Stochastic Simulation of Time Series by Using the Spatial-Temporal Weierstrass Function

We extend the recently considered toy model of Weierstrass (or Levy) walks with varying velocity of the walker [1,2] by introducing a more realistic possibility that the walk can be occasionally intermitted by its momentary localization; the localizations themselves are again described by the Weierstrass (or Levy) process. The direct empirical motivation for developing this combined model is, for example, the dynamics of financial high-frequency time series or meteorological ones. This approach makes it possible to study by efficient stochastic simulations the whole spatial-temporal range. To describe empirical data, which are collected at discrete time-steps, we used in the continuous-time series produced by the model a discretization procedure. We observed that such a procedure constitutes a basis for long-time autocorrelations (of the variation of the walker single-step displacements) which appear to be similar to those observed, e.g., in financial time series [3,4,5,6,7,8], although single steps of the walker within the continuous time are uncorrelated.

[1]  J. V. Leeuwen,et al.  Renormalization Theory for Ising Like Spin Systems , 1976 .

[2]  Ryszard Kutner,et al.  Hierarchical spatio-temporal coupling in fractional wanderings. (I) Continuous-time Weierstrass flights , 1999 .

[3]  M. Mézard,et al.  Microscopic models for long ranged volatility correlations , 2001, cond-mat/0105076.

[4]  R. Kutner Higher-order analysis within Weierstrass hierarchical walks , 2002 .

[5]  H. Wagner Renormalization Group Approach to Critical Phenomena , 1977 .

[6]  J. Klafter,et al.  The random walk's guide to anomalous diffusion: a fractional dynamics approach , 2000 .

[7]  H. Stanley,et al.  Introduction to Phase Transitions and Critical Phenomena , 1972 .

[8]  R. Kutner Stock market context of the Lévy walks with varying velocity , 2002 .

[9]  Pilar Grau-Carles Empirical evidence of long-range correlations in stock returns , 2000 .

[10]  R. Kutner Extreme events as foundation of Lévy walks with varying velocity , 2002 .

[11]  R. Weron Estimating long range dependence: finite sample properties and confidence intervals , 2001, cond-mat/0103510.

[12]  V. Plerou,et al.  Similarities and differences between physics and economics , 2001 .

[13]  P. Cizeau,et al.  CORRELATIONS IN ECONOMIC TIME SERIES , 1997, cond-mat/9706021.

[14]  R. Kutner,et al.  Hierarchical spatio-temporal coupling in fractional wanderings. (II). Diffusion phase diagram for Weierstrass walks , 1999 .

[15]  Joseph W. Haus,et al.  Diffusion in regular and disordered lattices , 1987 .

[16]  Fabrizio Lillo,et al.  Levels of complexity in financial markets , 2001 .