Entrepreneurs Seeking Gains: Rational Motives in the Commercialization Decisions of Inventors

Direct individual-specific evidence on the profit motives of entrepreneurs has been lacking. Indeed, recent work suggests that entrepreneurship may be a non-profit-seeking activity, and that entrepreneurs evaluate risk oddly. In contrast, using direct prior measures of economic potential for inventions, we find that inventors respond sensibly to pecuniary incentives. We construct an empirically-relevant economic theory, with heterogeneous inventions and inventors, outside opportunities, sunk and non-sunk costs, and risk, to guide our investigation of the data. We collected assessment data from a center paid by inventors to assess their inventions' economic potential, and followed up with surveys to determine concrete economic outcomes. We find that inventors decide whether to commercialize their inventions (and later whether to exit) in a manner consistent with profit-seeking motives and risk aversion.

[1]  I. Bernhardt Comparative Advantage in Self-Employment and Paid Work , 1994 .

[2]  John Maloney,et al.  And a vision appeared unto them of a great profit: evidence of self-deception among the self-employed , 2000 .

[3]  Joseph Friedman,et al.  University Technology Transfer: Do Incentives, Management, and Location Matter? , 2003 .

[4]  Matthias Benz,et al.  The Value of Autonomy: Evidence from the Self-Employed in 23 Countries , 2004 .

[5]  Aldo Rustichini,et al.  Overconfident: Do You Put Your Money on it? , 2005 .

[6]  C. Clarke,et al.  The Sources of Invention , 1969 .

[7]  Kelly G. Shaver,et al.  Person, Process, Choice: The Psychology of New Venture Creation , 1992 .

[8]  B. Fischhoff,et al.  Hindsight ≠ foresight: the effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty* , 2003 .

[9]  Mark Schankerman,et al.  Royalty Sharing and Technology Licensing in Universities , 2004 .

[10]  Barton H. Hamilton,et al.  Does Entrepreneurship Pay? An Empirical Analysis of the Returns to Self‐Employment , 2000, Journal of Political Economy.

[11]  Yigal Gerchak,et al.  Profitable Advice: the Value of Information Provided by Canada's Inventor's Assistance Program , 2001 .

[12]  D. de Meza Overlending? , 2002 .

[13]  William J. Baumol,et al.  Entrepreneurship in Economic Theory , 1968 .

[14]  Albert N. Link,et al.  Generating science-based growth: an econometric analysis of the impact of organizational incentives on university–industry technology transfer , 2005 .

[15]  S. Kanbur,et al.  Of Risk Taking and the Personal Distribution of Income , 1979, Journal of Political Economy.

[16]  Thomas B. Astebro The Return to Independent Invention: Evidence of Risk Seeking, Extreme Optimism or Skewness-Loving , 2003 .

[17]  Kenneth G. Baker,et al.  Modeling New Product Screening Decisions , 1986 .

[18]  Return of the Invisible Men: the Microeconomic Value Theory of Inventors and Entrepreneurs , 2005 .

[19]  Gary King,et al.  Logistic Regression in Rare Events Data , 2001, Political Analysis.

[20]  Gerald G. Udell Invention Evaluation Services: A Review of the State of the Art , 1989 .

[21]  E. Lazear Balanced Skills and Entrepreneurship , 2004 .

[22]  Gerald G. Udell,et al.  The Wal-Mart Innovation Network: An Experiment in Stimulating American Innovation , 1993 .

[23]  Matthias Benz,et al.  Being Independent is a Great Thing: Subjective Evaluations of Self-Employment and Hierarchy , 2003, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[24]  Jean-Jacques Laffont,et al.  A General Equilibrium Entrepreneurial Theory of Firm Formation Based on Risk Aversion , 1979, Journal of Political Economy.

[25]  Boyan Jovanovic Selection and the evolution of industry , 1981 .

[26]  Steven R. Lerman,et al.  The Estimation of Choice Probabilities from Choice Based Samples , 1977 .

[27]  Matthias Benz,et al.  Entrepreneurship as a non-profit-seeking activity , 2009 .

[28]  Colin Camerer,et al.  Overconfidence and Excess Entry: An Experimental Approach , 1999 .