The impact of urbanization on China’s residential energy consumption

Abstract Against the background of the continuous development of urbanization, the urbanization process can lead to substantial changes in residential energy consumption and structures. Residential energy consumption has become the second-largest energy sector after the industrial sector. The paper studies the impact of urbanization on residential energy consumption using annual Chinese provincial data from 1996 to 2014. The results show the following. First, the impact of urbanization on residential energy consumption is heterogeneous across different per-capital income stages and urbanization stages. Second, urbanization has a positive effect on residential electricity consumption with a coefficient of 1.1 and shows heterogeneity across regions. Third, a higher urbanization rate leads to an increase in both urban and rural residential electricity consumption, with a more substantial impact on the latter. As a result, the increase in the urbanization rate contributes to shrinking the gap between urban and rural residential electricity consumption. Finally, based on the conclusions set forth above, policy implications for sustainable urbanization development under the energy constraints are given.

[1]  E. Rosa,et al.  STIRPAT, IPAT and ImPACT: analytic tools for unpacking the driving forces of environmental impacts , 2003 .

[2]  Frederick L. Joutz,et al.  Residential electricity demand in Taiwan , 2004 .

[3]  Xin Yao,et al.  Decomposition analysis of factors affecting carbon dioxide emissions across provinces in China , 2017 .

[4]  H. Schroeder,et al.  City-level climate change mitigation in China , 2018, Science Advances.

[5]  Shinji Kaneko,et al.  Impacts of urbanization on national transport and road energy use : Evidence from low, middle and high income countries , 2012 .

[6]  A. Perrels,et al.  Modelling lifestyle effects on energy demand and related emissions , 2000 .

[7]  A. Shi,et al.  The impact of population pressure on global carbon dioxide emissions, 1975-1996: evidence from pooled cross-country data , 2003 .

[8]  Shinji Kaneko,et al.  Does urbanization lead to less energy use and lower CO2 emissions? A cross-country analysis , 2010 .

[9]  P. Ehrlich,et al.  IMPACT OF POPULATION GROWTH , 1971, Science.

[10]  Richard York,et al.  Demographic trends and energy consumption in European Union Nations, 1960–2025 , 2007 .

[11]  E. Rosa,et al.  Effects of population and affluence on CO2 emissions. , 1997, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[12]  Jason Z. Yin,et al.  Urbanization and Energy in China: Issues and Implications , 2018 .

[13]  Xiaoling Ouyang,et al.  Household pathway selection of energy consumption during urbanization process in China , 2014 .

[14]  Bruce E. Hansen,et al.  Threshold effects in non-dynamic panels: Estimation, testing, and inference , 1999 .

[15]  M. Pesaran,et al.  Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels , 2003 .

[16]  Ferda Halicioglu,et al.  Residential electricity demand dynamics in Turkey , 2007 .

[17]  S. Pachauri An analysis of cross-sectional variations in total household energy requirements in India using micro survey data , 2004 .

[18]  Thomas Dietz,et al.  Rethinking the Environmental Impacts of Population , Affluence and Technology ’ , 2003 .

[19]  Daoping Wang,et al.  Comparing regional effects of climate policies to promote non-fossil fuels in China , 2017 .

[20]  S. Dhakal,et al.  Impacts of urbanization on national residential energy use and CO2 emissions : Evidence from low-, middle- and high-income countries , 2012 .

[21]  Brantley Liddle,et al.  Age-structure, urbanization, and climate change in developed countries: revisiting STIRPAT for disaggregated population and consumption-related environmental impacts , 2010 .

[22]  Andrew K. Jorgenson,et al.  Cities, Slums, and Energy Consumption in Less Developed Countries, 1990 to 2005 , 2010 .

[23]  Andrew T. Levin,et al.  Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties , 2002 .

[24]  Qiang Wang,et al.  Effects of urbanisation on energy consumption in China , 2014 .

[25]  Kaddour Hadri,et al.  Testing for Stationarity in Heterogeneous Panel Data , 2000 .

[26]  G. Maddala,et al.  Unit roots, cointegration, and structural change , 1998 .