Sustainable Agriculture and Climate Changes in Egypt

Egypt is one of the most populous countries in Africa. Most of Egypt 82.2 million people live near the banks of the Nile River, in an area of about 40,000 km2, where the only arable land is found. The large areas of the Sahara Desert are sparsely inhabited. About half of Egypt’s residents live in urban areas, with most people spread across the densely populated centers of greater Cairo, Alexandria and other major cities in the Nile Delta. Egypt’s fertile area totals about 3.3 million ha, about one-quarter of which is land reclaimed from the desert. However, the reclaimed lands only add 7% to the total value of agricultural production. Even though only 3% of the land is arable, it is extremely productive and can be cropped two or even three times annually. Most land is cropped at least twice a year, but agricultural productivity is limited by salinity, which afflicts an estimation of 35% of cultivated land, and drainage issues. Climate change is a natural phenomenon, but humankind has drastically altered the process. Climate change has the potential to affect agriculture through changes in temperature, rainfall timing and quantity, CO2, and solar radiation. Agriculture can both mitigate or worsen global warming. Some of the increase in CO2 in the atmosphere comes from the decomposition of organic matter in the soil, and much of the methane emitted into the atmosphere is caused by the decomposition of organic matter in wet soils such as rice paddies. Egypt’s agricultural development has been constrained by, among other factors, the need to conserve scarce natural resources, the pressures of rapid urbanization, the onslaught of the desert, and, not least important, technological limitations and restrictive economic structures.

[1]  J. Aune Conventional, Organic and Conservation Agriculture: Production and Environmental Impact , 2012 .

[2]  Newbold On the Geology of Egypt , 1848 .

[3]  S. Jagadish,et al.  Climate change affecting rice production: the physiological and agronomic basis for possible adaptation strategies , 2009 .

[4]  J. Palutikof,et al.  Climate change 2007 : impacts, adaptation and vulnerability , 2001 .

[5]  The Rough Guide to Climate Change , 2012 .

[6]  G. Fischer,et al.  Crop response to elevated CO2 and world food supply A comment on: Food for Thought... by Long et al., Science 312: 1918-1921, 2006 , 2007 .

[7]  Marco Bindi,et al.  Climatic changes and associated impacts in the Mediterranean resulting from a 2°C global warming , 2009 .

[8]  J. Porter,et al.  The Physiology of Crop Yield , 2006 .

[9]  L. Garrote,et al.  Challenges to Manage the Risk of Water Scarcity and Climate Change in the Mediterranean , 2007 .

[10]  James W. Jones,et al.  Decision support system for agrotechnology transfer: DSSAT v3 , 1998 .

[11]  G. F. Arkin,et al.  The Cotton Simulation Model "COTTAM":Fruiting Model Calibration and Testing , 1988 .

[12]  Hans Günter,et al.  Book Launch Event during the 7 th IHDP Open Meeting Facing Global Environmental Change Environmental, Human, Energy, Food, Health and Water Security Concepts , 2009 .

[13]  David L. McNeil,et al.  Climate change impact on rainfed wheat in south-eastern Australia , 2007 .

[14]  G. W. Murray,et al.  The Egyptian Climate: An Historical Outline , 1951 .

[15]  A. Shvidenko,et al.  Europe. Climate change 2007: Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability , 2007 .

[16]  J. Porter,et al.  Crop responses to climatic variation , 2005, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

[17]  Andy Jarvis,et al.  Scenarios of climate change within the context of agriculture. , 2010 .

[18]  Andrew J. Challinor,et al.  Simulation of the impact of high temperature stress on annual crop yields , 2005 .

[19]  Andrew J. Challinor,et al.  Crop yield reduction in the tropics under climate change: Processes and uncertainties , 2008 .

[20]  R. Lal Climate change and global food security , 2005 .

[21]  B. Govaerts,et al.  Greenhouse gas mitigation in the main cereal systems: rice, wheat and maize. , 2010 .

[22]  I. Seierstad,et al.  Impacts of climate change on Blue Nile flows using bias-corrected GCM scenarios , 2008 .

[23]  C. Rosenzweig,et al.  Handbook of climate change and agroecosystems : impacts, adaptation, and mitigation , 2010 .

[24]  M. Bindi,et al.  AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS AND ADAPTATIONS TO CLIMATE CHANGE IN EUROPE , 2005 .

[25]  D. Lüthi,et al.  The role of increasing temperature variability in European summer heatwaves , 2004, Nature.

[26]  C. Tebaldi,et al.  Prioritizing Climate Change Adaptation Needs for Food Security in 2030 , 2008, Science.

[27]  Daniel Hillel,et al.  Climate Change and the Global Harvest: Potential Impacts of the Greenhouse Effect on Agriculture , 1998 .

[28]  Corinne Le Quéré,et al.  Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis , 2013 .

[29]  David Yates,et al.  MODELING THE NILE BASIN UNDER CLIMATIC CHANGE , 1998 .

[30]  Steven A. Sargent,et al.  Climate changes and potential impacts on postharvest quality of fruit and vegetable crops: A review , 2010 .

[31]  E. Karami,et al.  Sociology of Sustainable Agriculture , 2010 .

[32]  R. B. Jackson,et al.  Water in a changing world , 2001 .

[33]  E. Kalnay,et al.  Impact of urbanization and land-use change on climate , 2003, Nature.

[34]  F. Damatta,et al.  Impacts of climate changes on crop physiology and food quality , 2010 .

[35]  D. Taub,et al.  Effects of elevated CO2 on the protein concentration of food crops: a meta‐analysis , 2008 .

[36]  C. R. W. Spedding Agriculture and the citizen , 1996 .

[37]  S. Dasgupta,et al.  The impact of sea level rise on developing countries: a comparative analysis , 2007 .

[38]  Mohamed El Raey,et al.  Mapping Areas Affected by Sea-Level Rise due to Climate Change in the Nile Delta Until 2100 , 2011 .

[39]  G. North Climate change 1994: Radiative forcing of climate change and an evaluation of the IPCC IS92 emission scenarios. Intergovernmental panel on climate change (IPCC) , 1997 .

[40]  Annette Menzel,et al.  Trends and temperature response in the phenology of crops in Germany , 2007 .

[41]  Siwa Msangi,et al.  The costs of agricultural adaptation to climate change , 2010 .

[42]  Michael T Needham,et al.  A Psychological Approach to a Thriving Resilient Community , 2011 .

[43]  M. Reynolds Climate change and crop production. , 2010 .

[44]  M. Semenov Impacts of climate change on wheat in England and Wales , 2009, Journal of The Royal Society Interface.

[45]  J. D. Hughes Sustainable agriculture in ancient Egypt , 1992 .

[46]  F. Bazzaz Global Climate Change and Agricultural Production , 2008 .

[47]  E. Lichtfouse Agroecology and Strategies for Climate Change , 2012, Sustainable Agriculture Reviews.

[48]  B. Shiferaw,et al.  Saharan Africa : An essential first step in adapting to future climate change ? , 2008 .

[49]  Robert W. Kates,et al.  From the Unity of Nature to Sustainability Science: Ideas and Practice , 2012 .

[50]  Mariam G. Salim Selection of groundwater sites in Egypt, using geographic information systems, for desalination by solar energy in order to reduce greenhouse gases , 2012 .

[51]  S. Arrhenius Das Werden der Welten , 1921 .

[52]  V. Sardo,et al.  Sustainable Versus Organic Agriculture , 2010 .

[53]  J. Jouzel,et al.  Climate and atmospheric history of the past 420,000 years from the Vostok ice core, Antarctica , 1999, Nature.

[54]  Технология Springer Science+Business Media , 2013 .

[55]  P. Hamilton An Historical Outline , 1928 .

[56]  Maurice L. Schwartz,et al.  Encyclopedia of coastal science , 2005 .

[57]  N. Nakicenovic,et al.  Climate change 2007: Mitigation. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Summary for Policymakers. , 2007 .

[58]  Eduardo Delgado Assad,et al.  Impacto das mudanças climáticas no zoneamento agroclimático do café no Brasil , 2004 .

[59]  Miguel A. Altieri,et al.  Agroecology: The Science Of Sustainable Agriculture, Second Edition , 1995 .

[60]  K. Cassman,et al.  Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming. , 2004, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[61]  M. Weinstein,et al.  Sustainability Science : The Emerging Paradigm and the Urban Environment / edited by Michael P. Weinstein, R. Eugene Turner. , 2012 .

[62]  J. Rubio,et al.  Water Scarcity, Land Degradation and Desertification in the Mediterranean Region , 2009 .

[63]  A. Goudie,et al.  Sustainable Development. Economics and Environment in the Third World , 1992 .

[64]  B. W. Saigo,et al.  Environmental Science : A Global Concern , 1990 .

[65]  V. Souchère,et al.  Agronomy for sustainable agriculture. A review , 2011, Agronomy for Sustainable Development.

[66]  Rattan Lal,et al.  Climate Change, Soil Carbon Dynamics, and Global Food Security , 2005 .

[67]  D. Hillel,et al.  Impact of climate change on possible scenarios for Egyptian agriculture in the future , 1997 .

[68]  E. Levin,et al.  The toxicology of climate change: environmental contaminants in a warming world. , 2009, Environment international.

[69]  Marco Bindi,et al.  Climate change impact assessment: the role of climate extremes in crop yield simulation , 2011 .

[70]  D. Kass,et al.  Agroecology: The science of sustainable agriculture , 1996, Agroforestry Systems.

[71]  E. Lichtfouse Climate change, society issues and sustainable agriculture , 2009 .

[72]  H. W. Polley,et al.  Implications of Atmospheric and Climatic Change for Crop Yield and Water Use Efficiency. , 2002, Crop science.

[73]  James W. Jones,et al.  Global climate change and US agriculture , 1990, Nature.

[74]  Barry Smit,et al.  Sustainability in agriculture: a general review , 1994 .

[75]  T. Wilbanks,et al.  Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change , 2007 .

[76]  S. Schneider,et al.  Climate Change 2007 Synthesis report , 2008 .

[77]  M. Radziejewski,et al.  Modelling the impact of climate extremes: an overview of the MICE project , 2007 .

[78]  R. Kumari,et al.  Medicinal Plant Active Compounds Produced by UV-B Exposure , 2013, Sustainable Agriculture Reviews.

[79]  S. Long,et al.  Food for Thought: Lower-Than-Expected Crop Yield Stimulation with Rising CO2 Concentrations , 2006, Science.

[80]  H. Elsharkawy,et al.  Climate change: The impacts of sea level rise on Egypt , 2009 .

[81]  A. Rogers,et al.  Rising atmospheric carbon dioxide: plants FACE the future. , 2004, Annual review of plant biology.

[82]  Edward B. Barbier,et al.  Sustainable Development: Economics and Environment in the Third World@@@Sustaining Earth: Response to the Environmental Threat , 1990 .

[83]  O. Edenhofer,et al.  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) , 2013 .

[84]  K. R. Reddy,et al.  Climatic change and variability. , 2000 .

[85]  T. Råberg Agro ecosystems in a changing climate - adaptation through crop rotations , 2008 .

[86]  Vincent R. Gray Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis Summary for Policymakers , 2007 .

[87]  Luis S. Pereira,et al.  Coping with Water Scarcity: Addressing the Challenges , 2009 .

[88]  Shahbaz Khan,et al.  Water management and crop production for food security in China: A review , 2009 .

[89]  S. Schneider,et al.  Assessing key vulnerabilities and the risk from climate change Coordinating Lead , 2007 .

[90]  Spencer R. Weart,et al.  The Discovery of Global Warming , 2008 .

[91]  D. W. Goodall,et al.  Hot deserts of Egypt and the Sudan , 1986 .

[92]  M. Hawkesford,et al.  Genetic approaches to reduce greenhouse gas emissions:increasing carbon capture and decreasing environmental impact , 2010 .

[93]  T. Adhya,et al.  Mitigating Greenhouse Gas Emission from Agriculture , 2009 .

[94]  K. R. Reddy,et al.  Climate Change and Global Crop Productivity , 2000 .

[95]  G. Hoogenboom Climate Change and Global Crop Productivity , 2002 .

[96]  S. Singh,et al.  Climate change and crops , 2009 .

[97]  Stanley J. Kays,et al.  Postharvest physiology of perishable plant products , 1997 .

[98]  A. Pittock,et al.  Climate Change. The Science, Impacts And Solutions , 2009 .

[99]  S. Long,et al.  What have we learned from 15 years of free-air CO2 enrichment (FACE)? A meta-analytic review of the responses of photosynthesis, canopy properties and plant production to rising CO2. , 2004, The New phytologist.

[100]  John M. Reilly,et al.  Impacts of ozone on trees and crops , 2007 .

[101]  Michael D. Dukes,et al.  Enhancing Fertilizer Efficiency in High Input Cropping Systems in Florida , 2013 .

[102]  G. Kleter,et al.  Climate change and food safety: an emerging issue with special focus on Europe. , 2009, Food and chemical toxicology : an international journal published for the British Industrial Biological Research Association.

[103]  R. Buckley Climate change. The science, impacts and solutions, 2nd edition. , 2009 .

[104]  J. Soussana,et al.  Food, fibre and forest products , 2007 .

[105]  David B Lobell,et al.  Greenhouse gas mitigation by agricultural intensification , 2010, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[106]  S. Carpenter,et al.  Global Consequences of Land Use , 2005, Science.

[107]  Mariam G. Salem Water and Hydropower for Sustainable Development of Qattara Depression as a National Project in Egypt , 2012 .

[108]  R. Betts,et al.  Changes in Atmospheric Constituents and in Radiative Forcing. Chapter 2 , 2007 .

[109]  E. Adly,et al.  Water and Food Security in the River Nile Basin: Perspectives of the Government and NGOs in Egypt , 2009 .

[110]  M. Altieri Agroecology: A new research and development paradigm for world agriculture , 1989 .

[111]  John Theodore Houghton,et al.  Global Warming: The Complete Briefing , 1994 .

[112]  J. Olesen,et al.  Adaptation to Climate Change in Developing Countries , 2009, Environmental management.

[113]  J. Grin,et al.  Coping with global environmental change, disasters and security: threats, challenges, vulnerabilities and risks , 2011 .

[114]  D. Dokken,et al.  Climate change 2001 , 2001 .

[115]  C. R. W. Spedding,et al.  An Introduction to Agricultural Systems , 1988, Springer Netherlands.

[116]  Ximing Cai,et al.  Global water outlook to 2025: averting an impending crisis. , 2002 .

[117]  B. Govaerts,et al.  How conservation agriculture can contribute to buffering climate change. , 2010 .

[118]  Donald L. Phillips,et al.  Sensitivity of the US corn belt to climate change and elevated CO2: I. Corn and soybean yields , 1996 .

[119]  Assessing the Consequences of Climate Change for Food and Forest Resources: A View from the IPCC , 2005 .

[120]  S. Arrhenius “On the Infl uence of Carbonic Acid in the Air upon the Temperature of the Ground” (1896) , 2017, The Future of Nature.