Study on the R&D Technology Risk Assessment Based on the Uncertainty Theory

In this paper, the meaning of equipment RD technology risk is analyzed and the appraisal technology risk index system is established according to the characteristics of the technology risk. In this paper, the uncertainty theory is introduced in the technical risk measuring and the measuring method of technology risk is established based on the uncertainty theory to appraise the comprehensive technological risk. Finally the usabdity of the comprehensive appraisal method is verified through actual examples.