Principles of Neural Model Identification, Selection and Adequacy: With Applications to Financial Econometrics

1 Introduction.- 2 Neural Model Identification.- 3 Review of Current Practice in Neural Model Identification.- 4 Neural Model Selection: the Minimum Prediction Risk Principle.- 5 Variable Significance Testing: a Statistical Approach.- 6 Model Adequacy Testing.- 7 Neural Networks in Tactical Asset Allocation: a Case Study.- 8 Conclusions.- Appendices.- A Computation of Network Derivatives.- B Generating Random Normal Deviates.- References.