Interval State Estimation With Uncertainty of Distributed Generation and Line Parameters in Unbalanced Distribution Systems

Distribution system state estimation, which provides critical information for system monitoring and control, is being challenged by multiple sources of uncertainties such as random meter errors, stochastic power output of distributed generation (DG), and imprecise network parameters. This paper originally proposes a general interval state estimation (ISE) model to simultaneously formulate these uncertainties in unbalanced distribution systems by interval arithmetic. Moreover, this model can accommodate partially available measurements of DG outputs and inaccurate line parameters. Furthermore, a modified Krawczyk-operator algorithm is proposed to solve the general ISE model efficiently, and effectively provides the upper and lower bounds of state variables under coordinated impacts of these uncertainties. The proposed algorithm is tested on unbalanced IEEE 13-bus and 123-bus systems. Comparison with various methods including Monte Carlo simulation indicates that the proposed algorithm is many orders of magnitude faster and encloses tighter boundaries of state variables.