A data-driven two-stage maintenance framework for degradation prediction in semiconductor manufacturing industries

Display Omitted A two-stage maintenance framework predicts degradation in semiconductor industries.Multiple regression forecasting investigates the linear characteristics of system.Genetic algorithm overcomes the bottleneck of local optimality in neural networks.Secondary block (SB) as a backup achieves the highest prediction accuracy of 74.1%.SB addresses non-stationary processes with complex statistics and imbalanced data. To reduce the production costs and breakdown risks in industrial manufacturing systems, condition-based maintenance has been actively pursued for prediction of equipment degradation and optimization of maintenance schedules. In this paper, a two-stage maintenance framework using data-driven techniques under two training types will be developed to predict the degradation status in industrial applications. The proposed framework consists of three main blocks, namely, Primary Maintenance Block (PMB), Secondary Maintenance Block (SMB), and degradation status determination block. As the popular methods with deterministic training, back-propagation Neural Network (NN) and evolvable NN are employed in PMB for the degradation prediction. Another two data-driven methods with probabilistic training, namely, restricted Boltzmann machine and deep belief network are applied in SMB as the backup of PMB to model non-stationary processes with the complicated underlying characteristics. Finally, the multiple regression forecasting is adopted in both blocks to check prediction accuracies. The effectiveness of our proposed two-stage maintenance framework is testified with extensive computation and experimental studies on an industrial case of the wafer fabrication plant in semiconductor manufactories, achieving up to 74.1% in testing accuracies for equipment degradation prediction.

[1]  Hak-Keung Lam,et al.  Tuning of the structure and parameters of a neural network using an improved genetic algorithm , 2003, IEEE Trans. Neural Networks.

[2]  Cher Ming Tan,et al.  Contamination assessment of inductive couple plasma etching chamber under mixture of recipes using statistical method , 2011, 2011 IEEE International Conference of Electron Devices and Solid-State Circuits.

[3]  Bin Zhang,et al.  Machine Condition Prediction Based on Adaptive Neuro–Fuzzy and High-Order Particle Filtering , 2011, IEEE Transactions on Industrial Electronics.

[4]  Frank L. Lewis,et al.  Intelligent Diagnosis and Prognosis of Industrial Networked Systems , 2011 .

[5]  Massimo Pacella,et al.  Monitoring roundness profiles based on an unsupervised neural network algorithm , 2011, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[6]  Zhiwei Guo,et al.  Continuous tool wear prediction based on Gaussian mixture regression model , 2013 .

[7]  Ruoyu Li,et al.  Fault features extraction for bearing prognostics , 2012, J. Intell. Manuf..

[8]  Bimal K. Bose,et al.  Neural Network Applications in Power Electronics and Motor Drives—An Introduction and Perspective , 2007, IEEE Transactions on Industrial Electronics.

[9]  Yoshua. Bengio,et al.  Learning Deep Architectures for AI , 2007, Found. Trends Mach. Learn..

[10]  Shahrul Kamaruddin,et al.  An overview of time-based and condition-based maintenance in industrial application , 2012, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[11]  Noureddine Zerhouni,et al.  Remaining Useful Life Estimation of Critical Components With Application to Bearings , 2012, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[12]  Ying Wang,et al.  Single-machine-based predictive maintenance model considering intelligent machinery prognostics , 2012 .

[13]  Reza Tavakkoli-Moghaddam,et al.  A hybrid multi-objective approach based on the genetic algorithm and neural network to design an incremental cellular manufacturing system , 2013, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[14]  Lawrence Davis,et al.  Training Feedforward Neural Networks Using Genetic Algorithms , 1989, IJCAI.

[15]  Shenghuo Zhu,et al.  Deep Learning of Invariant Features via Simulated Fixations in Video , 2012, NIPS.

[16]  Sam Kwong,et al.  Genetic algorithms: concepts and applications [in engineering design] , 1996, IEEE Trans. Ind. Electron..

[17]  Yee Whye Teh,et al.  A Fast Learning Algorithm for Deep Belief Nets , 2006, Neural Computation.

[18]  Daming Lin,et al.  A review on machinery diagnostics and prognostics implementing condition-based maintenance , 2006 .

[19]  Zhigang Tian,et al.  An artificial neural network method for remaining useful life prediction of equipment subject to condition monitoring , 2012, J. Intell. Manuf..

[20]  Jay Lee,et al.  Intelligent prognostics tools and e-maintenance , 2006, Comput. Ind..

[21]  Bo-Suk Yang,et al.  Multi-step ahead direct prediction for machine condition prognosis using regression trees and neuro-fuzzy systems , 2013 .

[22]  Simon Haykin,et al.  Neural Networks: A Comprehensive Foundation , 1998 .

[23]  Yoshua Bengio,et al.  Extracting and composing robust features with denoising autoencoders , 2008, ICML '08.

[24]  Reza Tavakkoli-Moghaddam,et al.  A hybrid approach based on the genetic algorithm and neural network to design an incremental cellular manufacturing system , 2011, Appl. Soft Comput..

[25]  Geoffrey E. Hinton,et al.  Deep Boltzmann Machines , 2009, AISTATS.

[26]  Geoffrey E. Hinton,et al.  A Learning Algorithm for Boltzmann Machines , 1985, Cogn. Sci..

[27]  L. Darrell Whitley,et al.  Genetic algorithms and neural networks: optimizing connections and connectivity , 1990, Parallel Comput..

[28]  Sam Kwong,et al.  Genetic algorithms: concepts and applications [in engineering design] , 1996, IEEE Trans. Ind. Electron..

[29]  Lee J. Krajewski,et al.  A decision model for corrective maintenance management , 1994 .

[30]  Manoochehr Ghiassi,et al.  A dynamic artificial neural network model for forecasting nonlinear processes , 2009, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[31]  Huaqing Wang,et al.  Intelligent diagnosis method for rolling element bearing faults using possibility theory and neural network , 2011, Comput. Ind. Eng..