The Majority Rule in Individual Decision Making

This research investigates an understudied decision heuristic, the majority rule. By using the rule, decision makers choose the option superior on most of the available cues. Cues are broadly defined, including advisors and attributes. We propose that decision makers are more likely to use the majority rule when encouraged to employ intra-cue comparison as opposed to intra-option integration, and that their choices are influenced by factors that influence which option appears majority superior. We corroborate the two propositions in four studies. In Studies 1 and 2, we explore two factors that moderate use of the majority rule through facilitating intra-cue comparison or intra-option integration - response mode and information display format. In Studies 3 and 4, we explore two factors that influence choice through influencing which option appears majority-superior - cue-unpacking and cue-regrouping.

[1]  M. Deutsch,et al.  A study of normative and informational social influences upon individual judgement. , 1955, Journal of abnormal psychology.

[2]  Janet A. Sniezek,et al.  Cueing and Cognitive Conflict in Judge-Advisor Decision Making , 1995 .

[3]  Steven D. Penrod,et al.  Social Influence Model: A formal integration of research on majority and minority influence processes. , 1984 .

[4]  S. Asch Effects of Group Pressure Upon the Modification and Distortion of Judgments , 1951 .

[5]  Reid Hastie,et al.  The impact of information on small group choice. , 1997 .

[6]  H. Guetzkow,et al.  Groups, Leadership, and Men , 1952 .

[7]  Christopher K. Hsee,et al.  Internal and Substantive Inconsistencies in Decision-Making , 2006 .

[8]  Don N. Kleinmuntz,et al.  Information Displays and Choice Processes: Differential Effects of Organization, Form, and Sequence , 1994 .

[9]  James R. Bettman,et al.  Information Format and Choice Task Effects in Decision Making , 1979 .

[10]  Craig R. Fox,et al.  Partition Priming in Judgment Under Uncertainty , 2003, Psychological science.

[11]  K. May Intransitivity, Utility, and the Aggregation of Preference Patterns , 1954 .

[12]  D. Winterfeldt,et al.  The effects of splitting attributes on weights in multiattribute utility measurement , 1988 .

[13]  J. Alba,et al.  The Effects of Frequency Knowledge On Consumer Decision Making , 1987 .

[14]  Christopher K. Hsee,et al.  Lay Rationalism and Inconsistency between Predicted Experience and Decision , 2003 .

[15]  A. Tversky Intransitivity of preferences. , 1969 .

[16]  R. Hogarth,et al.  Order effects in belief updating: The belief-adjustment model , 1992, Cognitive Psychology.

[17]  A. Tversky,et al.  Contingent weighting in judgment and choice , 1988 .

[18]  Robert S. Billings,et al.  The effects of response mode and importance on decision-making strategies: Judgment versus choice , 1988 .

[19]  N. Harvey,et al.  Combining Advice: The Weight of a Dissenting Opinion in the Consensus , 2004 .

[20]  Peter Wright Consumer Choice Strategies: Simplifying Vs. Optimizing , 1975 .

[21]  M. Birnbaum,et al.  Source Credibility in Social Judgment : Bias , Expertise , and the Judge ' s Point of View , 1979 .

[22]  A. Denisi,et al.  Search and retrieval patterns for performance information: effects on evaluations of multiple targets , 1986 .

[23]  Assigning Subjective Probabilities to Event Trees: Partition Dependence and Bias Toward the Ignorance Prior , 2004 .

[24]  Nigel Harvey,et al.  Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making , 2004 .

[25]  Paul Slovic,et al.  Response-induced reversals of preference in gambling: An extended replication in las vegas , 1973 .

[26]  A. Sen,et al.  Social Choice Theory: A Re-Examination , 1977 .

[27]  D. Winterfeldt,et al.  The effect of varying value trees on multiattribute evaluations , 1988 .

[28]  S. Vajda,et al.  GAMES AND DECISIONS; INTRODUCTION AND CRITICAL SURVEY. , 1958 .

[29]  C. Nemeth Differential contributions of majority and minority influence , 1986 .

[30]  H. Lindman Inconsistent preferences among gambles. , 1971 .

[31]  A. Diekmann,et al.  A paradox in decision theory and some experimental results: The relative nature of decisions , 1988 .

[32]  R. Hogarth Methods for Aggregating Opinions , 1977 .

[33]  Peter C. Fishburn,et al.  Context-Dependent Choice with Nonlinear and Nontransitive Preferences , 1988 .

[34]  Eric J. Johnson,et al.  Behavioral decision research: A constructive processing perspective. , 1992 .

[35]  J. Bettman,et al.  Effects of Information Presentation Format on Consumer Information Acquisition Strategies , 1977 .

[36]  G. W. Fischer,et al.  Strategy compatibility, scale compatibility, and the prominence effect. , 1993 .

[37]  A. Tversky,et al.  Compatibility effects in judgment and choice. , 1990 .

[38]  Larry D. Rosen,et al.  An eye fixation analysis of choice and judgment with multiattribute stimuli , 1976, Memory & cognition.

[39]  Don N. Kleinmuntz,et al.  Information Displays and Decision Processes , 1993 .

[40]  Christopher K. Hsee,et al.  Preference Reversals between Joint and Separate Evaluations of Options: A Review and Theoretical Analysis , 1999 .

[41]  David A. Schkade,et al.  Effects of Attribute Scales on Process and Performance in Multiattribute Choice , 1994 .

[42]  Gabriel J. Biehal,et al.  Information-Presentation Format and Learning Goals as Determinants of Consumers' Memory Retrieval and Choice Processes , 1982 .

[43]  R. Dawes SOCIAL SELECTION BASED ON MULTIDIMENSIONAL CRITERIA. , 1964, Journal of abnormal psychology.

[44]  B. Dosher,et al.  Strategies for multiattribute binary choice. , 1983, Journal of experimental psychology. Learning, memory, and cognition.

[45]  M. F. Luce,et al.  Constructive Consumer Choice Processes , 1998 .

[46]  Peter C. Fishburn,et al.  LEXICOGRAPHIC ORDERS, UTILITIES AND DECISION RULES: A SURVEY , 1974 .

[47]  Robert Goodall Brown,et al.  Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs , 1979 .

[48]  Ilan Yaniv ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOR AND HUMAN DECISION PROCESSES, VOLUME 69, ISSUE 3 , 1997 .

[49]  R. Hogarth,et al.  Unit weighting schemes for decision making , 1975 .

[50]  A. Tversky Elimination by aspects: A theory of choice. , 1972 .

[51]  Susan M. Broniarczyk,et al.  Integrating Multiple Opinions: The Role of Aspiration Level on Consumer Response to Critic Consensus , 1998 .

[52]  P. Slovic The Construction of Preference , 1995 .

[53]  Yoav Ganzach,et al.  Attribute Scatter and Decision Outcome: Judgment versus Choice , 1995 .

[54]  S. Senter,et al.  Information presentation constraints and the adaptive decision maker hypothesis , 1999 .

[55]  S. Wolf,et al.  Majority and minority influences on restaurant preferences. , 1983 .

[56]  J. Baron,et al.  Response Mode Effects and Moral Values , 2001, Organizational behavior and human decision processes.

[57]  H. J. Einhorn,et al.  Expression theory and the preference reversal phenomena. , 1987 .

[58]  Sirkka L. Jarvenpaa,et al.  The effect of task demands and graphical format on information processing strategies , 1989 .

[59]  Eric J. Johnson,et al.  Adaptive Strategy Selection in Decision Making. , 1988 .

[60]  Manouchehr Tabatabaei An experimental analysis of decision channeling by restrictive information display , 2002 .

[61]  P. Slovic,et al.  Preference Reversals: A Broader Perspective , 1983 .

[62]  C. Coombs A theory of data. , 1965, Psychology Review.

[63]  Christian Seidl,et al.  Preference Reversal , 2002 .

[64]  O. Svenson Process descriptions of decision making. , 1979 .

[65]  Martin Weber,et al.  Behavioral influences on weight judgments in multiattribute decision making , 1993 .

[66]  L. Beach,et al.  A Contingency Model for the Selection of Decision Strategies , 1978 .

[67]  N. Anderson Foundations of information integration theory , 1981 .

[68]  D. Saari Decisions and elections : explaining the unexpected , 2001 .

[69]  I. Simonson,et al.  Attribute–Task Compatibility as a Determinant of Consumer Preference Reversals: , 1997 .

[70]  L. A. Goodman,et al.  Social Choice and Individual Values , 1951 .

[71]  Eric J. Johnson,et al.  Preference Reversals in Monetary and Life Expectancy Evaluations , 1995 .

[72]  P. Slovic,et al.  Reversals of preference between bids and choices in gambling decisions. , 1971 .

[73]  John W. Payne,et al.  Contingent decision behavior. , 1982 .

[74]  Eric J. Johnson,et al.  Cognitive processes in preference reversals , 1989 .