Intractable Conflict as an Attractor

Decades of research on social conflict has contributed to researchers' understanding of a wide variety of psychological, social, and community-based aspects of conflict escalation and intractability. However, the field has yet to put forth a theoretical model that links these components to the basic underlying structures and dynamics that account for intractability and transformation. This article presents a dynamical systems approach to conceptualizing intractable conflict as a preliminary step toward developing a basic theory of intractability. The authors propose that it is particularly useful to conceptualize ongoing, destructive patterns of conflict as strong attractors, a particular form of self-organization of multiple elements of conflict systems. Their dynamical approach to conflict intractability is outlined, and some preliminary implications of this approach for conflict de-escalation are discussed.

[1]  Steven H. Strogatz,et al.  Sync: The Emerging Science of Spontaneous Order , 2003 .

[2]  Robert Folger,et al.  Intergroup cooperation and intergroup attraction: The effect of previous interaction and outcome of combined effort , 1977 .

[3]  R. Fisher The social psychology of intergroup and international conflict resolution , 1989 .

[4]  Sam Wineburg,et al.  The Self-Fulfillment of the Self-Fulfilling Prophecy , 1987 .

[5]  S. Kirk,et al.  A COMMUNITY IN CONFLICT. , 1983 .

[6]  T. Newcomb An approach to the study of communicative acts. , 1953, Psychological review.

[7]  P. Thagard,et al.  Emotional Gestalts: Appraisal, Change, and the Dynamics of Affect , 2002 .

[8]  L. Festinger A Theory of Cognitive Dissonance , 1957 .

[9]  B. Latané,et al.  From private attitude to public opinion: A dynamic theory of social impact. , 1990 .

[10]  P. Thagard,et al.  Coherence in Thought and Action , 2000 .

[11]  I. Bomze,et al.  The dynamics of self-evaluation , 1994 .

[12]  A. Nowak,et al.  Dynamical Minimalism: Why Less is More in Psychology , 2004, Personality and social psychology review : an official journal of the Society for Personality and Social Psychology, Inc.

[13]  Paul F. Diehl,et al.  Enduring Rivalries: Theoretical Constructs and Empirical Patterns , 1993 .

[14]  Gérard Weisbuch,et al.  Complex Systems Dynamics , 1994 .

[15]  Steven Johnson,et al.  Emergence: The Connected Lives of Ants, Brains, Cities, and Software , 2001 .

[16]  C. Osgood 9 – Psycho-social Dynamics and the Prospects for Mankind , 1981 .

[17]  Robin R. Vallacher,et al.  The Dynamical Perspective in Personality and Social Psychology , 2002 .

[18]  K. Weick The social psychology of organizing , 1969 .

[19]  Alan B. Slifka,et al.  The handbook of interethnic coexistence , 1998 .

[20]  W. T. Powers Behavior, the control of perception , 1973 .

[21]  D. Bar-Tal From Intractable Conflict Through Conflict Resolution To Reconciliation: Psychological Analysis , 2000 .

[22]  S. Fiske,et al.  The Handbook of Social Psychology , 1935 .

[23]  A. Greenwald,et al.  Psychological perspectives on the self , 1982 .

[24]  L. Kriesberg Constructive Conflicts: From Escalation to Resolution , 1998 .

[25]  M. Deutsch The Resolution of ConflictConstructive and Destructive Processes , 1974 .

[26]  R J Rummel A catastrophe theory model of the conflict helix, with tests. , 1987, Behavioral science.

[27]  C. Carver,et al.  Themes and issues in the self-regulation of behavior. , 1999 .

[28]  D. Sandole Capturing the Complexity of Conflict: Dealing with Violent Ethnic Conflicts of the Post-Cold War Era , 1999 .

[29]  Peter T. Coleman Characteristics of Protracted, Intractable Conflict: Toward the Development of a Metaframework-I , 2003 .

[30]  J. P. Lederach Building Peace: Sustainable Reconciliation in Divided Societies , 1998 .

[31]  R. Fisher Interactive Conflict Resolution , 1997 .

[32]  C. Mitchell Conflict, Social Change and Conflict Resolution. An Enquiry. , 2005 .

[33]  Andrzej Nowak,et al.  Attitudes as catastrophes: From dimensions to categories with increasing involvement. , 1994 .

[34]  R. Lewicki,et al.  Making Sense of Intractable Environmental Conflicts: Concepts and Cases , 2003 .

[35]  Pamela R. Aall,et al.  Grasping the nettle : analyzing cases of intractable conflict , 2005 .

[36]  J. Burton Resolving deep-rooted conflict : a handbook , 1987 .

[37]  Kim,et al.  Social conflict: Escalation, stalemate, and settlement , 1986 .

[38]  F. Heider The psychology of interpersonal relations , 1958 .

[39]  René Thom,et al.  Structural stability and morphogenesis , 1977, Pattern Recognit..

[40]  R. Merton The Self-Fulfilling Prophecy , 1948 .

[41]  Pamela R. Aall,et al.  Taming Intractable Conflicts: Mediation in the Hardest Cases , 2004 .

[42]  H. Kelley,et al.  Social interaction basis of cooperators' and competitors' beliefs about others. , 1970 .

[43]  E. Azar The Management of Protracted Social Conflict: Theory and Cases , 1990 .

[44]  Robin R. Vallacher,et al.  Intrinsic Dynamics of Social Judgment , 1994 .

[45]  E. Higgins,et al.  Social Psychology: Handbook of Basic Principles , 1998 .

[46]  P. T. Hopmann The negotiation process and the resolution of international conflicts , 1996 .

[47]  A. Isen,et al.  Positive affect, cognitive processes, and social behavior. , 1987 .

[48]  Philip A. Schrodt,et al.  Cluster-Based Early Warning Indicators for Political Change in the Contemporary Levant , 2000, American Political Science Review.

[49]  D. Winter,et al.  Peace, Conflict, and Violence: Peace Psychology for the 21st Century , 2000 .

[50]  Robin R. Vallacher,et al.  Dynamical Social Psychology , 1998 .

[51]  Daniel J. Brass,et al.  Social Networks and Perceptions of Intergroup Conflict: The Role of Negative Relationships and Third Parties , 1998 .

[52]  I. W. Zartman,et al.  Ripeness: The hurting stalemate and beyond , 2000 .

[53]  Andrea Bartoli,et al.  The Handbook of Conflict Resolution: Theory and Practice , 2006 .

[54]  Marc D. Lewis Bridging emotion theory and neurobiology through dynamic systems modeling , 2005, Behavioral and Brain Sciences.

[55]  W. Barnett Pearce,et al.  Moral Conflict: When Social Worlds Collide , 1997 .

[56]  I. Agger Psychosocial assistance during ethnopolitical warfare in the former Yugoslavia. , 2001 .