Hyperbolastic Models from a Stochastic Differential Equation Point of View

A joint and unified vision of stochastic diffusion models associated with the family of hyperbolastic curves is presented. The motivation behind this approach stems from the fact that all hyperbolastic curves verify a linear differential equation of the Malthusian type. By virtue of this, and by adding a multiplicative noise to said ordinary differential equation, a diffusion process may be associated with each curve whose mean function is said curve. The inference in the resulting processes is presented jointly, as well as the strategies developed to obtain the initial solutions necessary for the numerical resolution of the system of equations resulting from the application of the maximum likelihood method. The common perspective presented is especially useful for the implementation of the necessary procedures for fitting the models to real data. Some examples based on simulated data support the suitability of the development described in the present paper.

[1]  Karan P. Singh,et al.  Mathematical modeling of stem cell proliferation , 2011, Medical & Biological Engineering & Computing.

[2]  M. Hayat Stem Cells and Cancer Stem Cells, Volume 12 , 2014, Stem Cells and Cancer Stem Cells.

[3]  E. Tjørve,et al.  A proposed family of Unified models for sigmoidal growth , 2017 .

[4]  Patricia Román-Román,et al.  Modeling oil production and its peak by means of a stochastic diffusion process based on the Hubbert curve , 2017 .

[5]  Edward Chi-Fai Lo A Modified Stochastic Gompertz Model for Tumour Cell Growth , 2010, Comput. Math. Methods Medicine.

[6]  M. Tabatabai,et al.  Methods in Mathematical Modeling for Stem Cells , 2014 .

[7]  A. Martinez,et al.  Generalized exponential function and discrete growth models , 2008, 0803.3089.

[8]  David Keith Williams,et al.  Hyperbolastic growth models: theory and application , 2005, Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling.

[9]  Michael A. Kouritzin,et al.  Residual and stratified branching particle filters , 2017, Comput. Stat. Data Anal..

[10]  S. Roman-Roman,et al.  Estimating and determining the effect of a therapy on tumor dynamics by means of a modified Gompertz diffusion process. , 2015, Journal of theoretical biology.

[11]  P. Román-Román,et al.  A diffusion process to model generalized von Bertalanffy growth patterns: fitting to real data. , 2010, Journal of theoretical biology.

[12]  Patricia Román-Román,et al.  A stochastic model related to the Richards-type growth curve. Estimation by means of simulated annealing and variable neighborhood search , 2015, Appl. Math. Comput..

[13]  Patricia Román-Román,et al.  Applications of the multi-sigmoidal deterministic and stochastic logistic models for plant dynamics , 2021 .

[14]  D. Crisan,et al.  Fundamentals of Stochastic Filtering , 2008 .

[15]  M. Pitchaimani,et al.  Ergodic stationary distribution and extinction of a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with logistic growth and nonlinear incidence , 2020, Appl. Math. Comput..

[16]  Virginia Giorno,et al.  On the effect of a therapy able to modify both the growth rates in a Gompertz stochastic model. , 2013, Mathematical biosciences.

[17]  A. Tsoularis,et al.  Analysis of logistic growth models. , 2002, Mathematical biosciences.

[18]  S. Bompadre,et al.  A Stochastic Formulation of the Gompertzian Growth Model for in vitro Bactericidal Kinetics: Parameter Estimation and Extinction Probability , 2005, Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift.

[19]  Karan P. Singh,et al.  Disparities in Cervical Cancer Mortality Rates as Determined by the Longitudinal Hyperbolastic Mixed-Effects Type II Model , 2014, PloS one.

[20]  Karan P. Singh,et al.  Hyperbolastic modeling of wound healing , 2011, Math. Comput. Model..

[21]  Brandon H Schlomann Stationary moments, diffusion limits, and extinction times for logistic growth with random catastrophes. , 2017, Journal of theoretical biology.

[22]  H. Schurz MODELING, ANALYSIS AND DISCRETIZATION OF STOCHASTIC LOGISTIC EQUATIONS , 2007 .

[23]  Pasquale Erto,et al.  The Generalized Inflection S-Shaped Software Reliability Growth Model , 2020, IEEE Transactions on Reliability.

[24]  P. Rupšys Stationary Densities and Parameter Estimation for Delayed Stochastic Logistic Growth Laws with Application in Biomedical Studies , 2008 .

[25]  Mohammad A Tabatabai,et al.  Hyperbolastic modeling of tumor growth with a combined treatment of iodoacetate and dimethylsulphoxide , 2010, BMC Cancer.

[26]  Amiya Ranjan Bhowmick,et al.  A Novel Unification Method to Characterize a Broad Class of Growth Curve Models Using Relative Growth Rate , 2019, Bulletin of Mathematical Biology.

[27]  Quanxin Zhu,et al.  Progressive dynamics of a stochastic epidemic model with logistic growth and saturated treatment , 2020 .

[28]  A. Goshu,et al.  Generalized Mathematical Model for Biological Growths , 2013 .

[29]  P. Román-Román,et al.  Two Stochastic Differential Equations for Modeling Oscillabolastic-Type Behavior , 2020 .

[30]  J. J. Serrano-Pérez,et al.  Some Notes about Inference for the Lognormal Diffusion Process with Exogenous Factors , 2018 .

[31]  J. J. Serrano-Pérez,et al.  Inference on an heteroscedastic Gompertz tumor growth model. , 2020, Mathematical biosciences.

[32]  Patricia Román-Román,et al.  A hyperbolastic type-I diffusion process: Parameter estimation by means of the firefly algorithm , 2024, Biosyst..

[33]  Christos H. Skiadas Exact Solutions of Stochastic Differential Equations: Gompertz, Generalized Logistic and Revised Exponential , 2010 .

[34]  Karan P. Singh,et al.  T model of growth and its application in systems of tumor-immune dynamics. , 2013, Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE.