. Van Dyke Parunak,et al.  Agent-Based Modeling vs. Equation-Based Modeling: A Case Study and Users' Guide , 1998, MABS.

[131]  D. N. Mavris,et al.  A multi-paradigm approach to system dynamics modeling of intercity transportation , 2014 .

[132]  A. Henderson‐sellers,et al.  Modelling climate and the nature of climate models: A review , 1983 .

[133]  J. Homer,et al.  System dynamics modeling for public health: background and opportunities. , 2006, American journal of public health.

[134]  Bengt Johansson,et al.  Will restrictions on CO2 emissions require reductions in transport demand , 2009 .

[135]  Roger F. Naill,et al.  A System Dynamics Model for National Energy Policy Planning , 1992 .

[136]  Anuja Mahashabde,et al.  Assessing environmental benefits and economic costs of aviation environmental policy measures , 2009 .

[137]  Dimitri N. Mavris,et al.  Effect of Fuel Price on Aviation Technology and Environmental Outcomes , 2012 .

[138]  Ulrich Schumann,et al.  Regional radiative forcing by line-shaped contrails derived from satellite data , 2002 .

[139]  Robert Sausen,et al.  A Diagnostic Study of the Global Distribution of Contrails Part I: Present Day Climateast; , 1998 .

[140]  Mnv,et al.  Global energy futures: An integrated perspective with the TIME-model , 1996 .

[141]  Philippe A. Bonnefoy,et al.  Air transportation in a carbon constrained world: Long-term dynamics of policies and strategies for mitigating the carbon footprint of commercial aviation , 2011 .

[142]  Shuo-Yan Chou,et al.  Air passenger demand forecasting and passenger terminal capacity expansion: A system dynamics framework , 2010, Expert Syst. Appl..

[143]  Ilan Kroo,et al.  Aircraft Design for Reduced Climate Impact , 2011 .

[144]  Dimitri N. Mavris,et al.  Multimodal Transportation Demand Forecast using System Dynamics and Agent Based Models , 2012 .

[145]  Hans Jochen Scholl,et al.  Agent-based and system dynamics modeling: a call for cross study and joint research , 2001, Proceedings of the 34th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences.

[146]  Philippe A. Bonnefoy,et al.  Emergence of secondary airports and dynamics of regional airport systems in the United States , 2006 .

[147]  John D. Sterman,et al.  Path Dependence, Competition, and Succession in the Dynamics of Scientific Revolution , 1999 .

[148]  Robert Sausen,et al.  Estimates of the Climate Response to Aircraft CO2 and NOx Emissions Scenarios , 2000 .

[149]  Jim Duggan,et al.  A Simulator for Continuous Agent-Based Modelling , 2007 .

[150]  Jens Flottau,et al.  Clearing the air : International Civil Aviation Organization meeting might break deadlock over emissions trading , 2013 .

[151]  H. Mannstein,et al.  Contrail observations over Southern and Eastern Asia in NOAA/AVHRR data and comparisons to contrail simulations in a GCM , 2007 .

[152]  Nathaniel Osgood,et al.  Using Traditional and Agent Based Toolsets for System Dynamics : Present Tradeoffs and Future Evolution , 2007 .

[153]  Peter Milling,et al.  Modeling the Forest or Modeling the Trees - A Comparison of System Dynamics and Agent-Based Simulation , 2003 .

[154]  Hajime Akimoto,et al.  Indirect long‐term global radiative cooling from NOx Emissions , 2001 .

[155]  Michael G.H. Bell,et al.  System dynamics applicability to transportation modeling , 1994 .

[156]  Thomas S. Fiddaman,et al.  Feedback complexity in integrated climate-economy models , 1997 .

[157]  Antonio A. Trani,et al.  Integrated Model for Studying Small Aircraft Transportation System , 2003 .