The Great Migration in Black and White: New Evidence on the Selection and Sorting of Southern Migrants

We construct datasets of linked census records to study internal migrants’ selection and destination choices during the first decades of the “Great Migration” (1910-1930). We study both whites and blacks and intra- and inter-regional migration. While there is some evidence of positive selection, the degree of selection was small and participation in migration was widespread. Differences in background, including initial location, cannot account for racial differences in destination choices. Blacks and whites were similarly responsive to pre-existing migrant stocks from their home state, but black men were more deterred by distance, attracted to manufacturing, and responsive to labor demand.

[1]  G. Borjas,et al.  Self-Selection and Internal Migration in the United States , 1992, Journal of urban economics.

[2]  Suresh Naidu,et al.  When the Levee Breaks: Black Migration and Economic Development in the American South , 2012 .

[3]  Jacob L. Vigdor The Pursuit of Opportunity: Explaining Selective Black Migration , 2002 .

[4]  Warren C. Whatley Getting a Foot in the Door: “Learning,” State Dependence, and the Racial Integration of Firms , 1990, The Journal of Economic History.

[5]  Hillel Rapoport,et al.  Network effects and the dynamics of migration and inequality: Theory and evidence from Mexico , 2007 .

[6]  R. Easterlin Interregional Differences in Per Capita Income, Population, and Total Income, 1840-1950 , 1960 .

[7]  B. Thomas,et al.  Migration and Economic Growth , 1954 .

[8]  L. Sjaastad The Costs and Returns of Human Migration , 1962 .

[9]  F. Caselli,et al.  The U.S. Structural Transformation and Regional Convergence: A Reinterpretation , 2001, Journal of Political Economy.

[10]  Lowell J. Taylor,et al.  The Impact of the Great Migration on Mortality of African Americans: Evidence from the Deep South. , 2015, The American economic review.

[11]  W. Collins African-American Economic Mobility in the 1940s: A Portrait from the Palmer Survey , 2000 .

[12]  L. Boustan NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES COMPETITION IN THE PROMISED LAND: BLACK MIGRATION AND RACIAL WAGE CONVERGENCE IN THE NORTH, 1940-1970 , 2011 .

[13]  Trevon Logan Health, Human Capital, and African American Migration Before 1910 , 2008, Explorations in economic history.

[14]  Stanley Lieberson,et al.  A Reconsideration of the Income Differences Found Between Migrants and Northern-Born Blacks , 1978, American Journal of Sociology.

[15]  Jason Long,et al.  Intergenerational Occupational Mobility in Great Britain and the United States since 1850 , 2013 .

[16]  Enrico Moretti,et al.  Local Labor Markets , 2010, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[17]  R. Ransom,et al.  One Kind of Freedom: The Economic Consequences of Emancipation , 1979 .

[18]  W. E. Vickery The Economics of the Negro Migration: 1900 - 1960 , 1977 .

[19]  R. Higgs Accumulation of Property by Southern Blacks before World War I , 1982 .

[20]  K. Mitchener,et al.  U.S.Regional Growth And Convergence, 1880–1980 , 1999, The Journal of Economic History.

[21]  Abigail Wozniak,et al.  Are College Graduates More Responsive to Distant Labor Market Opportunities? , 2010, The Journal of Human Resources.

[22]  Wm. O. Scroggs Interstate Migration of Negro Population , 1917, Journal of Political Economy.

[23]  J. N. Gregory,et al.  The Southern Diaspora: How the Great Migrations of Black and White Southerners Transformed America , 2006 .

[24]  H. White On point , 2021, Early Years Educator.

[25]  Robert M. Adelman,et al.  Distances Traveled during the Great Migration , 2005, Social Science History.

[26]  Ran Abramitzky,et al.  Europe's Tired, Poor, Huddled Masses: Self-Selection and Economic Outcomes in the Age of Mass Migration , 2010, The American economic review.

[27]  Jeffrey Grogger,et al.  Income Maximization and the Selection and Sorting of International Migrants , 2008 .

[28]  Wiiliam J. Collins When the Tide Turned: Immigration and the Delay of the Great Black Migration , 1997, The Journal of Economic History.

[29]  D. Massey :The Age of Mass Migration: Causes and Economic Impact , 2000 .

[30]  Land of Hope: Chicago, Black Southerners, and the Great Migration. , 1989 .

[31]  L. Boustan,et al.  Have the Poor Always Been Less Likely to Migrate? Evidence from Inheritance Practices During the Age of Mass Migration , 2012, Journal of development economics.

[32]  Lawrence F. Katz,et al.  Regional Evolutions , 2007 .

[33]  S. Buder Lives of Their Own: Blacks, Italians, and Poles in Pittsburgh, 1900–1960 , 1984 .

[34]  Joshua L. Rosenbloom Looking for Work, Searching for Workers: List of Figures and Tables , 2002 .

[35]  Michael Banton,et al.  An American Dilemma: The Negro Problem and Modern Democracy , 1964 .

[36]  A. Roy Some thoughts on the distribution of earnings , 1951 .

[37]  Haizheng Li,et al.  A CONDITIONAL LOGIT APPROACH TO U.S. STATE-TO-STATE MIGRATION* , 2001 .

[38]  A. J. Jaffe,et al.  Manpower in Economic Growth: The American Record since 1800 by Stanley Lebergott (review) , 1965 .

[39]  H. Herzog Who Benefits from State and Local Economic Development Policies , 1992 .

[40]  S. Tolnay,et al.  Moving Out but Not Up: Economic Outcomes in the Great Migration , 2010 .

[41]  Matthew E. Kahn,et al.  Moving to Higher Ground: Migration Response to Natural Disasters in the Early Twentieth Century , 2012 .

[42]  Richard B. Baker From the Field to the Classroom: The Boll Weevil's Impact on Education in Rural Georgia , 2015 .

[43]  G. Borjas Self-Selection and the Earnings of Immigrants , 1987, Foundations of Migration Economics.

[44]  S. Stromquist Looking for Work, Searching for Workers: American Labor Markets during Industrialization , 2006 .

[45]  R. Margo,et al.  Historical Perspectives on Racial Differences in Schooling in the United States , 2003 .

[46]  C. Woodward The Strange Career of Jim Crow , 1957 .

[47]  R. Margo The North-South Wage Gap, Before and after the Civil War , 2002 .

[48]  D. McFadden Conditional logit analysis of qualitative choice behavior , 1972 .

[49]  B. Stuart Social Interactions and Location Decisions: Evidence from U.S. Mass Migration∗ , 2017 .

[50]  Richard G. Smolka The Shaping of Southern Politics: Suffrage Restriction and the Establishment of the One-Party South, 1880–1910: Kousser, J. Morgan: (Yale Historical Publications Miscellany, No. 102): New Havcn, Conn.: Yale University Press, 319 pp., Publication Date: October 16, 1974 , 1975 .

[51]  E. Beck,et al.  Black Flight: Lethal Violence and the Great Migration, 1900–1930 , 1990, Social Science History.

[52]  S. Tolnay Educational Selection in the Migration of Southern Blacks, 1880–1990 , 1998 .

[53]  Christopher L. Foote,et al.  Arbitraging a Discriminatory Labor Market: Black Workers at the Ford Motor Company, 1918–1947 , 2003, Journal of Labor Economics.

[54]  S. Ruggles Integrated Public Use Microdata Series , 2021, Encyclopedia of Gerontology and Population Aging.

[55]  J. Ferrie History Lessons: The End of American Exceptionalism? Mobility in the United States Since 1850 , 2005 .

[56]  R. Margo Accumulation of Property by Southern Blacks Before World War I: Commentand Further Evidence , 1983 .

[57]  W. Sundstrom The Geography of Wage Discrimination in the Pre-Civil Rights South , 2007 .

[58]  J. M. Kousser,et al.  The Shaping of Southern Politics: Suffrage Restriction and the Establishment of the One-Party South, 1880-1910 , 1974 .

[59]  J. Atack On the Use of Geographic Information Systems in Economic History: The American Transportation Revolution Revisited , 2013, The Journal of Economic History.

[60]  W. B. Reddaway,et al.  Migration and economic growth , 1955 .

[61]  S. Naidu Recruitment Restrictions and Labor Markets: Evidence from the Postbellum U.S. South , 2010, Journal of Labor Economics.

[62]  Race and Schooling in the South, 1880-1950: An Economic History , 1990 .

[63]  J. Roback Wages, Rents, and the Quality of Life , 1982, Journal of Political Economy.

[64]  Kaivan Munshi,et al.  Black Networks After Emancipation : Evidence from Reconstruction and the Great Migration ∗ , 2012 .

[65]  P. Rhode,et al.  The Impact of the Boll Weevil, 1892–1932 , 2009, The Journal of Economic History.

[66]  Arnold M. Rose,et al.  An American Dilemma: The Negro Problem and Modern Democracy. , 1944 .

[67]  Gavin Wright,et al.  Old South, New South: Revolutions in the Southern Economy since the Civil War , 1989 .

[68]  T. Maloney Migration and Economic Opportunity in the 1910s: New Evidence on African-American Occupational Mobility in the North , 2001 .

[69]  William J. Carrington,et al.  Migration with endogenous moving costs. , 1996 .

[70]  M. Hughey The Warmth of Other Suns: The Epic Story of America’s Great Migration , 2012 .