Optimizing designs and operations of a single network or multiple interdependent infrastructures under stochastic arc disruption

In this paper, we consider an infrastructure as a network with supply, transshipment, and demand nodes. A subset of potential arcs can be constructed between node pairs for conveying service flows. The paper studies two optimization models under stochastic arc disruption. Model 1 focuses on a single network with small-scale failures, and repairs arcs for quick service restoration. Model 2 considers multiple interdependent infrastructures under large-scale disruptions, and mitigates cascading failures by selectively disconnecting failed components. We formulate both models as scenario-based stochastic mixed-integer programs, in which the first-stage problem builds arcs, and the second-stage problem optimizes recourse operations for restoring service or mitigating losses. The goal is to minimize the total cost of infrastructure design and recovery operations. We develop cutting-plane algorithms and several heuristic approaches for solving the two models. Model 1 is tested on an IEEE 118-bus system. Model 2 is tested on systems consisting of the 118-bus system, a 20-node network, and/or a 50-node network, with randomly generated interdependency sets in three different topological forms (i.e., chain, tree, and cycle). The computational results demonstrate that (i) decomposition and cutting-plane algorithms effectively solve Model 1, and (ii) heuristic approaches dramatically decrease the CPU time for Model 2, but yield worse bounds when cardinalities of interdependency sets increase. Future research includes developing special algorithms for optimizing Model 2 for complex multiple infrastructures with special topological forms of system interdependency.

[1]  John E. Mitchell,et al.  Restoration of Services in Interdependent Infrastructure Systems: A Network Flows Approach , 2007, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part C (Applications and Reviews).

[2]  John M. Wilson,et al.  Introduction to Stochastic Programming , 1998, J. Oper. Res. Soc..

[3]  Jeff T. Linderoth,et al.  Reformulation and sampling to solve a stochastic network interdiction problem , 2008, Networks.

[4]  Morten Riis,et al.  A bicriteria stochastic programming model for capacity expansion in telecommunications , 2002, Math. Methods Oper. Res..

[5]  Fernando Ordóñez,et al.  Robust capacity expansion of network flows , 2007, Networks.

[6]  Jeff T. Linderoth,et al.  Reformulation and sampling to solve a stochastic network interdiction problem , 2008 .

[7]  Daniel S. Kirschen,et al.  Criticality in a cascading failure blackout model , 2006 .

[8]  Morten Riis,et al.  Multiperiod capacity expansion of a telecommunications connection with uncertain demand , 2004, Comput. Oper. Res..

[9]  Pablo Alvarez,et al.  Tri-level optimization models to defend critical infrastructure , 2007 .

[10]  Massimo Marchiori,et al.  Model for cascading failures in complex networks. , 2004, Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics.

[11]  R. Alvarez,et al.  Trilevel Optimization in Power Network Defense , 2007, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Part C (Applications and Reviews).

[12]  John E. Mitchell,et al.  Integrating restoration and scheduling decisions for disrupted interdependent infrastructure systems , 2013, Ann. Oper. Res..

[13]  Panos M. Pardalos,et al.  Computational risk management techniques for fixed charge network flow problems with uncertain arc failures , 2013, J. Comb. Optim..

[14]  Richard L. Church,et al.  A bilevel mixed-integer program for critical infrastructure protection planning , 2008, Comput. Oper. Res..

[15]  Alan T. Murray,et al.  Critical network infrastructure analysis: interdiction and system flow , 2007, J. Geogr. Syst..

[16]  Gilbert Laporte,et al.  The integer L-shaped method for stochastic integer programs with complete recourse , 1993, Oper. Res. Lett..

[17]  R. Kevin Wood,et al.  Deterministic network interdiction , 1993 .

[18]  Juan C. Meza,et al.  Optimization Strategies for the Vulnerability Analysis of the Electric Power Grid , 2010, SIAM J. Optim..

[19]  O. Alsaç,et al.  DC Power Flow Revisited , 2009, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[20]  J. Salmeron,et al.  Analysis of electric grid security under terrorist threat , 2004, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[21]  G.N. Pillai,et al.  Dynamic Model of Microturbine Generation System for Grid Connected/Islanding Operation , 2006, 2006 IEEE International Conference on Industrial Technology.

[22]  Alan T. Murray,et al.  Vital Nodes, Interconnected Infrastructures, and the Geographies of Network Survivability , 2006 .

[23]  F. Ordóñez,et al.  Robust capacity expansion of network flows , 2007 .

[24]  Yunhai Zhou,et al.  Simulation of a Microturbine Generation System for Grid Connected and Islanding Operations , 2009, 2009 Asia-Pacific Power and Energy Engineering Conference.

[25]  Shabbir Ahmed,et al.  A Multi-Stage Stochastic Integer Programming Approach for Capacity Expansion under Uncertainty , 2003, J. Glob. Optim..

[26]  Svetlana V. Poroseva,et al.  Monte Carlo optimization of a matrix-based power-grid islanding algorithm , 2011 .

[27]  Gerald G. Brown,et al.  Defending Critical Infrastructure , 2006, Interfaces.

[28]  Hanif D. Sherali,et al.  Decomposition with branch-and-cut approaches for two-stage stochastic mixed-integer programming , 2006, Math. Program..

[29]  Natalia Alguacil,et al.  Analysis of Electric Grid Interdiction With Line Switching , 2010, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[30]  Zuyi Li,et al.  Modeling Load Redistribution Attacks in Power Systems , 2011, IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid.

[31]  David P. Morton,et al.  Stochastic Network Interdiction , 1998, Oper. Res..

[32]  S. Binato,et al.  Power transmission network design by greedy randomized adaptive path relinking , 2005, IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.

[33]  Natalia Alguacil,et al.  Transmission Network Expansion Planning Under Deliberate Outages , 2009 .

[34]  Daniel Bienstock,et al.  Using mixed-integer programming to solve power grid blackout problems , 2007, Discret. Optim..