Modelling and optimal strategy to control coffee berry borer

Coffee berry borer Hypothenemus hampei (Coleoptera: Scolytidae), denoted CBB, is the most important insect pest of coffee worldwide, with a high impact on the economy of coffee producing countries. The insect spends a great part of its life cycle inside the coffee berry and causes severe crop losses. Biological control based on the use of an entomopathogenic fungus is a major alternative to chemical pesticides in order to control CBB. The fungus is sprayed on the coffee berries to kill CBB when the insects drill holes to penetrate inside the berries. Our aim in this work is to optimise the fungus application, using a modelling approach. We first formulate a mathematical model describing the infestation dynamics of coffee berries by CBB. We analyse the model and show that the stability of the pest-free and coexistence equilibria depends on the basic reproduction number. To introduce a control variable corresponding to the application of an entomopathogenic fungus, we then extend the model and include the fungus dynamics. We formulate an optimal problem which consists in maximising the coffee yield, while minimising the control cost, as well as the CBB population for the next cropping season. The existence of the optimal control and the necessary optimality condition are established using Pontryagin's Maximum Principle. The optimal control problem is solved numerically using the BOCOP software and simulations are provided, showing that the use of entomopathogenic fungus effectively controls CBB.

[1]  R. Samuels,et al.  Infection of the Coffee Berry Borer Hypothenemus hampei (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) by Brazilian Isolates of the Entomopathogenic Fungi Beauveria bassiana and Metarhizium anisopliae (Deuteromycotina: Hyphomycetes) , 2002 .

[2]  C. Borgemeister,et al.  Coffee berry borer Hypothenemus hampei (Coleoptera: Curculionidae): searching for sustainable control strategies , 2006, Bulletin of Entomological Research.

[3]  J. F. Barrera,et al.  Virulence of Beauveria bassiana (Deuteromycetes) Strains Against the Coffee Berry Borer (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) , 1997 .

[4]  F. Vega,et al.  Global project needed to tackle coffee crisis , 2003, Nature.

[5]  A. Murugan,et al.  Chemotherapy for tumors: an analysis of the dynamics and a study of quadratic and linear optimal controls. , 2007, Mathematical biosciences.

[6]  Yang Kuang,et al.  Global qualitative analysis of a ratio-dependent predator–prey system , 1998 .

[7]  J. Burgueño,et al.  Efficacy of Beauveria bassiana applications on coffee berry borer across an elevation gradient in Hawaii , 2018, Biocontrol Science and Technology.

[8]  Ramiro Ruiz-Cárdenas,et al.  Spatio-temporal modelling of coffee berry borer infestation patterns accounting for inflation of zeroes and missing values , 2009 .

[9]  B. Chaves,et al.  Dynamics of Beauveria bassiana and Metarhizium anisopliae Infecting Hypothenemus hampei (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) Populations Emerging from Fallen Coffee Berries , 1999 .

[10]  M. Wright,et al.  New Record for the Coffee Berry Borer, Hypothenemus hampei, in Hawaii , 2011, Journal of insect science.

[11]  A. Damon,et al.  A review of the biology and control of the coffee berry borer, Hypothenemus hampei (Coleoptera: Scolytidae). , 2000, Bulletin of entomological research.

[12]  B. Frérot,et al.  Optimization of coffee berry borer, Hypothenemus hampei Ferrari (Col., Scolytidae), mass trapping with an attractant mixture , 2008 .

[13]  F. Vega,et al.  The coffee berry borer, Hypothenemus hampei (Ferrari) (Coleoptera: Curculionidae): a short review, with recent findings and future research directions , 2009 .

[14]  A. Gutierrez,et al.  Tritrophic analysis of the coffee (Coffea arabica) - coffee berry borer [Hypothenemus hampei (Ferrari)] - parasitoid system , 1998 .

[15]  Sam Abbott,et al.  Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number, Rt , 2020, PLoS computational biology.

[16]  R. Messing The Coffee Berry Borer (Hypothenemus hampei) Invades Hawaii: Preliminary Investigations on Trap Response and Alternate Hosts , 2012, Insects.

[17]  W. Fleming,et al.  Deterministic and Stochastic Optimal Control , 1975 .

[18]  P. Baker,et al.  Life-history studies of the coffee berry borer (Hypothenemus hampei, Scolytidae) on coffee trees in southern Mexico. , 1992 .

[19]  J. Watmough,et al.  Reproduction numbers and sub-threshold endemic equilibria for compartmental models of disease transmission. , 2002, Mathematical biosciences.

[20]  A. Gutierrez,et al.  A coffee agroecosystem model: II. Dynamics of coffee berry borer , 2013 .

[21]  John T. Workman,et al.  Optimal Control Applied to Biological Models , 2007 .

[22]  H. S. Shetty,et al.  Beauveria bassiana -A Potential Mycopesticide for the Efficient Control of Coffee Berry Borer, Hypothenemus hampei (Ferrari) in India , 2001 .

[23]  A. Krener The High Order Maximal Principle and Its Application to Singular Extremals , 1977 .

[24]  S. Murphy,et al.  Biological control of the coffee berry borer, Hypothenemus hampei (Ferrari) (Coleoptera, Scolytidae): previous programmes and possibilities for the future. , 1990 .

[25]  D. Suckling,et al.  Cross resistance between insecticides in coffee berry borer, Hypothenemus hampei (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) from New Caledonia. , 1994 .

[26]  R. Arditi,et al.  Coupling in predator-prey dynamics: Ratio-Dependence , 1989 .

[27]  J. Bento,et al.  Mating Behavior of the Coffee Berry Borer, Hypothenemus hampei (Ferrari) (Coleoptera: Curculionidae: Scolytinae) , 2011, Journal of Insect Behavior.

[28]  J. Mbang,et al.  Evaluation naturelle de l’impact de Beauveria bassiana : Champignon enthomopathogène dans la dynamique de population de Hypothenemus hampei , scolyte de baies des cerises de Coffea canefora , 2012 .

[29]  D. Suckling,et al.  Endosulfan resistance in Hypothenemus hampei (Coleoptera: Scolytidae) in New Caledonia , 1989 .

[30]  J. P. Lasalle Stability theory for ordinary differential equations. , 1968 .

[31]  S. Arthurs,et al.  Integrated Pest Management of Coffee Berry Borer: Strategies from Latin America that Could Be Useful for Coffee Farmers in Hawaii , 2016, Insects.