Sampling design and analytical advances allow for simultaneous density estimation of seven sympatric carnivore species from camera trap data

Abstract Population density is a fundamental parameter needed to assess wildlife populations but is difficult to obtain given species are often wide-ranging and elusive. Photographic capture-recapture techniques do not require direct observations and thus, have become a common approach for estimating wildlife densities. To date, however, these studies have typically focused on single species. Our research explores study design- and analytical-based approaches for expanding photographic capture-recapture studies to assess multiple species simultaneously. We developed a hybrid-sampling scheme that varied inter-camera distances and used simulations to test the efficacy of this design versus a systematically spaced grid in estimating densities of species with varied space use. Through simulations we found the hybrid design facilitated density estimates for a wider range of species with little or no cost in accuracy for most species. We implemented a hybrid camera design across a 1154-km2 area in northern Botswana to estimate densities of lions, spotted hyenas, leopards, wild dogs, servals, civets, and aardwolves. We estimated densities of these small- to wide-ranging carnivores, where all or some portion of the population was individually identifiable, using spatially explicit capture-recapture and mark-resight models. Mean estimates ranged from 1.2 (95% CI = 0.72–1.99) lions to 10.1 (95% CI = 8.69–11.63) spotted hyenas/100 km2 and provided empirical information needed for the conservation of these species in Botswana. Our research demonstrates how photographic capture-recapture studies can be expanded to estimate the densities of multiple species versus just a single species within a community, thus increasing the conservation value of this globally implemented approach.

[1]  Samuel T. Turvey,et al.  Estimating animal density using camera traps without the need for individual recognition , 2008 .

[2]  Ben Collen,et al.  Biodiversity Monitoring and Conservation: Bridging the Gaps Between Global Commitment and Local Action , 2013 .

[3]  Rob Slotow,et al.  Evaluating Methods for Counting Cryptic Carnivores , 2009 .

[4]  C. Downs,et al.  Impact of farmland use on population density and activity patterns of serval in South Africa , 2013 .

[5]  Timothy G. O'Brien,et al.  The Wildlife Picture Index: monitoring top trophic levels , 2010 .

[6]  G. Seber The estimation of animal abundance and related parameters , 1974 .

[7]  Ben C. Augustine,et al.  Long‐term monitoring of ocelot densities in Belize , 2018, The Journal of Wildlife Management.

[8]  Tetsukazu Yahara,et al.  Towards a global terrestrial species monitoring program , 2015 .

[9]  David A. W. Miller,et al.  Using camera trapping and hierarchical occupancy modelling to evaluate the spatial ecology of an African mammal community , 2016 .

[10]  N. Pettorelli,et al.  Essential Biodiversity Variables , 2013, Science.

[11]  Rahel Sollmann,et al.  Improving density estimates for elusive carnivores: Accounting for sex-specific detection and movements using spatial capture–recapture models for jaguars in central Brazil , 2011 .

[12]  J. Andrew Royle,et al.  Trap Configuration and Spacing Influences Parameter Estimates in Spatial Capture-Recapture Models , 2014, PloS one.

[13]  D L Borchers,et al.  Spatially Explicit Maximum Likelihood Methods for Capture–Recapture Studies , 2008, Biometrics.

[14]  J. Andrew Royle,et al.  Impacts of forest fragmentation on species richness: a hierarchical approach to community modelling , 2009 .

[15]  James D Nichols,et al.  Assessing tiger population dynamics using photographic capture-recapture sampling. , 2006, Ecology.

[16]  A. Noss,et al.  How Small is too Small? Camera Trap Survey Areas and Density Estimates for Ocelots in the Bolivian Chaco , 2007 .

[17]  N. Jordan,et al.  Ecological Predictors of African Wild Dog Ranging Patterns in Northern Botswana , 2015 .

[18]  M. Hebblewhite,et al.  Status and Ecological Effects of the World’s Largest Carnivores , 2014, Science.

[19]  J. Mcnutt,et al.  Density and habitat use of lions and spotted hyenas in northern Botswana and the influence of survey and ecological variables on call-in survey estimation , 2013, Biodiversity and Conservation.

[20]  Craig J. Tambling,et al.  Illegal bushmeat hunters compete with predators and threaten wild herbivore populations in a global tourism hotspot , 2017 .

[21]  L. Hunter,et al.  To track or to call: comparing methods for estimating population abundance of African lions Panthera leo in Kafue National Park , 2015, Biodiversity and Conservation.

[22]  R. Forman,et al.  ROADS AND THEIR MAJOR ECOLOGICAL EFFECTS , 1998 .

[23]  C. Packer,et al.  Lion (Panthera leo) populations are declining rapidly across Africa, except in intensively managed areas , 2015, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[24]  J. Andrew Royle,et al.  A hierarchical model for estimating density in camera‐trap studies , 2009 .

[25]  Murray G Efford,et al.  Spatial capture–mark–resight estimation of animal population density , 2018, Biometrics.

[26]  David R. Anderson,et al.  Statistical inference from capture data on closed animal populations , 1980 .

[27]  A. Houser,et al.  Density of Large Predators on Commercial Farmland in Ghanzi, Botswana , 2012 .

[28]  Rahel Sollmann,et al.  Comparing capture–recapture, mark–resight, and spatial mark–resight models for estimating puma densities via camera traps , 2014 .

[29]  J. Nichols,et al.  ESTIMATION OF TIGER DENSITIES IN INDIA USING PHOTOGRAPHIC CAPTURES AND RECAPTURES , 1998 .

[30]  Brett T McClintock,et al.  A spatial mark--resight model augmented with telemetry data. , 2013, Ecology.

[31]  J. Andrew Royle,et al.  Spatial Capture-Recapture , 2013 .

[32]  S. T. Buckland,et al.  Distance sampling with camera traps , 2017 .

[33]  Andrew J. Noss,et al.  The use of camera traps for estimating jaguar Panthera onca abundance and density using capture/recapture analysis , 2004, Oryx.

[34]  K. Kunkel,et al.  The potential for large carnivores to act as biodiversity surrogates in southern Africa , 2008, Biodiversity and Conservation.

[35]  J. Andrew Royle,et al.  Scaling-up camera traps: monitoring the planet's biodiversity with networks of remote sensors , 2017 .

[36]  J. Andrew Royle,et al.  Spatial capture–recapture with partial identity: An application to camera traps , 2018 .

[37]  Nathaniel P. Robinson,et al.  Assessing global patterns in mammalian carnivore occupancy and richness by integrating local camera trap surveys , 2017 .

[38]  S. Harris,et al.  Habitat Selection by African Buffalo (Syncerus caffer) in Response to Landscape-Level Fluctuations in Water Availability on Two Temporal Scales , 2014, PloS one.

[39]  J. Ginsberg,et al.  Edge effects and the extinction of populations inside protected areas , 1998, Science.

[40]  Jerrold L. Belant,et al.  How Does Spatial Study Design Influence Density Estimates from Spatial Capture-Recapture Models? , 2012, PloS one.